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Two second placed finishes from the selections yesterday, with Miramichi probably getting stuck into a battle too far from home which costed his chances. Invincibly ran a cracker, and at one stage I thought he was going to keep on rolling in front, but he eventually got picked off by a horse who showed a good turn of foot. Today I've tried not to get stuck in too much as there are plenty of horses who caught my eye, so just the three selections, as it's easy to get sucked in on a Saturday and it rarely pays off.

Haydock 4:05

With a decent amount of pace expected, it could be best to side with a hold up horse who will be running on strong. My selection for the penultimate race at Haydock is STONE OF DESTINY.

Like I've already mentioned, he is a hold up horse, probably not done by design either. He always seems to miss the break or be very slow out of the stalls, so SDS has no other choice than to position him in the rear and play him late. Due to this running style, he will need luck in running, but he has the ability to get through the traffic, and is starting to look somewhat well treated off a mark of 101.

Though he hasn't won this year, he has ran many good races in defeat, and his slow starts have been to blame for not getting a 1 next to his name. He ran a blinder in the Epsom Dash, where he was flying down the rail but he got going too late, which saw him finish 3rd. The time before that he was 2nd at Goodwood, and in his runs till now he has ran well in better races, where he was running on towards the end, but lacked the quality for the Group 2/1 level.

Good To Firm ground appears to be his ideal ground despite the fact he seems to act on slightly slower surfaces. He was 4th in the Commonwealth Cup a few years ago and that was on fast ground.

Everyone knows how good of a season Andrew Balding is having, so the fact he's in such good form is surely a bonus for this horse. Another interesting stat is that Andrew is 10/40 at Haydock (last 5 years) for runners who are 4yo+, which has yielded a profit of 17.28 to £1 level stakes.

Ascot 3:45

RIPP ORF is definitely a risky pick, but one that I'm willing to take a chance on, as a few years ago he was a decent horse, and I'm hoping that he will be better for his recent comeback run.

Last time at Sandown was the first run in 686 days, so it was kind of expected that he would've needed the run. He was extremely keen throughout the first half of the race, pulling his head from one side to another which made it very difficult for Rossa Ryan to try and settle him. Sure enough, the early pulling took its toll and he weakened quite sharply. I'm hoping that run got all of his built up enthusiasm out of his body that he had built up from not seeing a race track in nearly 2 years.

I think that this race was the plan all along, and the race a couple of weeks ago was a pipe-opener for this race. He previously won this race in 2018, and was then placed in this race in 2019. He's obviously had his problems, hence the long time off the track, but he must be showing encouraging signs at home for them to go for this race, as it's clearly a targeted race for this horse. He is a 7yo, and has won some good races in his career, so I don't think they'd risk running him if he wasn't showing ability.

Johnny Peate takes the ride, and that is a noticeable jockey booking. Johnny seems to be a capable 7lb claimer, and has been used by Mark Johnston as well some other yards. Taking the 7lb claim into consideration, Ripp Orf runs off a mark of 80 and carries 8st 3lbs, which gives him a good chance if he retains his ability.

The only slight concern is that this race seems to be lacking pace, so if he decides to pull like he did last time, it could be game over in the first furlong. However, I've seen it on multiple occasions where you think there's no pace, and then all of a sudden there is plenty of horses going forward, which normally wouldn't race prominently.

Ascot 4:20

PASSIONOVA is the selection for this race, and though this race is full of what appear to be progressive horses, I think she is progressive and will offer the most value.

The reason why I think she'll be a decent price is due to who is she trained by. She is trained by George Baker, and he is obviously no where near as known as the likes of William Haggas, Sir Michael Stoute or Andrew Balding, but he is a very capable trainer when given the ammunition, and this filly is proof of that.

You'd have to say this filly has arguably the best form in the race when she beat Sweet Enough who went on to win a Class 2 race at the York Ebor Festival, beating Rising Star who is in this race today. What made that performance (Passionova beating Sweet Enough) even better was the fact that Passionova was carrying a penalty, so was 7lbs heavier than Sweet Enough, and she beat her comfortably and was staying on strongly. Next time out she was tried in a Listed race, and wasn't disgraced by any stretch of the imagination, where she finished 2nd to Waliyak, who has since finished 2nd in a Group 3. Though Passionova was 3.25 lengths behind the winner that day, the conditions were definitely against her, as she clearly prefers a quick surface. She was a Non Runner two times before that Listed race at Haydock due to the ground, on Soft and Good To Soft ground, so connections clearly feel that she doesn't like that ground. With that being said she still did run at Haydock, and you can't fault them, as they were rewarded with Black Type, but it goes to show she could be a very good filly on fast ground, which she should get today.

A mark of 92 should be within reach, and the new trip on a stiff track like Ascot should be fine. She was running through the line very strongly over 7f at Newmarket, so that gives me hope that she'll stay.

