Premier League winner odds

The 2024/2025 Premier League title race wasn't as close as many expected, with Liverpool running away with it way before the season's end. Arne Slot's Reds have been impressive this season and have rightfully taken the crown from Man City. 

That being said, the teams will soon start getting ready for the next season and in this article, we will take an early look at the Premier League winner odds.

Of course, things may change during the summer as we're likely to see some important transfers, but this is how things stand right now.

Top 10 best Premier League winner odds

Team
Best odds

Liverpool

15/8

Arsenal

5/2

Man City

9/4

Newcastle

11/1

Chelsea

20/1

Aston Villa

40/1

Man Utd

40/1

Tottenham

50/1

Nottingham Forest

150/1

Brighton

250/1

Current Premier League title favourites

Liverpool

What more can be said about Slot's Liverpool team that has not already been mentioned? They finished the season with 25 wins, boasting the top scorer in the league, the most goals, and the second-best defence; it has been a season of rights rather than wrongs for the Dutchman.

Although a potentially unexpected surprise for supporters considering the pre-season departure of mythical manager Jurgen Klopp, the German's replacement, Slot, has done a stellar job, leading the Merseyside club on their way to their second Premier League title.

The club's goal-scoring has been possibly the most striking part of their 2024/25 top-flight campaign, with talisman Mohamed Salah racking up 47 goal contributions this season, numbers that are wholly unprecedented.

Taking all this into account, it's no surprise to see that the bookies see Liverpool as the main favourite to win the title again next season.

Arsenal

While arguably a rather underwhelming season for Arsenal, it is sometimes easy to forget that they have actually only lost four games all season, same as the newly-crowned champions, but they did end up 10 points behind them since they weren't able to win as many games.

The second part of the season was arguably better for Arsenal, who also reached the semi-final of the Champions League, so the team was close, but not exactly there in both competitions.

It will be another case of ‘we go again next season' for the Gunners as they look for their first title since 2004.

Man City

After years of dominance, the Citizens have finally shown weakness last season and while they have managed to finish third in the Premier League standings, it was well behind the new champions and with plenty of struggle along the way.

Pep Guardiola took the opportunity to include some younger players once it was clear that Man City wouldn't have enough to challenge Liverpool for the title, which should pay dividends next season.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest have certainly been the surprise package of the 2024/2025 Premier League campaign, even if they failed to capitalise on their good season by claiming a spot in the Champions League.

Still, their performances over the course of the season and a seventh-place finish, ahead of more established teams like Man Utd and Tottenham, make Nottingham Forest an intriguing choice and one that offers plenty of value at 150/1 odds.

Who will win the Premier League in 2025/26? 

It's hard to look past the new champions Liverpool as the main candidates to defend the title, especially so soon after the end of the season and without knowing what the summer transfer window will bring.

Still, if we had to place a bet now, our choice would be Arsenal. It feels that after years of being Premier League's bridesmaid, it is their time to finally become the bride.

Premier League outright winner betting trends

Here are some trends to consider when placing a bet on the Premier League outright winner.

The last 10 Premier League title winners

The past decade has been dominated by Manchester City, with six Premier League trophies following their first triumph back in 2011/12.

The only other teams to lift the PL trophy over the past 10 editions are Chelsea, Liverpool and – most incredibly of all – Leicester City, who stood as 5000/1 outsiders in some places ahead of their miracle 2015/16 title campaign:

Team
Year
Points won
Goals scored

Liverpool

2025

84

86

Manchester City

2024

91

96

Manchester City

2023

89

94

Manchester City

2022

93

99

Manchester City

2021

86

83

Liverpool

2020

99

85

Manchester City

2019

98

95

Manchester City

2018

100

106

Chelsea

2017

93

85

Leicester

2016

81

68

Points gained by Premier League title winners

Based on current trends in the Premier League title market, the average requirement to win the PL over the past decade is for a team to get 91.4 points – a significant growth compared to the average tallies needed earlier in the PL’s lifetime.

City’s dominance has played a big role in that, especially with their record-high total of 100 points in 2017/18.

Number of goals scored by Premier League title winners

Teams that are particularly lethal up front may have a special market opened up for them, where a bettor can back them to hit a particular quota of goals.

Man City have hit 90+ goals in all but one of the preceding seven seasons, with three occasions seeing them even get beyond 100.

Leagues Tipped:

Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.

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All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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