Last season the top scorer race in Serie A wasn't too exciting, with Mateo Retegui claiming the crown with six more goals than the first player behind him.
Hopefully, the 2025-26 season will bring us a more exciting race, so let's take a closer look at the latest Serie A top scorer odds.
Best Serie A top scorer odds
Unfortunately, the odds for this particular market haven't yet been released as the bookies are likely waiting for the summer transfer window to end and teams to be completed. So, it might take a while before we see 2025-26 Serie top scorer odds.
Nevertheless, we certainly have some idea who the top candidates will be, at least when it comes to players who are already in Serie A. So, here's our selection of the most likely top scorer favourites for the next Serie A season:
- Mateo Retegui
- Marcus Thuram
- Romelu Lukaku
- Moise Kean
- Artem Dovbyk
- Lautaro Martinez
- Ademola Lookman
- Riccardo Orsolini
Mateo Retegui
The 2024-25 Serie A season didn't bring us an exciting race for the Golden Boot, all because of Atalanta's striker Mateo Retegui, who blew out the competition. He finished the season with 25 goals to his name, six more than Moise Kean in second place.
With that in mind, Retegui seems poised to be the main favourite once the bookies release the top scorer odds. After all, the Argentina forward is just entering his prime years, and with Atalanta playing an offensive style of football, he will again have plenty of chances to put the ball in the net many times.
Marcus Thuram/Lautaro Martinez
Inter Milan's duo up front combined for 26 goals, which doesn't sound too great considering that Retegui had 25 goals by himself. Still, there are reasons to feel optimistic about this output, like the fact that this was Thuram's best scoring season in his entire career.
On the other hand, Martinez has scored 20+ goals in three seasons in a row before last season, so 12 goals is quite a significant drop. That being said, Martinez is still just 27 years old, so he could easily bounce back and have his best season yet next time around. After all, he did score nine goals in 14 Champions League matches, so he clearly didn't forget how to score goals.
Moise Kean
The second player in last season's race for the Golden Boot in Serie A was Moise Kean and while he was far behind the top scorer Retegui, he was also well ahead of the next player in the list. Kean scored 19 goals in Serie A last season, four more goals then Lookman and Orsolini, who were right behind him.
Whether Kean can repeat this season is a big question since he scored more goals last season than he did in the previous three combined. That being said, he did move to Fiorentina from Juventus and perhaps that was exactly what he needed to unlock his full potential.
Our Serie A top scorer prediction
It's hard to look past Retegui repeating as the top Serie A goalscorer next season. Atalanta are simply a team that scores a lot of goals and he is the focus of their offence.
Of course, the summer transfer window could change things dramatically if some of Europe's top scorers come to Serie A, like Viktor Gyokeres for example, who is linked with Juventus and Napoli, although he will likely end up in the Premier League.
Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.
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