daily racing tips 5

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Day 1 of the Aintree Grand National Festival was a profitable one if you were on the Willie Mullins horses as he managed to land a four-timer, unfortunately, I was not!

Ahoy Senor never looked happy in his race. He jumped well for most of the race, but Patrick Wadge had to keep nursing him along and took him wide to get a clear cut at his fences. He looked to be in with a shout before turning for home, but his efforts dwindled very quickly.

Milan Forth also looked to be in with a real shout in the Foxhunters', but a couple of sloppy jumps towards the back end of the race saw his stamina sapped, and he went backwards quickly.

My Mate Mozzie didn't get involved in his race.

Rizzel's tips

Lounge Lizard 20/1 EW (6pl) – Aintree 4.05

I think Day two of the Aintree Festival is a very tough one for punters, hence why my first selection is in the 4.05 pm race, and I've got another runner over the National fences.

I whittled this down to a few, but I'm not a huge fan of tipping more than one horse in a race, so I cut the remainders and decided to go for Lounge Lizard, who probably won't be top of the list more than 99% of backers in this race.

I get the feeling that this race has been the end goal for this season for Lounge Lizard as he has mapped a very similar season to last year, where he was intended to run in this race but was withdrawn due to a vet's certificate. We know for certain that he enjoys jumping this type of obstacle, as he was pinging the fences when he was tried over them back in 2023 in the 3m 2f race in the Becher. Just after halfway round that race, he started to make mistakes, but he was leading at the time alongside a loose horse, and I think the loose horse put him off, and his confidence was shattered after that one mistake, resulting in a couple of sloppy jumps over the next few. He managed to get himself back in contention before turning for the long straight, but his stamina didn't manage to last, and in hindsight, he is definitely better over shorter distances, like today's trip, and the heavy ground that day was probably too much for him.

He should enjoy the quicker ground conditions that he faces today, but also, the 2m 5f trip should be ideal for him. He is a quirky sort, so Sam Twiston-Davies will have to try and keep a lid on him, so don't be surprised if he starts off toward the back of the field (not ideal) but will slowly weave his way through, like he did in the Becher.

Jupiter Des Mottes 40/1 EW (4pl) – Aintree 4.40

A race I like to back Lucinda Russell runners in is this race at Aintree, which is the Grade 1 novice hurdle race over 3m.

Lucinda Russell has a fantastic record in this race over the last five years; she has managed to win this race twice and had a horse finish third, all at big odds. Ahoy Senor won this in 2021 at odds of 66/1, Haute Estime was 100/1 (placed in third), and Apple Away won it at odds of 16/1 in 2023. She didn't have a runner in this race last year, so it goes to show she doesn't force having a runner in the race unless the yard firmly believes that they are going there with a chance to win. She has two runners in the race this year, so fingers crossed I've picked the right one!

I've gone for Jupiter Des Mottes, and it's firmly because Patrick Wadge is in the saddle. Whenever Derek Fox is injured, Patrick is the main man for the stable, and you'd like to think he knows which horse has the better chance of winning, given he is at the yard every day.

This is a Grade 1, but it is a very weak one, so there are reasons to believe there could be a shock, and history would tell you that. The Irish don't tend to send many for this, but there are a couple with Argento Boy and Familiar Dreams, who will be fancied as they are from the big yards, but if they were standouts for the yard, they would've done better at the Cheltenham Festival (aimed at Argento) or would have run there.

There's not much form to go off with my selection as he has only run twice over hurdles, resulting in a win and a runner-up. Both runs were over 2m 4f, so there is definitely room for improvement for the step-up in trip.

She's A Saint 20/1 EW (5pl) – Aintree 5.15

For my final selection of Day two, I've gone for She's A Saint, who could be very well handicapped on old pieces of form, but it will all come down to her fitness.

A couple of years ago, She's A Saint was being very hyped up as a horse who could win a fair amount of Class 1 races, especially in the mare's races. It didn't exactly go to plan, but she still managed to have some good performances in her defeats, and now she is an 8-year-old, I think she could be thrown in off her handicap mark, and if she has matured and learnt to settle, she is a dark horse for this race.

She was second to Luccia, who we all know was a very good mare on her day, and then she was a runner-up to You Wear It Well and Apple Away on her final two starts of 2023, both very good mares in their own rights. She has clearly had problems as she was off the track for 448 days, she returned with a runner-up finish at Cartmel last May and has been off the track since, which does raise a few questions about her wellbeing, but Dan Skelton clearly thinks she is ready to race as he is chucking her into a race at the Aintree Grand National Festival. She is running off a mark of 124, and Tristan Durrell takes off 3lbs, meaning she is running off a weight of 10st 2lbs.

