Unfortunately for Cairnzy, his sole selection for the main thread was blocked in running on a couple of occasions.
The horse was backed into a strong favourite for his race, but Cieren Fallon kept getting blocked when attempting to get a run, and that seems to be happening a lot for the pair of us in recent times.
Crownbreaker 6/5 (1pt) – Carlisle 2.00
When checking the odds, I was expecting Crownbreaker to be a very strong odds-on favourite, possibly lingering at 4/6. To see him priced up at 5/4 or EVS with other bookies was a tad surprising. I try to avoid races like this, especially backing horses at these prices, but if Crownbreaker were to put in a repeat performance from her debut effort, she should be extremely tough to beat.
She was third on her debut, but put in an RPR of 94, which is a huge effort. Not to win and have a Racing Post rating that high as a two-year-old on debut shows the level of the horses that beat her. Her pedigree is extremely good. She is related to two very smart sprinters, those being Mill Stream and Assymetric.
The little amount of rain should not be an issue, as her pedigree gives plenty of hope that a slightly slower surface would be fine.
Ammoony 11/4 (1pt) – Redcar 3.10
There are plenty of unexposed horses in this race who could cause some big problems to Ammoony if they improve for the trip or fitness, but Ammoony has been unlucky on her last couple of runs.
I'm not stupid enough to believe that the form of the penultimate run is to be trusted, as the winner of that race has since finished second in a Group 3 (Italian 1000 Guineas), but I think you've got to say that in comparison to today's opposition, it looks solid. Last time out she was poorly positioned, and even though it looked like he enjoyed the step up to 10f, the winner was away and gone by the time she was bridging any gap.
Cieren Fallon is one of the most in form jockeys at the moment, and this is Tom Clover's only runner at Redcar.
Perfect Ruler 2/1 (1pt) – Redcar 4.10
Another Cieran Fallon ride that I like the look of is Perfect Ruler.
Unfortunately, the odds that we probably should get on this horse is going to be a lot shorter due to being trained by William Haggas. From what we've seen, she has shown a little amount of ability in her handicap qualifying runs, but her pedigree gives plenty of enthusiasm that she will be a lot better.
This isn't a fantastic set of horses that she is up against, so a mark of 60 gives her every opportunity to get her first win on the board.
Regal Envoy 10/3 (1pt) – Windsor 5.40
It's strange to see Redorange making a quick return to the track for this race. If he runs, I think he has a massive chance, but the odds are getting short based on how he came out of the stalls at York. I think he has a big pot in him at some stage this season, but I can envisage him being a non-runner. If he isn't, and he breaks slowly, he's going to find a world of trouble from stall 1.
Regal Envoy looked like the obvious candidate for this race under the brilliant Saffie Osborne. This horse is a multiple-course and distance winner, and given that he has won at this track off 88 and 91 last season, it seems like a no-brainer.
We know he is in good form, and we know he can get a prominent position from a fairly wide stall. He will likely shorten in price, and if the favourite is a non-runner, I'd expect him to be a 6/4 favourite by the time the race starts.
GambleAware