Premier League 2025-26 outright betting preview: Ante post tips and EPL winner odds

The 2024/2025 Premier League title race wasn't as close as many expected, with Liverpool running away with it way before the season's end. Arne Slot's Reds have been impressive last season and have rightfully taken the crown from Man City. 

That being said, the teams are getting ready for the new season, which starts in a few weeks. So, in this article we will take an early look at the Premier League winner odds.

Of course, things may change during the summer as we're likely to see some important transfers, in addition to the ones we've already seen, but this is how things stand right now.

Top 10 best Premier League winner odds

Premier League favourites

Liverpool

What more can be said about Arne Slot's Liverpool team that has not already been mentioned? They finished the season with 25 wins, boasting the top scorer in the league, the most goals, and the second-best defence; it has been a season of rights rather than wrongs for the Dutchman.

Although a potentially unexpected surprise for supporters considering the pre-season departure of mythical manager Jurgen Klopp, the German's replacement has done a stellar job, leading the Merseyside club on their way to their second Premier League title.

The club's goal-scoring has been possibly the most striking part of their 2024/25 top-flight campaign, with talisman Mohamed Salah racking up 47 goal contributions this season, numbers that are wholly unprecedented.

However, the Reds didn't sit on their laurels this summer and they splashed the cash to bring a few big names to Anfield, including Florian Wirtz. Liverpool paid a whopping £100 to Leverkusen for the young German, making him the second most expensive signing in the Premier League ever. With a potential £16 million in add-ons, Wirtz's transfer could soon become the biggest one.

In addition to Wirtz, Liverpool also broke their piggy bank to bring Hugo Ekitike from Eintracht Frankfurt for an initial £69 million. The Reds also paid a total of around £70m for Milos Kerkez and Jeremie Frimpong, so it's been a busy summer for the champions.

Taking all this into account, it's no surprise to see that the bookies see Liverpool as the main favourite to win the title again next season.

Arsenal

While arguably a rather underwhelming season for Arsenal, it is sometimes easy to forget that they have actually lost only four games all season, the same as the newly crowned champions. However, they ended up 10 points behind them, as they were unable to win as many games.

The second part of the season was arguably better for Arsenal, who also reached the semi-finals of the Champions League. Although the team was close, but not exactly there, in both competitions.

It will be another case of ‘we go again next season' for the Gunners as they look for their first title since 2004, but this time, the Gunners will have their go-to striker after signing Viktor Gyokeres from Sporting. The Swede scored 68 goals in 66 games for the Portuguese club, so Arsenal will hope that he can be nearly as efficient in the Premier League next season.

Man City

After years of dominance, the Citizens have finally shown weakness last season and while they have managed to finish third in the Premier League standings, it was well behind the new champions and with plenty of struggle along the way.

Pep Guardiola took the opportunity to include some younger players once it was clear that Man City wouldn't have enough to challenge Liverpool for the title, which should pay dividends next season.

Furthermore, Man City have already signed four players this summer, including Rayan Cherki and Tijjani Reijnders, two players who were highly sought after this summer and who should be able to make an immediate contribution.

Chelsea

The Blues have finished last season in great form, securing a spot in the Champions League by finishing fourth in the league and winning the Conference League. Despite that, their odds of winning the Premier League next season were quite high.

Since then, Chelsea have gone on a tear to win the Club World Cup, beating the reigning European champions, PSG, in the final with a convincing display. As a result, their odds have dropped significantly, and they are now at 9/1 to win the Premier League.

Based on their showing at the CWC, these odds look very tempting. After all, Chelsea have won 14 of their last 16 games last season, counting the Club World Cup, and if they can keep that form going once the new season starts, they might surprise many and get involved in the title race in the Premier League.

Man Utd

It's hard to see Manchester United lifting the Premier League trophy next season after they've just finished the last season in 15th place in the standings. That being said, Man Utd did reach the Europa League final last season as well, and while they lost it to Spurs, this means they will be able to focus solely on the Premier League since they won't be playing in Europe next season.

On top of that, the Red Devils have made a couple of important transfers this summer, both from Premier League clubs, bringing Matheus Cunha to Old Trafford for £62.5 million and signing Bryan Mbeumo for £71 million.

Given their woes up front last season, this duo could prove to be exactly what Ruben Amorim needs to make Manchester United a contender once again.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest have certainly been the surprise package of the 2024/2025 Premier League campaign, even if they failed to capitalise on their good season by claiming a spot in the Champions League.

Still, their performances over the course of the season, culminating in a seventh-place finish ahead of more established teams like Manchester United and Tottenham, make Nottingham Forest an intriguing choice and one that offers plenty of value at 150/1 odds.

Who will win the Premier League in 2025/26? 

It's hard to look past the new champions Liverpool as the main candidates to defend the title, especially so soon after the end of the season and without knowing what the summer transfer window will bring.

Still, if we had to place a bet now, our choice would be Arsenal. It feels that after years of being the Premier League's bridesmaid, it is their time to finally become the bride.

To achieve this, Arsenal will need to sign a lethal forward, which could very well be Viktor Gyokeres. After all, the Gunners are the main favourites to sign the Swedish international according to the latest transfer odds, which could be the move that finally brings them their first title since the 2003-04 season.

Premier League outright winner betting trends

Here are some trends to consider when placing a bet on the Premier League outright winner.

The last 10 Premier League title winners

The past decade has been dominated by Manchester City, with six Premier League trophies following their first triumph back in 2011/12.

The only other teams to lift the PL trophy over the past 10 editions are Chelsea, Liverpool and – most incredibly of all – Leicester City, who stood as 5000/1 outsiders in some places ahead of their miracle 2015/16 title campaign:

Points gained by Premier League title winners

Based on current trends in the Premier League title market, the average requirement to win the PL over the past decade is for a team to get 91.4 points—a significant increase compared to the average tallies needed earlier in the PL’s lifetime.

City’s dominance has played a big role in that, especially with their record-high total of 100 points in 2017/18.

Number of goals scored by Premier League title winners

Teams that are particularly lethal up front may have a special market opened up for them, where a bettor can back them to hit a particular quota of goals.

Man City have scored 90+ goals in all but one of the preceding seven seasons, and on three occasions, they even reached 100.

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