Tottenham v Newcastle
Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United

, KO: 19:30 , Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Newcastle United

Two managers under pressure collide in this intriguing Premier League clash as Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur look to get back to winning ways.

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Eddie Howe is suffering the first mini crisis of his spell at St James Park, with the Magpies winning just one of their last eight games in all competitions.

They've lost their last three, including a 3-2 home defeat to Brentford on Saturday, and that has left them a whopping 10 points behind fifth-placed Chelsea.

It looks like Newcastle will need to win this season's Champions League to take their seat at Europe's top table next term but they will be confident of getting back on track against injury-hit Spurs.

Thomas Frank was seemingly on the brink of the sack a few weeks ago but rousing Champions League wins over Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt seem to have bought him some time.

Tottenham's domestic form remains dire though, going eight games without a win, and if their slump continues the Dane might not be in charge when their European campaign resumes.

How the bookies view it: No home comfort

Despite having home advantage, Tottenham are 2/1 outsiders for this one at Betfair. Newcastle are the favourites at 11/8 with most firms while the draw pays 13/5 at Bet365.

Recent head to head: Toon on top

Newcastle have held the upper hand in this fixture of late, going five games without defeat. Four of those matches were wins but Spurs scrambled a 2-2 draw at St James' Park earlier this season thanks to Cristian Romero's late overhead kick.

Players to watch: Solanke back in business

One of the few positives for Tottenham in recent weeks has been Dominic Solanke's return from injury. The striker scored an acrobatic equaliser in their last home game against Manchester City and is a decent 7/5 with Paddy Power for a goal or assist.

It was a similar story for Newcastle at the weekend, with Bruno Guimaraes' comeback the only ray of light from that loss to Brentford. The Brazilian delivered a goal and an assist in that game and is a bit overpriced at 11/5 with BetMGM to come up with either here.

Probable line-ups

Spurs are without skipper Romero as he begins a four-game ban following a stupid red card at Old Trafford. Destiny Udogie also limped off in that game, making it 10 players crocked for luckless Frank.

Newcastle also have plenty of issues, with Anthony Gordon, Fabian Schar, Tino Livramento, Joelinton and Lewis Miley likely to miss out.

Tottenham Hotspur: Vicario, Gray, Van de Ven, Dragusin, Souza, Palhinha, Sarr, Gallagher, Simons, Odobert, Solanke.

Newcastle United: Pope, Trippier, Botman, Thiaw, Burn, Hall, Guimaraes, Tonali, Ramsey, Barnes, Wissa.

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Both teams to score

Both teams to score is supported by shot volume and chance location rather than form alone.

Tottenham home games remain structurally open. Their home xG sits at 1.27 with xGA at 1.43, showing that opponents generate slightly more expected output than Spurs themselves. Shot location reinforces that pattern. Spurs home matches average 7.00 shots inside the box for and 7.08 against, with shots on target split at 4.00 for and 3.67 conceded. That balance keeps both boxes active rather than controlled. The outcomes reflect it. Spurs have conceded in 23 of their last 26 home league games and have allowed two or more goals in 16.

Newcastle arrive with enough attacking presence to exploit that profile. Across their last eight league games they average 1.75 xG with xGA at 1.29, driven by consistent open play chances rather than set piece spikes. Away from home they have scored 11 league goals this season, with scoring clustered when games stretch, which Spurs regularly allow.

With Spurs creating enough to score and conceding high quality chances at home, and Newcastle carrying repeatable attacking output on the road, both teams to score is supported by xG balance, box activity, and shot volume at both ends. .

Anything else catch the eye?

We saw four goals when these teams last faced off and this should also be a decent spectacle with neither defence looking tight.

Over 2.5 goals only pays 4/5 at Bet365 but you can boost the odds to 21/20 at Coral by adding on BTTS.

Think both sides will find the net? Our BTTS Masterclass explains how to spot the fixtures where goals are a given.

Brazilian kid Joao Victor Souza could be handed a full debut for Spurs at left-back after coming off the bench to replace the crocked Udogie at Old Trafford. He might be a bit over-eager and is 2/1 at Bet365 for over 1.5 fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United Betting Tips & Predictions
BTTS and over 2.5 goals
21/20
Coral
Dominic Solanke goal or assist
7/5
PaddyPower
Joao Victor Souza over 1.5 fouls
2/1
Bet365
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