Dan is an incredible target trainer, especially with her hurdlers, so it would not surprise me if this has been the plan for some time.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Aintree
Horse Racing Tips
Lounge Lizard
Aintree - 4:05 pm

20/1 EW @ Bet365

Jupiter Des Mottes
Aintree - 4:40 pm

40/1 EW @ Bet365

She's A Saint
Aintree - 5:15 pm

20/1 EW @ Bet365

32 Comments
  1. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    Start the thread by saying a big well done to DC and bus stop on Thursday, top notch tipping 👍🏇🏇.

    Great days racing it was, arguably better than any of the Cheltenham 4 days…

    15
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

      3:40 bath – Elland road girl 11/4

      1
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

      2:20 aintree- Hansard 25/1 e/w 6 places bet 365

    • Avatar of Rizzel Tips
      Rizzel Tips 2 weeks ago

      Well done to the pair of you, some great selections.

      Busy in real life with work, racing and then others bits and bobs so didn’t get to look through the comments, otherwise I would’ve mentioned it.

      4
    • Avatar of Hotshotz
      Hotshotz 2 weeks ago

      Agree both statements! Top notch

      3
  2. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    Cheers all for the comments, we all know how this game can go so it’s nice when things click in your favour, it makes it all worthwhile but can quickly go south.
    I’ve to attend 2 hospitals this morning so I’ve no time for any reasoning on my selections apologies for that

    1.45 Dancing City
    2.20 Listentoyourheart
    2.55 Tripoli Flyer
    4.05 Blue Lord 20/1 ew antepost
    5.15 Celtic Dino

    BOL

    8
    • Avatar of John Mitchell
      Yonus 2 weeks ago

      Hope it’s all positive today DC. With your hospital appointments. 🤞😎

      4
    • Avatar of Lee Pearce
      lep72 2 weeks ago

      Good luck at the Ozzie DC and thanks for your input and contribution to the site

      2
    • Avatar of tony conlon
      tonycon 2 weeks ago

      Best of luck today D.C.

      3
  3. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    changing man 1.45 wreckless Eric 2.20 fantastic lady 4.05 familar dreams 4.40 anilam 5.15 well done all winners yesterday

    0
  4. Avatar of busstop.2018
    busstop.2018 2 weeks ago

    Morning All.

    AINTREE

    13.45. .Handstands. .5/2

    14.55. .Tripoli Flyer. .5/2

    16.40. .Mister Meggit. .4/1

    GL ALL

    • Avatar of Ewthief
      ew thief 2 weeks ago

      Well done yesterday buss👍

      2
  5. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    Back home now, let’s say I didn’t get bad news so you’ll all have to put up with me for a while longer at least.
    First appointment was 8.50 am and I was called in at exactly 8.50 am. 2nd appointment was 10.45 am and I was called at 10.55am, can’t ask for better than that.
    Anyway onto today and I now have time to put up a bit of reasoning but before I do that can I just say a big thank you to everyone for their comments, I really do appreciate them.

    1.45 Dancing City

    I just think he doesn’t like Cheltenham. He came here last year having come 3rd in the AB and won easily turning the tables with The Jukebox Man by 5 1/2L.
    Yes the ground was soft that day but I don’t think he’s as ground dependant as people think and the form the Mullins camp is in he should run a big race.

    2.20 Listentoyourheart ew

    Skelton has won 2 of the last 3 and has 2 entered for today’s race. I prefer the chances of my selection as I think he’s been crying out for the step up in trip and he puts a 7lb claimer up to help his mark. Being well supported in the market today too.

    2.55 Tripoli Flyer

    Elliott is 0-35 and although Romeo Collio was well clear of the remainder in the Supreme I just think he would be better over further.
    I can’t have Salvator Mundi (watch him bolt up now) based on his Supreme run but if he starts out making the running I’ll be worried but I said it after his last run, Tripoli Flyer has a big engine and if he can sort his jumping out I think he will be too quick and strong at the finish and will take this.

    4.05 Blue Lord

    I just thought it was interesting that Willie sent BL over to the UK to contest a race over today’s trip to see what mark he would get. He never ran a yard and was subsequently dropped 3lbs by the UK Handicapper and I’d say that was the plan all along.
    And when I seen Townend choosing him over the other Mullins runners was the icing on the cake. He just needs to go and do it now.

    5.15 Celtic Dino NAP
    Fto on good ground he bolted up by 14L in a class 4 race. He then followed that up winning a class 2 on good ground by 4 1/2L with Wade Out in 2nd and Joyeuse back in 3rd.
    Wade Out runs today off 128 and is fancied to run well so Celtic Dino off 132 with the jockey taking 3lbs off has to be well h’capped and back on good ground should take a lot of beating.

