THE Rome derby on Monday night rounds off a brilliant weekend of TV fixtures and this is a tough one to call.
There have been seven red cards in the last five runnings of this fixture and while that doesn’t necessarily lead you to lump on yes in the sending-ff market it does make you realise anything could happen here.
Roma must beat Lazio to rekindle any hopes they have of a top-four finish and they know a win would draw them level on points with their city rivals.
The identity of the top four will be the glue that binds the rest of the Serie A season together. Roma are justifiably favourites but look a little short to me at 2.02.
I can’t support a team that lost in Palermo (and failed to score) at that kind of price in a game of this magnitude, especially given the fact that Lazio have won the last three derbies.
All season long we have seen that Lazio are a better team with Miroslav Klose and even though he’s on his way back he still won’t be fit to start.
Roma are missing the suspended Pablo Osvaldo and that creates a conundrum in terms of the match odds market. Favourites Roma are short enough at 2.02 but I think Lazio will score at least once and we know Roma, even after the departure of Zdenek Zeman and without Osvaldo, are capable of producing goals at home (three and two in the first two post Zeman games).
Earlier this season these two produced a five goal thriller and while tiredness and nervousness may not lead to a classic in the mould of last weekend’s Torino v Napoli game, I still think over 3.5 goals at around 3.4 is a fair price.
Back over 3.5 Goals in Roma v Lazio @ 3.4