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Sunday’s Nap was a non runner. Nothing ventured, nothing gained. We move onto Monday and the start of a new week. Here goes.
| Wolverhampton - 19:30 |
Haku |
6/1 |
I’m going nice and early with Monday’s Nap, which doesn’t run until the evening at Wolverhampton, so we’ve got a bit of a wait, but at early odds of 6/1, the mount of Hollie Doyle is hard to resist.
I’m happy to put it out there, at the risk of looking a bit silly (not for the first time), and say that I can’t really see odds of 6/1 holding up. Most books are already shorter, so if you can, get it in early and take the 6/1 that’s on offer at bet365 (at the time of writing).
The five-year-old didn’t really sparkle when finishing down the field at Kempton a month ago, but that was his first race for 119 days, while it was in Class 3 company too. Back in a Class 4 race, with that effort under his belt, he could get much more competitive.
His course and distance form is hard to ignore
Not only does the step back into Class 4 company, from his previous winning mark, catch the eye, but the return to Wolverhampton cannot be ignored either.
In fact, Loughane’s choice to send this one back to Wolves must go down as a chunky positive. He’s won three of his previous five races at the all-weather venue, winning three (and placing) out of four over course and distance.
When we last saw him at West Midlands track, back in March, he finished second in a Class 2. A month before that, he won a slightly better Class 4 than this, beating one of the rivals that re-opposes him here.
The likely pace angle of this race should suit, while he ranks very highly in terms of relevant speed ratings too. The booking of Hollie Doyle is not negative either.
As those who’ve read this column a few times will know, I’m generally looking for horses that tick more boxes than the early odds suggest, as horses that do typically represent very good bets as far as I’m concerned.
Frankly, this is a horse that has done more than enough to warrant odds that are considerably shorter than 6/1. Put it this way, if he goes off as the 3/1 favourite, then I’d say that’s about right.
Based on a £10 level-stakes example, the Nap of the Day running profit is +£39.00 (since switching to being published here (10/09/2024) rather than on the ‘Nap of the Day' page).
£39 up ??.
What have I missed.
I gave up after 14 losses.
Well done anyway if these are genuine figures.
The bloke on sky races has just napped haku.
6-1 long gone now
Best 7-2.
If it goes to 5-1 I’ll have a ew bet as I will have place cover for my stake then.
Good luck 🏇
You’ve missed the running profit and loss reaching +£39.00, clearly.
Also, please excuse me if, in general, I don’t bother to engage with your passive aggressive comments, as doing so is largely a waste of my time. However, I will respond to genuine questions.
No skin off my nose Bradley.
Passively aggressive 🤣.
Don’t want to waste your time as you have other platforms to post on, how remiss of me .
Because I exposed you as a fraud when you made your grand entrance already £70 in profit .
And highlighted you post on other sites with tips.
But as you said the ones you post here are your best one aren’t they, whatever 😂 of course they are …..
Don’t worry, I won’t darken your doors again on your thread if you’re that sensitive
Live long and prosper Bradley 👍
That’s a non aggressive genuine wish from a fellow racing fan 🏇
There’s a difference between thinking you did something and actually doing it. You believe that you “exposed” me as a “fraud”, but that doesn’t mean that’s what happened. I provided a very clear explanation and also provided clear evidence to support that explanation. You chose to ignore that, which you’re free to do.
And well done for highlighting that I write for other websites. I do so for a living, writing publicly under my own name. It wasn’t a secret, nor was I trying to hide that fact, so you bringing it up really wasn’t the detective work that you thought it was.
Feel free to comment whenever you like.
Well done with haku
Thanks, appreciated :)