Premier League winner odds and prediction: Liverpool still steaming ahead

The Premier League title race is really hotting up, with Liverpool still the current favourites to claim their second of the coveted accolade. 

While Chelsea and Arsenal have been hot on their heels for many weeks, recent poor performances from both have meant that neither have been able to capitalise on dropped points from Arne Slot's Reds.

Now, with over half the season completed, it is really looking like Liverpool's title to lose.

Top 10 best Premier League winner odds

Current Premier League title favourites

Liverpool

What more can be said about Arne Slot's Liverpool team that has not already been mentioned? They have 20 wins from 28 games, boasting the top scorer in the league, the most goals, and the second-best defence; it has been a season of rights rather than wrongs for the Dutchman.

Although a potentially unexpected surprise for supporters considering the pre-season departure of mythical manager Jurgen Klopp, the German's replacement, Arne Slot, has done a stellar job, seeing the Merseyside club well on their way to claiming a second Premier League title.

The club's goal-scoring has been possibly the most striking part of their 2024/25 top flight campaign, with talisman Mohamed Salah racking up a breathtaking 42 goal contributions in just 28 outings, numbers that are wholly unprecedented.

With a 13-point gap to closest rivals Arsenal and only 10 games remaining, there would have to be a slip-up of monumental proportions for Liverpool to miss out on the title. It has happened in the past, but they are certainly the firm favourites to win it.

Arsenal

While arguably a rather underwhelming season for Arsenal, it is sometimes easy to forget that they have actually only lost three games all season, the most recent of which came in the form of a shock 1-0 home defeat to West Ham United.

Jarrod Bowen was the goalscorer in a game in which Arsenal's defence looked uncharacteristically disorganised, but their attacking problems persisted, as they have done all season. The club's top scorer is the widely criticised Kai Havertz, who has only actually found the back of the net nine times in 2024/25.

However, defensively Arsenal have been solid, only allowing 23 shots to find their net, with Gabriel and William Saliba establishing themselves as one of the most formidable centre-back pairings in the league.

While it will be near impossible for the Gunners to gain anything from this season, it has certainly been a valiant effort. If they can improve their attack in the summer window and add to their creative forces, a true title charge could be on the cards next year.

Nottingham Forest

It is crazy to think that although Nottingham Forest sit in third place in the Premier League table, they are in fact 19 points adrift of league leaders Liverpool. Slot's team's domination has been comparable to that of Manchester City in recent campaigns, and other teams have just not been able to keep up.

However, Forest have been the surprise package this year, especially with New Zealand striker Chris Wood stepping up to bag 18 league goals so far.

Having won 14 of their 27 fixtures, Nuno Espirito Santo will be pleased with his side's performance, and will hope they can cement their position in the top four to make certain of a Champions League spot in 2025/26.

Who will win the Premier League in 2024/25? 

With Man City falling off a cliff and London’s big two still perhaps lacking that special something needed to catch Liverpool, everything points to Arne Slot lifting the title in his first season at Anfield – a feat last achieved by any Liverpool boss in 1985/86, when Kenny Dalglish made the seamless transition from player to player-manager.

Premier League outright winner betting trends

Here are some trends to consider when placing a bet on the Premier League outright winner.

The last 10 Premier League title winners

The past decade has been dominated by Manchester City, with six Premier League trophies following their first triumph back in 2011/12.

The only other teams to lift the PL trophy over the past 10 editions are Chelsea (twice), Liverpool and – most incredibly of all – Leicester City, who stood as 5000/1 outsiders in some places ahead of their miracle 2015/16 title campaign:

Points gained by Premier League title winners

Based on current trends in the Premier League title market, the average requirement to win the PL over the past decade is for a team to get 91.7 points – a significant growth compared to the average tallies needed earlier in the PL’s lifetime. City’s dominance has played a big role in that, especially with their record-high total of 100 points in 2017/18.

Number of goals scored by Premier League title winners

Teams that are particularly lethal up front may have a special market opened up for them, where a bettor can back them to hit a particular quota of goals. Current champions Man City have hit 90+ goals in all but one of the preceding seven seasons, with three occasions seeing them even get beyond 100.

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