Premier League top scorer 2025-26: Ante post tips and early value picks for this season’s Golden Boot

With the 2024/25 campaign over, we've seen Liverpool win the title in the Premier League, led by Mohamed Salah as the league's top scorer.

This was his fourth Golden Boot, which puts him next to Thierry Henry for most Premier League Golden Boots in history.

Will Salah be able to repeat this feat next season or will we see another player win the award? Let's take a closer look at the Premier League top scorer odds for the 2025/2026 season.

Best Premier League top scorer odds

The odds for next season's top scorer in the Premier League took a while to drop, but they're here now and there are many interesting things to see, although the main favourites are familiar names that we expected to be at the top of the list.

With that in mind, we'll go through some of the most interesting favourites for the award.

Mohamed Salah

Liverpool claimed the title in the Premier League last season and, for the third time in a row, the new champion also had the Golden Boot winner lead the way.

After Haaland's two wins in a row, this time it was Salah who had the most goals in the Premier League, ending the season with 29. This was his fourth Golden Boot, and that is a record he shares with Thierry Henry, as we mentioned at the top of the article.

While Salah did just turn 33, he's proven last season that his motor is still running at the highest level, and there's no reason to expect the Egyptian to struggle for production next season.

Despite what we saw last season, Salah is once again not the main candidate according to the latest Premier League top scorer odds. With 4/1 odds, he is behind Erling Haaland, just like last season.

Alexander Isak

With 23 goals this season, Isak has proven that he's a force to be reckoned with and one of the best forwards in the Premier League. Although it was clear for a while that the Swede can't get ahead of Salah, he will certainly be one of the main candidates for the award going into next season.

Of course, it remains to be seen whether Isak will stay at Newcastle since we've heard rumours of his potential departure, but even if he does leave, he would likely stay in the Premier League anyway, at least according to the latest transfer odds.

In his three years in the Premier League, Isak managed to improve his scoring output each season and if that trend continues, he could find himself leading the race for the Golden Boot award.

At 7/1 odds, Isak is an interesting choice and could be the best value bet to be the top scorer in the 2025-26 Premier League season.

If he makes a move to Liverpool in the final weeks of the transfer window, then we can expect serious movement in this market. Isak's odds should tumble, while Salah's odds will likely lengthen amid the possibility of him having to share the burden with the Swede.

Erling Haaland

Heading into last season, Erling Haaland was the clear favourite to win the Golden Boot in the Premier League for the third time in a row, a feat only achieved once before by Alan Shearer.

This seemed like a foregone conclusion early in the season when Haaland had 10 goals after the first five rounds, but both Man City and Haaland slowed down after the hot start, and the Norwegian's final tally of 22 goals was only good for third place on the list, seven goals behind Salah.

While there's little doubt that Haaland will once again be in contention for the Golden Boot, it is a bit worrying to see the Norwegian's Premier League goal totals drop season after season—36, 27, 22.

However, the bookies seem less worried since they have Haaland as the main favourite to win the award at 11/10 odds. It's difficult to argue with his status as the favourite, considering City have signed players this summer that have the creativity to provide him with even more goalscoring opportunities.

Matheus Cunha

In his third season in the Premier League, Cunha scored 15 goals, more than in any other season in his career, regardless of the team or league he played for.

While that is still a long way off Salah's 29 goals this season, the Brazilian forward will play for Manchester United next season, and that could help him improve his goalscoring record by a big enough margin to make him a contender in the race for the Golden Boot.

The odds on Cunha winning the award are 33/1, so he's definitely a long shot.

Joao Pedro

While Joao Pedro didn't set the world on fire last season with 10 goals in the Premier League with Brighton, he is a young player that's bound to improve and since he moved to Chelsea, he will likely have more chances to score than he did while he played for the Seagulls.

In fact, he's given us a glimpse of what we could see from him next season at the Club World Cup, where he scored three goals in three appearances for the Blues, helping them win the title in this prestigious competition.

The odds on Pedro winning the PL Golden Boot range 16/1 to 25/1, depending on the bookie, and he's certainly one of the most interesting options at such high odds.

Other potential candidates

• Ollie Watkins
• Cole Palmer
• Chris Wood
• Bryan Mbeumo
• Yoane Wissa
• Jean-Philippe Mateta

Premier League top scorer trends

As we said already, Mohamed Salah won the award for the Premier League's top scorer this season, which wasn't the first time he's won this award:

As can be deduced from the above table, it also continues a curious trend into the third successive year, whereby the Golden Boot winner also represents the title-winning side. This marks a drastic turnaround after the years spanning 2014-2022, none of which saw any Golden Boot winner also lift the title.

Other notable Premier League top-scorer trends

• Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane are the only Englishmen to lift a Golden Boot this century.
• Under the 38-game PL format (1995/96-present), the average tally from Golden Boot winners is 25.9 goals.
• During this same period, a tally of 25 goals has been enough for the Golden Boot on 16 of a possible 30 occasions.
• Only five of the 34 prior Premier League seasons have seen multiple winners.

Our Premier League top scorer prediction

Unless we see some big names move to the Premier League this summer, we can't see anyone other than Salah, Haaland, and Isak getting truly involved in the battle for the 2025/26 Premier League Golden Boot.

Our pick at this time would be Erling Haaland, who is bound to have a bounce-back campaign after his relatively modest goalscoring record this season.

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