This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
Rizz has handed me Saturday's Lucky 15 bet as he concentrates more on the main thread this weekend.
As expected, we have some highly competitive racing on offer this weekend, but hopefully we can find some winning selections and end the day in profit.
Impose Toi 3/1 – Ascot 2.25
I was initially tempted by Gordon Elliott's Honesty Policy for this year's Long Walk Hurdle. The form of the stable is there for all to see, and he's still only a five-year-old whose open to further improvement this term. With that said, he is arriving here against race-fit rivals on the back of over 200 days away from the track. The ground will also be testing, and this doesn't look like an easy take for Honesty Policy on seasonal reappearance, so I opted to give him a swerve this time around, but it wouldn't surprise me if he were to show up and win.
I decided to go with the Henderson-trained Impose Toi, who has taken his form up a notch this term and arrives in search of a hat trick. My selection was last seen beating the reopposing Strong Leader at Newbury. Strong Leader is now 6lb better off with my selection this time around, but I thought Impose Toi was well on top towards the line, and the rise may not be as harsh as one would think. JP Mcmanus also has a cracking record in this contest, having won it 5 times already, and he seemingly holds a strong chance of landing a sixth.
Super Freddie 7/2 – Haydock 11:45
In the opener at Haydock, I thought the Twiston-Davies runner was worth a look. The yard itseld are in great nick at present, operating at 29% S/R in the last 14 days.
Super Freddie didn't show much in a bumper at Doncaster at the start of the year, but has reappeared with two decent efforts at both Bangor and Ludlow, finishing second and third respectively. The handicapper has handed him a mark of 111, which looks manageable in this sphere.
Useful claimer Toby McCain is onboard and I think Super Freddie can run a big race and is open to plenty of improvement for his inform yard.
Mondo Man 11/4 – Ascot 3.35
This looks like a tough race to call, as you can make claims for plenty, but I am quietly confident in the chances of Mondo Man, who looks interesting on handicap debut. rated in the low 100s on the flat, Mondo Man has done well since transitioning to hurdles. He is yet to win a race, which may contradict what I've just said, but he bumped into some decent types along the way and ran promising races in the process. My selection looks set to continue progressing under Gary Moore and is receiving plenty of weight from his rivals, which enhances his chances even further.
Iroko 2/1 – Ascot 12.40
The form of the Gordon Elliot yard, combined with the booking of Sean Bowen, makes Firefox the favourite for this contest, but I don't really believe there is that much between his charge and my selection in Iroko.
Iroko finished fourth in last year's Grand National, and that will surely be the aim for him again, but the drop in trip doesn't really put me off his chances, as he is a horse not short of speed. Iroko made a pleasing return to action last month when finishing second at Haydock over the same advised distance in today's race of 2m5f. That previous contest should have blown away any cobwebs for this race, and in my opinion, he is a much better jumper of a fence compared to Firefox. It should be an interesting clash, but I am happy enough to take on the odds-on favourite this time around.
GambleAware