Crystal Palace v Newcastle
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United

, KO: 14:00 , Selhurst Park
Newcastle United

Selhurst Park was rocking on Thursday night after an epic European win but it's back to Premier League duty for Crystal Palace when they host Newcastle United.

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The Eagles planted one foot in the semi-finals of the Conference League by thrashing Fiorentina 3-0 at home in the first leg of their quarter-final.

Europe will be the top priority for Oliver Glasner in the final few weeks of the season as he looks to end his reign as Palace boss by delivering another trophy.

His side sit 10 points above the Premier League drop zone so they're probably already safe, although Glasner will still be looking to make absolutely sure in the coming weeks.

This clash with Newcastle certainly won't be easy as Eddie Howe's side will be looking for three points to boost their push for European football next season.

The Magpies sit in the bottom half of the Premier League table but things are so congested that they're still not out of Champions League contention.

Newcastle have had three weeks to stew over the derby defeat by Sunderland and Howe will demand a response at Selhurst Park.

How the bookies view it: Hangover for the Eagles

Teams often struggle after Thursday night games in Europe and Crystal Palace are 2/1 outsiders with most firms. Newcastle's best price is just 13/10 at Ladbrokes while the draw pays 13/5 at Bet365.

Recent head to head: Magpies on top

Newcastle have held the upper hand in this fixture of late, with wins in the last two meetings making it just one defeat in 10. But five of those matches have been draws and the Magpies haven't won on their last four visits to Selhurst Park.

Players to watch: Sarr of the show

Ismaila Sarr scored Crystal Palace's clincher on Thursday night and now sits on 19 goals for the season. He's a decent 6/4 with Bet365 for a goal or assist, provided Glasner doesn't give him a breather ahead of the second leg in Europe.

Anthony Elanga has blown hot and cold for Newcastle this season but was hitting form before the international break. The winger looks good at 7/4 with William Hill for a goal or assist if he gets the nod to start.

Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.

Probable line-ups

Glasner faces a dilemma in attack with Jorgen Strand Larsen back from a European suspension. Jean-Philippe Mateta impressed after replacing the Norwegian on Thursday night so it will be interesting to see who gets the nod. Cheick Doucoure and Eddie Nketiah remain on the sidelines.

Newcastle still have skipper Bruno Guimaraes sidelined along with Sven Botman, Emil Krafth and Fabian Schar, but Sandro Tonali and Lewis Miley are back.

Crystal Palace: Henderson, Munoz, Lacroix, Lerma, Richards, Mitchell, Hughes, Wharton, Pino, Sarr, Mateta.

Newcastle United: Ramsdale, Hall, Burn, Thiaw, Livramento, Ramsey, Joelinton, Tonali, Elanga, Barnes, Gordon.

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals & both teams to score is well supported by the underlying data.

Palace’s last eight show 1.66 xG and 1.28 xGA, while Newcastle sit at 1.61 xG and 2.14 xGA, which points towards open games rather than control.

Newcastle’s trends reinforce that, with 75% both teams to score and 75% over 2.5 across the same period. Palace also produce steady attacking volume with 7.6 shots in the box, while Newcastle concede 8.1 and 14 big chances across eight, highlighting defensive vulnerability.

The combined total xG sits at 6.70. Newcastle have also conceded in 10 of their last 12 away games, supporting goals.

Anything else catch the eye?

Newcastle should be fresh after their long break and could take advantage if Palace show any signs of a European hangover. So there could be some value in backing the Magpies to score first at 10/11 with William Hill.

Recent games between these sides have produced a lot of corners, with an average of over 13 across the last three meetings. That makes over 10.5 corners a decent option for this game at 15/13 with Unibet.

The midfield battle will be key in this one and combining fouls for Joelinton, Sandro Tonali and Adam Wharton pays 13/10 at Bet365.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Betting Tips & Predictions
Newcastle to win
13/10
Ladbrokes
Over 10.5 corners
15/13
UniBet
Joelinton, Adam Wharton and Sandro Tonali fouls
13/10
Bet365
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All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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