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Hidden History 3/1 – Aintree 1.30
There definitely will be a few chasers in this race who will be much higher at the end of the season. If Hidden History isn't better than his handicap mark of 125, I'd be gobsmacked.
We don't know whether he'll be ready first time out. A lot of Skelton's horses first time out this year, have been ridden with caution, which is being nice. However, Saturday racing is different to Monday – Friday, so I'm sure they'd love another winner.
His form over hurdles looks solid against today's opposition, especially the run behind Rambo T, who has since franked the form.
When in the PTP sphere, he won his sole start by 2L, so you'd like to think he'll handle the fences over rules, even if they are slightly different to the between the flag variants.
Gaboriot 10/1 – Aintree 2.40
The first race of the season over the national fences in the Grand Sefton, which is run over 2m 5f.
We all know that the national fences aren't what they used to be in the years that Red Rum and co won over them, but they are still unique and not every horse takes to them.
Having form around this course is a massive help, and that's why I've decided to side with Gaboriot who was third in this race last year.
He was running off a 3lb higher mark last year, and only finished four and a half lengths behind the winner. This will have been the plan for a while, so I'm expecting him to go very well towards the bottom of the weights.
Apollo One 5/1 – Doncaster 1.25
Montassib is the classiest horse in this race. He has won a Group 1, but does that mean much, given how inconsistent the top level sprinters are?
A horse who has been hitting the bar on his last two starts and has run belters through his entire career is Apollo One, and if the main players are on their game, he can mop up.
We know he handles the soft ground, and we know he is fine at the track. Last time out, he showed he can still mix it at Class 1 level, so I struggle to see any negatives.
Anna Swan 9/2 – Doncaster 3.10
I've had my fingers burned from backing Danielle this season, so she is not on my list of backing again.
Anna Swan surprised me at Yarmouth when she went very close to beating Running Lion in a Listed race on soft ground.
That was a career best by a huge margin, and if she can build on that, I think she deserves to be the favourite. If Running Lion were in this race on this ground, she'd be the favourite, so I rate that form more than any other form line.
GambleAware