    BOL

    4
  6. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 weeks ago

    🇬🇧
    Cheltenham 1.45…Stellar Story 10/1 Ew. (8/1 Ew Extra Bet365)
    Put this up last year winning Albert Bartlett Hurdle then on chase debut and at Cheltenham this year I I gave it a mention talking to DC and I’d agreeing drying ground was against it but mainly it was the ONLY 2 places on offer for Ew so I didn’t push through and only put a token bet on him myself only to go finish 2nd @ 22/1.
    So many horses after contesting a 3 miler or more at Cheltenham can run tired or whatever you call it when next going to Aintree BUT if he’s good to go think bookies under estimating him again as he loved the G-Soft last time 🤷

    GL all 🫡 🇬🇧 🧑‍⚖️

    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 2 weeks ago

      Agree bookies continue to underestimate him but would Elliott form not worry you ?

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 2 weeks ago

      Oh well DC 🤷
      Yeah Elliot’s form be a slight worry as you’ve got to take most things into consideration but Trainer form probably my last thoughts/on the list before backing a horse.

      GL rest of the day and well done yesterday, had to check what all the “noise” was for on yesterday thread and top stuff Sir! 🫡 🥇 ⭐

  7. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    Aintree

    1-45 Dancing city 4-1 betfred
    As yesterday showed previous winnings course form is key and it’s Mullins innit.
    This year’s gold cup winner won this last year is next year’s winner lurking here ??

    2-20 tintintin 12-1 ew 7 places SKYBET

    2-55 Romeo Coolio 7-4

    4-05
    Blue lord 6-4 top 6 finish bet365 …NAP….🏇.
    fantastic lady 25-1 ew 7 places SKYBET

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      4-40 crest of fortune
      12-1 ew extra 8 places
      33-1 ew 5 plaes SKYBET

      5-15 tapley
      16-1 ew extra 9 places
      66-1 ew 5 places Ladbrokes

      Last year’s winner el jefe ran off this featherweight 10-2 with a 7 pound claimer same as tapley today and tapley has some reasonable form going back to give him a squeak of a top half finish.

      1
  8. Avatar of Ewthief
    ew thief 2 weeks ago

    Al have a blast today
    Don’t rightfully know 1.45a 22-1
    Steel ally 2.20a 16-1
    Diva Luna 2.55a 14-1
    Fantastic lady 4.05a 33-1
    Western knight 4.40a 33-1
    Country park 5.15a 16-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky 63☘️☘️gl all

    1
  9. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    Well that told us nothing really. I thought Dancing City was travelling like a dream until the fall

    1
  10. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    I got 18/1 on Listentoyourheart yesterday, he sp’s at 6/1 and I think he’s just jumped the last now.
    Awful stuff

    1
    • Avatar of John Mulhern
      spursman 2 weeks ago

      I had already my bet done but the eventual winner had 5 and a half grand on the exchanges and I figured that would be hard to beat.

  11. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    Sod it the way Willie & Townend are going this week I’ve backed El Fab

  12. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 weeks ago

    🇬🇧
    Bet365 offering EVS on Jonbon?

    Surely after what was a pretty amazing 2nd at Cheltenham he wins today and double your doh does me if he wins or not

    1
  13. Avatar of Sore point
    Sore point 2 weeks ago

    Southwell 8.00 Agent Mayfair

  14. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    It’s just one of them days. If I back Townend he falls if I don’t he wins

    1
  15. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

    Elland road girl wins at a drifted 10/3 come on shoe a brother some love ❤️

    3
  16. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 weeks ago

    🇺🇸

    Laurel Park -Race 1 …Defined Boundaries 5/2 Bet365
    Only reason I think he’s 2nd favourite is due to finishing 3rd in this grade last run then having 2 + months off BUT it’s the same grade here and he was a close 3rd in a much higher grade …can and is better than that?
    Trainers record from lay offs is good too

    GL

    2
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 2 weeks ago

      Yahtzee!” 🎲

      👉

      1
  17. Avatar of jon rickards
    a3780cd 2 weeks ago

    WELL DONE RIZZ

    I GOT ON AT THE LAST MINUTE
    STEAK FOR TEA

    25/1

    3
  18. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 weeks ago

    Was with you there Cairndizzle with my free £2 bet Ew.

    Nice one 🫡

    3
  19. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 weeks ago

    Laurel Park -Race 3…St Pete’s Passion 13/10 Bet365
    Not so confident this due to lay off but won by 8l at Philadelphia in a supposed better race which is the problem as he looks by far the best but Philly a hard figure out

    Double with Aquaduct -Race 2…Sligo Ridge 10/11
    Pays 3.39/1 for smaller stake is an option but hey you know what your doing

    10/11 Sligo Ridge night drift to EVS or possibly 4/7 ??

    1

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