There is a possibility that she'll even drift in price, due to some of the bigger yards having interesting runners like both of Sir Michael Stoute's horses.

17:30 Kempton - Race: 3
Distance: 7f
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Polytrack
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Khatwah
5/437-31

9
Marchetti
00970-3

4
Far From A Ruby
22134-4

6
Eyes
22128-6

1
Sky Blue Thinking
111127-

5
Queen Of Burgundy
011947-

3
Piselli Molli
418-729

8
Agent Of Fortune
249-126

7
Woke Media
2335-55

18:00 Kempton - Race: 4
Distance: 1m
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Polytrack
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Khatwah
5/437-31

9
Marchetti
00970-3

4
Far From A Ruby
22134-4

6
Eyes
22128-6

1
Sky Blue Thinking
111127-

5
Queen Of Burgundy
011947-

3
Piselli Molli
418-729

8
Agent Of Fortune
249-126

7
Woke Media
2335-55

18:30 Kempton - Race: 5
Distance: 1m 2f 219y
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Polytrack
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
4
Morlaix
10342-1

3
Minister For Magic
1-2

1
Kasperenko
99174-9

2
Prince Of Harts
635233-

5
Charlie Arthur
40585-1

49 Comments
  1. watabanker 5 months ago

    Any thoughts on the 2.20 at Haydock? Its money back if horse fin 2nd, 3rd or 4th with PP dont bet much on the donkeys dont no to much was looking at Vino Victrix thanks guys for any thoughts.

    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Just had a look there dazzmans right mine field tomorrow ,,i think ill wait to see the draw it just might make the difference.-also big battle tomorrow with skelton hughes and davies all at the same meeting ,lovely this looks like its going tobe had going ,

  2. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    2:30 Stratford – stage power 7/1

    3:20 Wexford – star max 5/1

    Best of luck everyone think we will need it today a lot of obvious looking winners and there lies the trap I’m sure haha 😂

  3. recoba 5 months ago

    First 2 up in the Trixie and a single but while I wait just before it a wee bet on..

    Saratoga-R10… Fleeting Glimpse Ew. 12/1 (**)

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Nice work I’m sure more people will take notice now . I quite like watching the American racing

      1
    • recoba 5 months ago

      Trixie and single up so having a wee Yankee(35p) as I’m wide awake? 👀

      Del Mar -R4.. .Naughty Evelyn 5/1
      R6…Connie Swiggle. 6/5
      R8…Dark Prince. 5/4
      Golden Gates-R7…Knock About Bert. 7/4

      Onwards to tomorrow 🐎🇬🇧🇺🇸🐎🍀

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Not bad mate 2 firsts a second and a non placing .m

      1
    • ourwullie 5 months ago

      Was on 💥ROUGH ENTRY💥 yesterday 9/4, cheers 🍻

    • ourwullie 5 months ago

      Was on 💥ROUGH ENTRY💥 yesterday 9/4, cheers @recoba 🍻

      1
  4. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    10:40 Mauritius- Nimitz 4/1 👍

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Also Mauritius

      11:15 captain Garret 7/4

      12:25 undercover agent. 11/4

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Had to much to do at the end there but nearly had it 😂

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Nearly had the treble 😢

  5. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    One for the lucky last at Wolverhampton

    Lexington fury 11/4

  6. Sore point 5 months ago

    Difficult Saturday betting wise and just 2 bets for me today

    Haydock 5.15 STAR SHIELD 7/1 w hills and others

    Ascot 4.20 STATE OCCASION 16/1 widely available 18/1 bet victor.

    Done both each way with an each way double

    Good luck everyone

    5
  7. nezhambo 5 months ago

    ASCOT 3.10 TRUE COURAGE 4O/1 WM HILL 4 PLACES MAX E/W

    2
  8. Gateacre Pete 5 months ago

    Ew lucky 31
    Wand@ 66s Navan 4.10
    Tiantu@ 25s Wex 3.55
    Happy romance @25s Hay 3.30
    Chookie Dunedin@25s Hay 5.15
    Oliver Army@25s Thirsk 2.50
    GL with all your bets today

    2
    • Gateacre Pete 5 months ago

      Left it too late, happy romance, 4th🙄

  9. Gateacre Pete 5 months ago

    Just spotted Clownsman 6.00 wolves. I’ve put this up a couple of times already but it’s 150/1 at the moment and 45s down to 6th. Could be worth a small stakes ew extra just for the fun of it GL

    2
    • azzthewigan 5 months ago

      Well done gateacre pete

      1
  10. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    This is going tobe hard at every meeting today can only find a few i like ,ill put my money on these today ,,alotaibi 2’00 ascot,,mines a double 5’30 ascot,,,hukum 2’40 Kempton,,,,power of beauty 1’15 haydoc,,,valley forge 2’20”haydock,,,,starman 3’30haydock,,,,,,tuscan 2’15 thirsk,,,,nobel dynasty 4’00,,,,star jewel 4’35 thirsk,,,,percys word 1’25 Stratford,,,presentandcounting1’55 Stratford,,,,,rhythm is a dancer 3’05 paddys husseys taxi’4.50 Stratford GL everyone with your bets today

    2
    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Lol lucky there at the last ill take it

  11. ourwullie 5 months ago

    My 1st ever horse 🐎 tip (not a tip) post!

