Premier League winner odds

The Premier League title race is coming to a close, with Liverpool still the only favourite. Arne Slot's Reds look ready to claim their second of the coveted accolade. 

While Chelsea and Arsenal had been hot on their heels for many weeks at the start of the campaign, both have since fallen away, leaving only one real title contender remaining.

Now, with only a few games left to go, it is really looking like Liverpool's title to lose.

Top 10 best Premier League winner odds

Team
Best odds

Liverpool

2/7

Arsenal

6/1

Man City

25/1

Nottingham Forest

40/1

Chelsea

66/1

Current Premier League title favourites

Liverpool

What more can be said about Slot's Liverpool team that has not already been mentioned? They have 22 wins from 31 games, boasting the top scorer in the league, the most goals, and the second-best defence; it has been a season of rights rather than wrongs for the Dutchman.

Although a potentially unexpected surprise for supporters considering the pre-season departure of mythical manager Jurgen Klopp, the German's replacement, Slot, has done a stellar job, seeing the Merseyside club well on their way to claiming a second Premier League title.

The club's goal-scoring has been possibly the most striking part of their 2024/25 top-flight campaign, with talisman Mohamed Salah racking up a breathtaking 44 goal contributions in just 31 outings, numbers that are wholly unprecedented.

With an 11-point gap to closest rivals Arsenal and only nine games remaining, there would have to be a slip-up of monumental proportions for Liverpool to miss out on the title. It has happened in the past, but they are certainly the firm favourites to win it.

Arsenal

While arguably a rather underwhelming season for Arsenal, it is sometimes easy to forget that they have actually only lost three games all season, the most recent of which came in the form of a shock 1-0 home defeat to West Ham United.

However, the Gunners have been on a decent run since then, winning two and drawing three in the league, all while keeping their place in the Champions League alive. A 3-0 home drubbing of Real Madrid shocked the world of football, as Mikel Arteta's men stormed to a first-leg victory, crowned by two stunning Declan Rice free kicks.

While the title race is all but over at this late stage, it is evident that Arsenal still have a lot to play for in these remaining few months. It is seeming increasingly likely that they will have a shot at their first ever European trophy, and thus the league will not be the first thing on the players' minds.

It will be another case of ‘we go again next season' for the Gunners at the end of 2024/25.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest have certainly been the surprise package of the current Premier League campaign, as the Reds currently sit one point behind Arsenal in third place. With Newcastle United now four points behind them in fifth place, it is looking increasingly likely that Forest will be able to grab one of those elusive Champions League spots.

Manager Nuno Espirito Santo has been a revelation at the City Ground, with New Zealand striker Chris Wood notching 18 goals so far this season, and wingers Antony Elanga and Callum Hudson-Odoi also having been in fine form.

Yet, it is arguably Forest's defence that has been the most formidable, with the partnership of Murillo and Nikola Milenkovic having limited opposition scoring to just 37 goals this season.

Although any realistic hopes of winning the Premier League title have been quashed, Forest remain in the FA Cup after knocking out Brighton. The chance of silverware remains fully within their grasp, but they will also look back on a highly successful league campaign with high hopes for the coming season.

Who will win the Premier League in 2024/25? 

With an 11-point gap out in front, it should be obvious that, barring a complete calamity, Liverpool should become the 2024/25 Premier League champions. An unbelievable campaign masterminded by Slot should result in the Merseyside club picking up their  20th league title.

A surprise result considering the departure of club icon Klopp, but all credit to Slot who has taken the reins with aplomb. The talents of Mohamed Salah have been the standout for the club, the difference-maker in a season that could have gone either way.

Premier League outright winner betting trends

Here are some trends to consider when placing a bet on the Premier League outright winner.

The last 10 Premier League title winners

The past decade has been dominated by Manchester City, with six Premier League trophies following their first triumph back in 2011/12.

The only other teams to lift the PL trophy over the past 10 editions are Chelsea (twice), Liverpool and – most incredibly of all – Leicester City, who stood as 5000/1 outsiders in some places ahead of their miracle 2015/16 title campaign:

Team
Year
Points won
Goals scored

Manchester City

2024

91

96

Manchester City

2023

89

94

Manchester City

2022

93

99

Manchester City

2021

86

83

Liverpool

2020

99

85

Manchester City

2019

98

95

Manchester City

2018

100

106

Chelsea

2017

93

85

Leicester

2016

81

68

Chelsea

2015

87

73

Points gained by Premier League title winners

Based on current trends in the Premier League title market, the average requirement to win the PL over the past decade is for a team to get 91.7 points – a significant growth compared to the average tallies needed earlier in the PL’s lifetime. City’s dominance has played a big role in that, especially with their record-high total of 100 points in 2017/18.

Number of goals scored by Premier League title winners

Teams that are particularly lethal up front may have a special market opened up for them, where a bettor can back them to hit a particular quota of goals. Current champions Man City have hit 90+ goals in all but one of the preceding seven seasons, with three occasions seeing them even get beyond 100.

Leagues Tipped:

Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.

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