Bournemouth v Aston Villa
AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

, KO: 15:00 , Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa

Aston Villa will look to climb up into second spot in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon as they travel to the Vitality Stadium to take on the entertaining Bournemouth.

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Aston Villa suffered a second consecutive home defeat in the Premier League last Sunday, as they were beaten 0-1 by 10-man Brentford to fall seven points behind leaders Arsenal.

Unai Emery’s charges have now won just one of their previous four Premier League outings (W1-D1-L2), but that did come in their most recent away match, as they defeated Newcastle United 0-2 at St James’ Park.

Bournemouth’s recent upturn in form continued last weekend as they ran out 0-2 winners away at rock-bottom Wolves.

After enduring an 11-game winless run between the start of November and the turn of the year (W0-D5-L6), Andoni Iraoloa’s men have gone on to win three of their next four (W3-D1-L0), including back-to-back 3-2 victories at home against Spurs and reigning champions Liverpool.

The Cherries are now up to 12th position in the Premier League table, just three points behind seventh-placed Brentford.

How the bookies view it: Villa slight favourites

Despite winning just one of their previous four Premier League outings, Aston Villa have been chalked up as slight favourites for this clash, with bet365 pricing an away success at 29/20.

Bournemouth are 7/4 with the same firm to claim a third consecutive win at home in the Premier League, whilst the draw is 5/2.

Head to head: Six unbeaten for Villa

Aston Villa are unbeaten in each of their previous six meetings with Bournemouth (W3-D3-L0), including a thumping 4-0 victory in the reverse fixture at Villa Park in November.

Players to watch: Evanilson to hit the target at the Vitality once again?

Since his move from Porto in the summer of 2024, Evanilson has scored 15 goals and provided six assists across his 53 Premier League appearances, with five of those goals coming this campaign.

After a slow start to the campaign, the Brazilian appears to have found a bit of form, particularly at the Vitality, as he has scored in each of his previous three Premier League appearances there, and is an appealing 17/10 at William Hill to Score or Assist on Saturday. 

Predicted line-ups:

Bournemouth will be missing the injured Julio Soler, Matai Akinmboni, Tyler Adams, David Brooks, Marcus Tavernier, Justin Kluivert and Ben-Gannon-Doak.

Unai Emery will be unable to call upon Andres Garcia, Boubakar Kamara, Youri Tielemans and John McGinn, whilst striker Ollie Watkins is a doubt.

AFC Bournemouth: Petrovic, Smith, Hill, Senesi, Truffert, Scott, Cook, Jimenez, Kroupi, Adli, Evanilson

Aston Villa: Martinez, Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen, Bogarde, Luiz, Sancho, Rogers, Buendia, Abraham

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Cards Cards and more Cards

Bournemouth v Aston Villa still supports a 4.0 Asian cards line, with the referee assignment strengthening the case.

Anthony Taylor’s matches sit firmly in the higher card bracket. His average is 4.16 cards per game, with over 3.5 cards landing in 58% and over 4.5 in 42%. Both teams have been carded in 79% of his fixtures, pointing to balanced enforcement rather than one sided control. That suits this matchup.

Bournemouth’s home games average 4.25 cards, with both teams shown a card in ten of twelve. High pressing phases and sustained SIB pressure regularly force opponents into fouls, and visiting sides collect cards consistently at the Vitality.

Aston Villa’s away games average 4.33 cards, with bookings landing in ten of twelve. They have taken two or more cards in eight away fixtures and often pull the home side into the count.

Recent head to heads average seven cards across eight meetings, with both teams carded in six. With Bournemouth chasing consolidation and Villa pushing for Champions League positions, the incentive structure points to a competitive, physical game. Four cards provides a solid line with protection against a slower opening. .

Anything else catch the eye?

Bournemouth’s opening 24 Premier League fixtures this season have averaged a league-high 3.46 goals per game, with Both Teams to Score paying out in 17 (67%) of them, whilst 15 (63%) have gone Over 2.5 Goals.

The Cherries’ last three Premier League fixtures in front of their supporters have finished in a 3-2 scoreline (W2-D0-L1), and more entertainment is expected on Saturday against Aston Villa.

Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals has also landed in five of Villa’s last seven Premier League encounters on the road, and a repeat pays an appealing 10/11 at Betfred.

Interested in why both teams scoring is such a strong angle? Check out our Masterclass on BTTS and sharpen your match-reading game.

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Betting Tips & Predictions
Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals
10/11
Betfred
Evanilson to Score or Assist
17/10
William Hill
Further Reading
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