IT'S been a frustrating month but hopefully I can end it on a high with Swansea and Raith both scoring 2+ goals.
Swansea take on Reading at the Liberty Stadium where they have scored eight goals in their last three home games.
Reading on the other hand have conceded eight in the three on the road and Ladbrokes' 5-6 on the home side scoring 2+ goals looks good value.
Next up are Raith in Scottish League One away to Forfar. Raith put four past Forfar at the start of September and should add to their impressive 10 goals in their last three away games against a Forfar side conceding four at home last time against East Fife.
Ladbrokes offer 10-11 on Raith scoring 2+ goals. Going for a straight 3pts double which pays 5-2.
2+ Goals Double
- Swansea
- Raith
- (5-2, Ladbrokes) – 3pts
Both to Score Double
- Accrington v Portsmouth
- Burton v Peterborough
- (2-1, Ladbrokes) – 1pt
Over 2.5 Goals Treble
- Airdrie v Stenhousemuir
- Stranraer v Arbroath
- Elgin v Annan
- (5-1, Ladbrokes) – 1pt
Sevenfold roll-up: 45-1 – 0.5p
October Stats: -3pts
I’m going for this treble today –
Bournemouth to score 2+ 4/5
Fulham have had 78% of there Home matches over 2.5 goals . Bournemouth have seen 75% of there away matches finish with over 2.5. These stats would normally make me jump on the overs market but at 1/2 there is just no value. It’s clear that Fulham have problems at the back , they have conceded 25 goals in there 9 league Games the season, and with that havnt kept a clean sheet all season and have conceded 2+ on 8 of the 9 matches. Bournemouth currently sit 6th no have scored 2+ in 6 of 9 games . With this goal threat against this dodgy defensive outfit , this looks a cracking bet for value.
Leicester vs West Ham – BTTS + over 2.5- 5/4
Leicester have scored 15 and conceded 15 , and are always a good bet for btts, with 78% of there matches finishes with btts, and 75% at home. Away from Home West Ham have seen 75% of there matches over 2.5 goals whilst Leicester have seen over 2.5 in 75% of there home games. These are strong stats and I expect to see plenty of attacking football and plenty of goals .
Luton to score 2+ goals 11/10
Luton currently sit 6th with Wimbledon down in 22nd , so you would fancy Luton to win the match, but at even money I see Luton to score 2+ as a safer option at a better price. Wimbledon have lost there last 6 games in a row , and have conceded 2 goals in there last three on the bounce. There Home only stats don’t rewlly improve all that much , having conceded 9 goals in there last 6. In contrast Luton have won 5 of there last 6 scoring 13 goals along the way, so confidence is flying high.
dandiouf, good shout on Bournemouth and Luton, hope the Leicester game goes your way. Cheers, Desmond