Aston Villa are on course for a place in the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals and it would be a big surprise if they let a 3-1 first-leg lead slip on home soil against Club Brugge.
I thought the first leg of this last-16 clash would be tight and two bets landed for me but it was Villa who came out on top thanks to two late goals in the Jan Breydel Stadium.
That scoreline was harsh on Club Brugge but the Belgians will now need to produce a barnstorming display in England to get back into the tie.
Unai Emery's side have been so strong at home in Europe this season, beating Bayern Munich, Bologna and Celtic and drawing with Juventus, so they should have too much quality for Brugge.
Aston Villa racked up another good win on the road at Brentford on Saturday, with Ollie Watkins bringing up a bet for our man Adam, and that made it three successive victories in all competitions.
How the bookies view it: Villa home free
BoyleSports can't see Club Brugge turning this tie around as they price Aston Villa at just 1/250 to qualify, with the Belgians 18/1 in the same market.
For a win on the night, the Premier League side are 4/7 favourites, with Club Brugge at 4/1 and the draw paying 3/1.
Head to head: Honours even
Aston Villa's 3-1 win in the first leg last week was the perfect response after losing 1-0 on the road against Brugge in the league phase. Those two games are the only meetings between these sides in European competition.
Players to watch: Ollie the go-to guy
Emery might be tempted to rest a few players with such a commanding lead in the tie but Watkins should lead the line again with Donyell Malen ineligible for the Champions League. The Villa striker is 11/10 with BoyleSports to take his tally for the season to 15.
Hans Vanaken is a big goal threat from midfield for Club Brugge and took his tally for the season into double figures in the weekend derby win over Cercle. The 32-year-old is 11/2 for anytime scorer at BoyleSports and that looks overpriced based on his stats.
Probable line-ups
Emery is hoping keeper Emi Martinez and new boy Marco Ansenio will be fit to play. Boubacar Kamara could start in midfield after coming off the bench in the last two games.
Bjorn Meijer and Joaquin Seys are set to miss out for Club Brugge, who should be along similar lines to the first leg.
Aston Villa: Martinez, Cash, Disasi, Konsa, Mings, Digne, Kamara, Tielemans, Rogers, Ramsey, Watkins.
Club Brugge: Mignolet, Ordonez, Mechele, De Cuyper, Sabbe, Tzolis, Onyedika, Vanaken, Jashari, Talbi, Jutgla.
Anything else catch the eye?
Club Brugge need to go for it so this should be an open game, although the action could fall flat if Villa score early to take a three-goal lead in the tie.
The Belgians scored away to Sturm Graz, Milan, Celtic and Manchester City in the league phase then hit three on the road in Bergamo against Atalanta. So BTTS should come up at 4/6 with BoyleSports and adding on over 2.5 goals boosts the odds to 21/20.
The ref kept his cards in his pocket for the first leg and I'd be surprised if we saw a lot of cards in the return. Try going for a low number of booking points once the bookies price that market up.
Brugge wonderkid Chemsdine Talbi will be a threat and I like the 31/20 on offer at Unibet for him to have an effort on target.
This UEFA Champions League match between Aston Villa and Club Brugge will be played on and kick off at 20:00. Check below for our tipsters best Aston Villa vs Club Brugge prediction. You may also visit our dedicated betting previews section for the most up to date previews.
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