There can be very few football fans who would want to deny Lionel Messi a fairytale ending to a magical career, but that's the task at hand for Croatia in tonight's World Cup semi-final.
The Croats have been here before however. Four years ago they ended England's dream of World Cup glory at this stage to reach their first final and the core of that squad are just one win away from repeating that feat.
As highlighted on yesterday's thread the Croations haven't won a knock-out match inside 90 minutes since 1998. Of their last five KO matches, four have been won on penalties, the other victory was secured in extra-time – against England. A penalty shoot-out win for the Europeans pays 9/1. For Argentina to win on spot-kicks it's also 9/1, despite them being significantly shorter on the outright market.
Cards will be popular among punters especially after eight Argentinians picked up a booking in their fiery clash with the Netherlands in the quarter-finals. Significantly these cards won't carry over in to the semi-final which means that none of the offenders run the risk of missing the final and effectively start with a clean slate.
Even money was on offer for Over 3.5 Cards in that Argentina v Netherlands match but the bookies aren't being quite so generous tonight. Bet365 have pushed the line out to Over 4.5 at just 5/6. A bigger ask for a short price.
For the same price you can back both teams to pick up two or more cards, which can be boosted to over evens at Bet365. With so much at stake this has to be a runner.
Goalkeepers are always worth a look for a card in games of this magnitude since they might incur the wrath of the referee as they seek to run down the clock. Dominik Livaković has been the Croatian hero so far and he's 10/1 to pick up a card. At the other end of the pitch Emiliano Martínez (Damien at bet365) is 12/1 to go in to the book. The Aston Villa keeper picked up two yellows in his last two Premier League matches before the break.
Only six goals have been scored inside the first half hour of the 12 knock-out ties so far, and three of those came in Brazil's 4-1 win over South Korea so it could pay to back no goal before 34:00 at 5/6 with Bet365 which has been a profitably pick throughout the tournament.
Super Singles
- Two or more cards for each team 1/1 Bet365 (with Winnings Boost)
- No goal before 34:00 5/6 Bet365
- Emiliano Martínez to be booked 12/1 Bet365
Upcoming Match Previews & Tip
- Football Bet of the Day: Another Dorking match to deliver more goals
- Tue 19:00 Argentina vs Croatia
- Wed 19:00 France vs Morocco
Racing Tips
Cairnzy steps in to Rizzel's shoes with two tips for Tuesday.
As always, let us know your best betting tips and predictions for today in the comments section below and good luck with all your bets!
Argentina v Croatia
Taking a wee gamble on corners .
Over 4 first half corners 19/10 Hills
Over 8 corners in the match 11/10 Bet365 .
Argentina v Croatia 19.00 KO
Messi to score or assist 6/4 – PP
—
Betfair betbuilder, free bet for tomorrow’s game win or lose, pays 16/1+
Brozovic to be carded
Brozovic 2+ fouls
Messi 1+ fouls
Croatia 3+ SOT
4+ cards
Messi is 4/6 for a foul and looks a great price considering what’s at stake, could be his last WC game and had 3 fouls v Holland
Luka modric over 0.5 shots on target -11/10
Luka modric to score 17/2
Luka modric to score from outside box 18/1
All odds a mix from bet365 and William hill
Good luck 🤞
A word of caution to anyone placing bets on the EFL cup on the 21st/22nd Liverpool will be without ten first team players and the same for City,i expect it could be the same for Man Utd.The Premier league games on the 26th and the 27th could also see lots of players missing due to World cup commitments.
both teams to score
alaves v levante
william hill 6/5
NAP lost
both teams to score
boavista v guimaraes
bet365 11/10
NB lost
double on above
william hill 7/2 lost
Arsenal v Ac Milan quick post
Arsenal to win at 10/11
Arsenal should win easily enough.
Skybet special…. Messi to score in 90 mins @ 2-1
Longshot acca for tonight (1st post for a couple of months)😎
Both Teams to Score
Lorient II v Vierzon FC 17/20
Over Total Goals 4.5
KR Reykjavik v Fram Reykjavik 21/20
Both Teams to Score
Dorking Wanderers v Maidstone
1/2
Both Teams to Score
Rio Ave v Farense 20/23
Both Teams to Score
Bristol Rovers v MK Dons 7/10
Both Teams to Score
Cheltenham v Chelsea U21 @ 4/6
Both Teams to Score
Burton v Accrington 4/7
Acca Odds 46.35/1
Good luck all👍
Croatia win 4/1 [ far too big a price] Croatia on pens 10/1. Croatia 18/1 in ET. Small stakes on latter 2. Croatia done Argentina 3-0 in the last WC so bear no fear about big games and of course were in the final last time out !
btt receive a card
each team one FH corner
Croatia 2nd half corner
evens
Afternoon gents,
No joy with either of my bets in England’s game – turning my attention to the Modric v Messi show tonight!
ARGENTINA VS. CROATIA (7.00pm)
BROSOVIC CARDED
(15/8, paddypower) NAP ⭐️⭐️⭐️
90 MINUTE RESULT = DRAW
(12/5, betfred) NAB ⭐️⭐️
ARGENTINA WIN ON PENALTIES
(9/1, bet365) LONGSHOT ⭐️
Best of luck with all bets!
Dorking W v Maidstone
Over 4.5 goals 3/1
🙂
Evening,
Croatia v Argentina k.o 19.00
Dejan Lovren Booking in 90mins.
Skybet 9/4 Goodluck.
Mint…
Evening,
Croatia v Argentina k.o 19.00
Dejan Lovren Booking in 90mins.
Skybet 9/4 Goodluck.
Mint… 😷 Lost.
Messi shot on target now 6/4
Bet 365 boost
Good luck
Scrap that is with Argentina to qualify too
Mac callister carded 21/4 Unibet
Canvey Island
Worthing
Over 2.5mgs double 7/5
Good luck
Good one dc john boy. Ur tip actually save d day.
Argentina v Croatia 19.00 KO
Messi to score or assist 6/4 – PP
👍👍👍
Messi foul but the BB down after Brozovic getting subbed just after HT
That’ll be a no for my picks…think Brosovic went off just after h/t to down the Nap!
Well done any winners 👍
Alright Hull, not seen you on much. hope your well 👍
Arsenal v Ac Milan
Arsenal to win at 10/11 WON
Messi the best player ever and still doing the business at 35.
Well done all winners
Canvey Island
Worthing
Over 2.5mgs double 7/5**WON**
Well done all winners
Getting betfair free punt in early as working 12 hrs tomorrow. Pays just under 18/1
France v Morocco 19.00 KO
France 5+ SOT
France 5+ corners
Amrabat 2+ fouls
Amrabat to be carded
Giroud 1+ SOT
Mbappe to score or assist