Dropping points away at Union Berlin was never on the agenda, so Bayern Munich will look to return to winning ways when they host Freiburg on Saturday.
We all knew it was a matter of time and the only question was who would be able to end Bayern Munich’s streak. After winning their first 16 competitive games of the season, the Bavarians fell victim to a flawless Union Berlin performance. Bayern were forced to come from behind twice until the final 2-2.
However, Vincent Kompany’s side and its fans can remain calm, as Bayern Munich won every single home game this season, accumulating a whopping 27:2 goal difference in seven matches.
The next unlucky visitors at the Allianz Arena have struggled with consistency, although they lost only one of their last 10 competitive games. Freiburg entered the international break on a four-match unbeaten streak, which included three wins.
However, Freiburg only managed to win back-to-back games once in their last 10 matches, often struggling with their defensive performance. And they can’t afford the same mistakes at the back against the Bavarians.
How the bookies view it: Backing Freiburg is suicide
Unsurprisingly, bookmakers see only one possible outcome and that’s an outright home win. The odds are completely one-sided, with Bayern Munich standing at 1/5, while Freiburg’s chances have been pushed to 14/1. If you fancy a draw, you can back it at 7/1.
Recent head-to-head: The Bavarians have a flawless home record
Can you guess when Freiburg’s last Bundesliga win over Bayern was? More than a decade ago in May 2015, and it was at home. For reference, the Breisgau Brasilians have never won a league match at the Allianz Arena, with Bayern winning 22 out of 25 matches (D3).
However, Freiburg did eliminate Bayern during the 2023 DFB Pokal quarter-finals away from home, which was their only triumph at this stadium.
Players to watch: Kane scored in both H2Hs last season
Did Harry Kane’s form drop or did we get too used to him scoring every match? Either way, we expect him to show his true colours against Freiburg, as his name was already on the scoresheet before HT in both H2Hs last season.
The striker is coming back from a strong international break and after scoring a brace against Albania. With 13 goals in 10 Bundesliga rounds, you can always back Kane to score at the Allianz Arena, where he has 11 goals in all competitions this season.
Probable line-ups
Bayern Munich: Neuer, Stanisic, Tah, Upamecano, Laimer, Pavlovic, Kimmich, Diaz, Gnabry, Olise, Kane
Freiburg: Atubolu, Makengo, Lienhart, Ginter, Kubler, Osterhage, Eggestein, Scherhant, Manzambi, Treu, Adamu
Anything else catch the eye?
It is never easy to find good markets when Bayern Munich are hosting the fixture, but there may be some solid options for a greater return here. The Bavarians were in front at HT in all five Bundesliga home matches this season, scoring a total of 13 times or an average of 2.6 per first half. And to date, they haven’t conceded a goal before HT.
Additionally, here is a strong statistical pick. Bayern Munich gave away at least three corners in each of their five Bundesliga home matches. In 3/5, they gave away 5+. Betano offer 21/20 for Over 2.5 corners for Freiburg, so this is a valid alternative.
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