    HAFIT 11/10. Haydock 1.15
    STARMAN 10/11. Haydock 3.30

    Double 3/1

    Obvious choices as both favourites.

    🤞

    2
    • ourwullie 5 months ago

      Skybet

    • ourwullie 5 months ago

      😂 I’ll get back in my box and just follow you guys.

      1
  12. busstop.2018 5 months ago

    Afternoon All Hard to find value over the Jumps at Stratford today some short priced odds on favs should win but no point putting up horses every man and his dog and his grandma would pick anyway . So going for these 3 with a chance at decent prices.

    STRATFORD

    14.30. .Hats Off To Larry. .9/2

    15.05. .Solar Impulse. .9/2

    16.15. .Romanor. .5/1

    GL ALL

    3
    • busstop.2018 5 months ago

      Glad i didnt do them odds on Shots Cambrond beaten at 2/5 . .In fact last four uk and ireland races 4 odds ons all beat.

      Time for a pint

      GL ALL

    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Thats why i give you the winner at Stratford percys word 100’30

    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Try stay away from big races buss theres a few at Ireland mate you can steal with Townsend have a wee look see what you think

    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Next one bussman sweet street Townsend on it .Hes gota get this hes just missed out on a few Wexford 14 45

      1
    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Theres one out the day called boy in the bar 5,25 at wover might be worth an ew shout

      2
  13. recoba 5 months ago

    2.1/1 Double with Bet365 (*****)

    Hukum…2.40
    Staraman…3.30

    Add for a cheeky favourite 4 fold that pays 6.2/1 Bet365 (**)
    Camprond…1.25
    Alotailbi…2.00

    🇺🇸
    Yankee and 2x singles in the USA…(few late ones so maybe have another wee single or 2 in between depending on today in UK. 🇬🇧

    Gulfstream-R5…Starship Ntenprise. 9/4(**** far from disgraced in a G1 and sets the standard,2nd favourite could be anything but it’s big leap in class)
    Del Mar -R6…Rock N Rye. 6/5(***** won last 2 nicely,last by 3l and this doesn’t look harder)
    Woodbine-R6…Moon Over Montana. 5/2(tracker horse nobody likes much like Rough Entry last night)
    Golden Gates -R8…Tiger Queen. 6/4( much like I’ve stated about Rock N Rye)

    GL all today 🇬🇧🐎🇺🇸🐎👍🍀🍀

    2
    • recoba 5 months ago

      Ffs that 4 fold lasted long! 🤣

    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      I dont know whats going on today but that hemish is one for the tracker._thats some horse

    • recoba 5 months ago

      Got bless America!
      Not 1 favourite there and I was very tempted to go in on Staraman but if I’ve learned anything from Mr Fixits over the last decade it’s not to chase it etc.

      Onwards and GL rest of the day folk

      1
  14. bracknell jack 5 months ago

    Why has Frankie snubbed Ascot to ride a massive outsider in the 3.30 Haydock. Only 1 ride. A. I missing somthing?

    3
  15. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    true courage 3.10 ew

    3
    • Gateacre Pete 5 months ago

      Good call

      1
    • azzthewigan 5 months ago

      cheers gateacre pete

      1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Have it 👍

      1
    • recoba 5 months ago

      Have it 👍

      1
  16. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    4:55 ascot Lexington dash 5/1

  17. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    Lion loto 5-27 crayon 🇫🇷
    5-2 top 3 finish (HILLS)

    • elvis parsley 5 months ago

      2nd 🇫🇷🏇.
      Made a conscious decision to avoid the Saturday afternoon stuff today.

      Well done posters today, 40 odd posts not bad, and a few wins in there 👍
      Tally ho 🏇

  18. Sore point 5 months ago

    Cracking day STAR SHIELD 8/1 and STATE OCCASION 16/1 both place

    Good luck everyone

    3
  19. Gateacre Pete 5 months ago

    Clownsman 5th. That’ll do me 😁

    1
  20. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    Well done guys 👍

    2
  21. recoba 5 months ago

    Nice one gents.

    Saratoga-R5…Souper Sensational EVS(***** poor price but after only his 5th outing he was a good 2nd in a G1. Winner in waiting in my humble superb opinion!

    GL all

    2
    • recoba 5 months ago

      Rank pipped! All down to Rock N Rye to claw some back.
      Tiger Queen 2 but it’s a late one!

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