We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Newcastle Utd vs Wolves
Newcastle United look well set to claim a 2-0 win over Wolves at St James’ Park this weekend. Eddie Howe’s side have started strongly in terms of underlying data, winning two of their three xG battles and sitting on 4.33 xPTS. At home, they have been reliable, with Bruno Guimaraes, Anthony Elanga and Harvey Barnes all carrying attacking threat, and they continue to dominate territory and shot volume.
The numbers suggest Newcastle should be able to break Wolves down. Wolves, now under Vitor Pereira, sit bottom of the xPTS table and have been among the poorest sides defensively. They rank third-highest in the league for non-penalty xGA, showing they regularly concede quality chances. On top of that, they are giving up an average of 4.33 shots on target per game, along with 7.0 shots in the box. They have already allowed four big chances, underlining how often opponents are finding high-value opportunities.
Newcastle’s midfield gives them a further edge. Bruno Guimaraes has registered a shot on target in each of his last three home games, reflecting how much license he has to step forward, while the team overall carry multiple set-piece threats.
With Newcastle’s balance between defensive control and attacking firepower, and Wolves looking fragile at the back, a professional 2-0 home victory is the likeliest outcome.
Score 2-1 at 11/2 with Skybet
Bournemouth vs Brighton
Bournemouth’s clash with Brighton at the Vitality Stadium has the feel of a high-scoring contest, and a 2-2 draw looks the likeliest outcome. Both sides favour an attacking approach, both create chances in volume, and both give up opportunities at the other end.
Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth have already shown their intent this season, pressing high and moving the ball forward quickly. They beat Spurs 1-0 with an early goal from Evanilson, and against Wolves they struck inside four minutes through Marcus Tavernier. The Cherries are joint top of the league for fastest goals, showing how aggressive they are from the outset. They also average 9.67 shots in the box per game, ranking among the best, but defensively they remain vulnerable, conceding 6.0 shots in the box on average.
Brighton under Fabian Hurzeler are equally front-footed. They rank near the top of the league for xPTS (5.79) and are creating chances at a strong rate, with five big chances already in the campaign. Yet defensively they are far from secure, having conceded four big chances themselves and allowing opponents 1.27 non-penalty xGA per match. Their matches consistently open up into end-to-end contests.
With both teams built to attack and both showing defensive gaps, goals look assured. A 2-2 score line reflects Bournemouth’s energy at home and Brighton’s creativity, while accounting for neither side’s defensive flaws being fully solved
- Score 2-2 at 10/1 with Skybet
West Ham vs Tottenham
A 1-1 draw between West Ham and Tottenham looks the most realistic outcome when the two sides meet at the London Stadium. West Ham arrive off the back of a 3-0 win at Nottingham Forest, with late goals from Jarrod Bowen, Lucas Paqueta, and Callum Wilson. Graham Potter’s side rank third in the league for shots in the box created, averaging 8.33 per match, but also sit fourth-worst for shots in the box conceded. Their xPTS sits at 3.42, highlighting inconsistency.
Spurs, under Thomas Frank, started brightly with a win at Manchester City but slipped to defeat at home to Bournemouth. Their defence remains suspect, conceding the second-most shots in the box in the division (9.67 per game), while also giving up more than their share of big chances. Their xPTS is 4.14, only marginally ahead of West Ham, and they have won just one of their three xG battles.
The cards market also suggests a close, competitive affair. Spurs have picked up at least one card in 19 of their last 20 away league games, while referee Jarred Gillett averaged 4.25 cards per match last season. Historical trends show this derby rarely passes without incident.
With both attacks capable but defences flawed, a 1-1 draw looks the most likely outcome.
- Score 1-1 at 11/2 with Skybet
Brentford vs Chelsea
Chelsea are well-placed to come through a tricky test at Brentford with a 2-1 victory. Enzo Maresca’s side top the xPTS table on 7.37, have won all three of their xG battles, and boast the best non-penalty xG differential in the league (+1.35). They are generating 2.21 NP xG per game while conceding just 0.87, and crucially, they have yet to allow a single big chance. That process dominance suggests they will control the contest.
Brentford, though, have caused Chelsea problems in recent seasons. They drew 0-0 here in April, won at Stamford Bridge last December, and famously won 4-1 at the Bridge in 2022. Yet this current Brentford side look far weaker. They are 17th for shots in the box created and third-lowest for non-penalty xG. Defensively, they have already conceded six big chances, ranking among the worst in the league.
Head-to-head, Chelsea have the better overall record, winning five of the last 12 meetings, though Brentford have avoided defeat in four of the last six league clashes. Odds reflect Chelsea’s superiority, with the Blues 10/13 (57% implied probability) and Brentford 15/4 (21%).
With Chelsea’s process strong but Brentford still awkward at home, a narrow 2-1 away win looks the most realistic outcome.
Score 1-2 at 7/1 with Skybet
Burnley vs Liverpool
Liverpool’s 3-0 win away at Burnley looks the most likely scoreline based on current form and underlying numbers. Arne Slot’s side have maximum points from their first three league games, beating Bournemouth 4-2, Newcastle 3-2, and Arsenal 1-0. While not at full fluency, Liverpool rank third for shots on target ratio (73.9%), average 5.67 shots on target per game (the most in the league), and have yet to concede a single big chance. Their xPTS sits at 4.57, underlining their control.
Dominik Szoboszlai’s free-kick against Arsenal highlighted their match-winning quality even in tight games, while new signings Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike are beginning to integrate. Liverpool’s late goals have already become a theme, with two wins secured in stoppage time, showing their resilience.
Burnley, by contrast, look exposed defensively. They sit bottom for shots in the box ratio at just 33.3%, conceding 10 per game, and their non-penalty xG differential is among the worst in the league (-0.78). Scott Parker’s side have already allowed 4.33 shots on target per match and four big chances across three fixtures. Their away record at top-half clubs last time at this level saw them concede heavily, including a 3-2 loss at Old Trafford last weekend.
Liverpool’s attack versus Burnley’s defence is a stark mismatch. With the Reds yet to concede a big chance and Burnley regularly gifting them, a 3-0 away win reflects both the underlying data and current momentum.
Score 0-3 at 8/1 with Skybet
Man City vs Man Utd
Manchester City head into the derby as favourites, and the underlying numbers point strongly towards them edging out their rivals, with 2-1 a likely score line. Pep Guardiola’s side have opened the season with impressive control of games, sitting near the top of the table for non-penalty xG difference at +0.59 per match and winning two of their three xG battles so far. City are averaging 1.57 npxG for and conceding just 0.98 npxG against, a balance that shows their ability to create more than they allow.
Manchester United, by contrast, have been less convincing. They rank only 12th for xPTS (3.99) and sit bottom half for defensive metrics, giving up 1.63 npxG per game and conceding more shots in the box than they manage themselves. While they can be dangerous in transition, their defensive frailties remain clear.
City’s front line, led by Erling Haaland, should create enough opportunities to strike twice, particularly against a United defence that has already looked stretched. At the same time, City have allowed chances as they conceded five shots on target per match so far, the third-worst record in the division and that vulnerability gives United hope of finding a goal.
The combination of City’s attacking edge, United’s defensive record, and both sides’ shot data points neatly to a narrow but controlled 2-1 City win.
Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 267,695/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back both Newcastle to beat Wolves 2-0 and Liverpool to come away from Turf Moor with a 3-0 victory. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 58/1 with Skybet.
Upcoming match previews and betting tips
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