Racing tips: Our Nel has been found a weak race to break her maiden tag

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Tuesday was a day of strange races and rides. Francina was in a four-runner field which saw only two finish and considering she was well-supported into 13/8F she jumped horrendously and very out to the left. Neigh Botha clattered the first in his race, pretty much gave him no chance after that even though he managed to travel nicely into contention. Harry Skelton did what I said he might do and that was hold the horse up like Jamie Spencer, apart from the fact he was 15L+ off the leader jumping the first, and then decided to go widest of all to try and win the race. Baffling. 

It wasn't going to plan until Goshhowposh won at Exeter whilst doing a fair bit wrong. He is a big old horse and was shuffled back after an early mistake, he had to be switched a few times when approaching the final bend but managed to stay on strongly to win with a bit to spare, more than the final margins would suggest. He'll have a decent future over fences I'd like to think.

Fontwell 2:35 – Dysania 12/1 (0.5pt EW Bet365)

Dysania is hardly the strongest of fancies, but in a race full of question marks around the others in the field I think he offers some value.

Pilot Show looks to be on a tough mark, Sandy Brook makes his chase debut from 663 days off the track, No Hubs No Hoobs seems best when carrying smaller weights in better races and Blazing Hartingo is making his chase debut. Out of the four, I'd be worried about the Evan Williams horse as he is making his chase debut off a very low mark and we've seen it on numerous occasions that he has many well-handicapped horses when they decide to switch to fences, with Idealko being the latest example. However, Idealko showed that he needed the run first time out for the season, so there is a possibility that his stablement, Blazing Hartingo will also need his first run, especially with this being his first run over fences.

Dysania runs in this out of the handicap but he has run some decent enough races at this grade earlier last season. His form tailed off massively towards the back end, but having Sean Bowen back in the saddle is a huge positive. This horse is normally held miles from off the pace, but with this being a smaller field than what he is used to, I can't imagine Sean will want him 20L off the pace like he normally does. He jumping for the most part is good, and his strongest attribute seems to be his stamina as he does get rolling late into his races. He hasn't got much ability, but he runs off a very low weight and other than Blazing Hartingo the other three are nearly conceding two stone. The ground will be testing and that should be what this horse wants, and at a double-figure price, I think you can roll the dice with him.

Fontwell 3:45 – Kansus Du Berlais 6/4 (1pt)

I'm fairly sure that a few of the horses in this race will be higher rated come the end of the season, but at this trip/track and on testing ground and in this race I think Kansas Du Berlais is the one to beat.

The odds would suggest he's the one to beat, you'll rarely get great odds with these connections as they are big gamblers and aren't afraid to back their horses, but at 6/4 I'd still deem that to be decent enough to have a bet on. This horse is 2/3 at this track and has been best seen to effect when running from the front, which is what Jamie Moore will likely do in this race. There's not a great deal of pace on with Issam the other likely horse to be prominent, which could leave Jamie and Kansus Du Berlais in front. His jumping can be sticky, so ideally getting an easy lead will allow Jamie to get him into a nice rhythm. I believe that if he's still leading when turning for home then this should be in the bag as he has looked like a relentless galloper at this trip, he has done his winning at a lower level but he has done a fair bit wrong in those wins and left the impression there's plenty more to come.

I think a fair deal of the horses in this race aren't real stayers at this trip, Monjules would've been a big player in this for me but he paddled home over a couple of furlongs shorter last year at this track, and didn't look to be crying out for the trip.

Gary Moore won this race 2 years ago with the same owners and they went for the repeat win with another horse last year but he fell, so it's interesting they're going again for the third year in a row.

Fontwell 4:50 – Our Nel 11/4 (1pt)

This race is a shocking one and it shouldn't take too much to win if Our Mel can progress for the step up in trip.

This 5yo mare has a strong staying pedigree with horses staying over 3m in her pedigree so the step up to 2m 3f will be a step in the right direction. I also think the soft ground will assist her massively as she seems to have a soft ground action, which makes me think he runs on fast ground over the late summer period are better performances than what they look like on paper.

This is her handicap debut off a mark of 98, which is effectively 93 as Ben Bromley claims 5lbs. She arrives to this race having run at the back end of last month so should be much fitter than the majority of these.

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