Argentina v Austria
Argentina

Argentina vs Austria

, KO: 18:00 , AT&T Stadium
Austria

After Argentina easily disposed of Algeria—thanks to yet another historic performance by Lionel Messi—they now face the other big winner from the first round, Austria, in a matchup that will likely determine the group winner.

OFFER OF THE DAY

bet365 Logo

Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets

Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad

Argentina’s defence of their World Cup title could hardly have gotten off to a better start, with a classic 3-0 shutout and a hat trick by the legendary Lionel Messi. This victory marked the eighth consecutive win for La Albiceleste, their best streak in 10 years. 

Perhaps even more impressive is that Argentina have conceded only one goal in those eight victories. In fact, their only loss since November 2024 came against Ecuador in the final qualifying match, a game that was completely meaningless for La Albiceleste, who had already secured their spot long ago.

Ralf Rangnick’s squad is in similar form, with just one loss in their last 12 matches, including 10 wins. The Wunderteam also started the World Cup strongly with a commanding 3-1 victory over Jordan.

But the difference is that Argentina dominated the field for the entire 90 minutes, while Austria struggled somewhat and allowed Jordan too much freedom. It was solely the class of individual players and their effectiveness in the final third that made the difference. And if Jordan managed to get 11 shots on Schlager’s goal, then Argentina will certainly cause them far more problems.

How the bookies view it: The world champions to take a huge step forward

The bookmakers are in complete agreement that the world champions have far better odds of winning this match—and, with it, the group. Currently, Argentina are listed at about 3/5, a draw at 3/1, and Austria at 5/1, but you can find the best odds using our best mobile apps for World Cup betting.

Recent head-to-head: A brand new target for La Albiceleste

It has been more than 35 years since the last match between Argentina and Austria—specifically, the 1990 friendly between the two countries, which ended in a 1-1 draw. 

The upcoming World Cup match will be the first official encounter between the two national teams.

Players to watch: Messi has no plans to stop 

There are quite a few national teams built around a single leader or top scorer, but Argentina proved they are a perfectly oiled machine, with Messi unstoppable in front of the opponent’s goal. 

Messi took a total of six shots on Austria’s goal, scoring a hat trick. Surprisingly, the bookmakers are offering high odds on him in the second match; you can choose between 9/10 for a goal or 1/2 for a goal or an assist.

Probable line-ups 

Argentina: Martinez, Montiel, Romero, Otamendi, Tagliafico, De Paul, Mac Allister, Fernandez, Messi, Martinez, Alvarez

Austria: Schlager, Posch, Danso, Alaba, Mwene, Laimer, Seiwald, Wimmer, Sabitzer, Schmid, Arnautovic

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Under 2.5 goals

The winner of this Group J showdown will secure a place in the Round of 16, giving both Argentina and Austria the opportunity to qualify with a game to spare.

Argentina opened their campaign with a comfortable 3-0 victory over Algeria, although the underlying numbers suggest the performance was more controlled than dominant. Lionel Scaloni's side generated 1.26 xG and were typically efficient in front of goal, converting chances when they arrived rather than overwhelming their opponents with volume. Their blended attacking figure of 1.18 xG per game, incorporating recent CONMEBOL qualifiers, June friendlies and their tournament opener, reflects a side that prioritises control and game management.

Austria were arguably more impressive on Matchday One. Ralf Rangnick's team generated 1.66 xG and created four big chances in their 3-1 victory over Jordan. Their blended attacking estimate of 1.70 xG per game highlights the aggressive pressing style and attacking intent that has become a hallmark of Rangnick's tenure.

Despite the quality on both sides, the stakes point towards a more cautious encounter. A draw would leave both teams in a strong position heading into the final round of fixtures, reducing the need for unnecessary risk.

The combined expected total stands at just 2.01 goals, producing only a 32.5% probability of over 2.5 goals. Everything points towards a tight, tactical contest rather than an open shootout.

Anything else catch the eye?

Ralph Rangnick’s team has its strengths on offense and could create dangerous chances against Argentina, and why not even score a goal?—but it would be a surprise to us if La Albiceleste didn’t come out on top in this match.

Historically, Austria haven’t had much success against South American teams, having won only one of their last 10 matches against nations from that continent. We don’t expect this trend to change, so we’ll take advantage of the odds on Argentina, and we expect them to score at least two goals in this match.

Argentina vs Austria Betting Tips & Predictions
Argentina to win
3/5
Bet365
Over 2.5 goals
1/1
Bet365
Lionel Messi to score or assist
1/2
Bet365
Further Reading
0 Comments

Leave a reply

Please play responsibly. For assistance with problem gambling please visit 18+ GambleAware

About MFT  | Journalist CharterSupport  |  Contact Us  | GambleAwarePrivacy Policy  | Terms of use | ©2026 North Star Network.

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Log in with your credentials

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account