Bundesliga outright winner odds and prediction

The Bundesliga outright winner odds market has seen some interesting shifts, and here we'll look at whether or not Leverkusen can hold on to their crown, as a wounded Bayern Munich gear up to take back what they see as theirs by rights.

Best Bundesliga outright winner odds

Bayern Munich – 2/5

After three wins from three for Bayern at the start of the new campaign, they look hungry to make amends for having their 11-year reign as Bundesliga champions ended last season.

Under new boss Vincent Kompany, they look like a more swashbuckling side than they were under Thomas Tuchel. Star striker Harry Kane tallied 36 goals last term, and he probably has another 30+ goals in him with Bayern playing to his strengths.

Interestingly, Kane is available at 11/4 odds within the Bundesliga top scorer outright market to net at least 40 league goals this season.

Bayern Munich’s last three Bundesliga titles came from an average of 75 per season. But a new bar has been set and Bayern Munich have to up their game, meaning they are 6/4 to at least match the 90 points Leverkusen earned last season.

Bayer Leverkusen – 5/2

Bayer Leverkusen achieved an unbeaten campaign last season (W28 D6). A repeat of that is already impossible, so it’s about consolidation and another top-four finish. Die Werkself added new faces over the summer including Aleix Garcia, Martin Terrier and Jeanuel Belocian.

They have had to build a deeper squad because of the new demands that come with the pressure of the UEFA Champions League, but the difficult thing for Bayer Leverkusen is finding a new level to fend off a stronger-looking Bayern Munich.

Nonetheless, they are solid 5/2 second-favourites in the Bundesliga outright winner odds.

Best Bayer Leverkusen odds to win the Bundesliga without Bayern: 4/6

Borussia Dortmund – 12/1

Borussia Dortmund surprised everyone by reaching last season’s Champions League final, which they lost 2-0 to Real Madrid. That run covered up a poor domestic season in which BVB only finished fifth.

There's a ‘new broom' feeling to the club right now, with unproven head coach Nuri Sahin taking over and a big clear out of players, including veterans Niclas Fullkrug, Marco Reus and Mats Hummels.

Dortmund’s big summer signing was striker Serhou Guirassy, who scored 28 goals in 28 Bundesliga matches last season for Stuttgart. He is a tempting 12/1 shot to be the Bundesliga top scorer this season.

Best Borussia Dortmund odds to win the Bundesliga without Bayern: 11/2

RB Leipzig – 20/1

RB Leipzig finished seven points outside the top three last term, but they should be back in the running for another top-four finish this season and are odds on (at 4/9) to do so. Manager Marco Rose was busy over the summer adding to their squad, with the likes of Antonio Nusa and Lutsharel Geertruida joining.

Leipzig were sound last season in a defensive sense, but fell down badly in matches against the three teams that finished above them. Their big 20/1 outsider price in Bundesliga outright winner odds reflects the opinions of those see the Red Bulls as little more than flat-track bullies with no big-game mentatlity.

Best RB Leipzig odds to win the Bundesliga without Bayern: 7/2

Who will win the Bundesliga? Here’s our prediction

Bayern Munich are the overwhelming favourites to get the title back, and it’s hard to see any other outcome. Because Bayer Leverkusen will be tested with Champions League football, and RB Leipzig don’t carry the biggest of attacking threats, Borussia Dortmund could make a surprise run at second spot.

The swathe of changes makes it hard to see Dortmund in the title picture, but there is a big new energy sweeping through the club, making them a decent 11/2 shot in the w/o Bayern Munich market.

Lee Jackson

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