Premier League top scorer odds and prediction: Can Salah maintain momentum?

With the 2024/25 campaign now gathering pace, the bookies have two clear favourites in the Premier League top scorer odds market.

Here’s our pick to win out in a battle that has typified the first half of this decade, much of which has seen Man City and Liverpool battle it out for supremacy.

Best Premier League top scorer odds

Selections to watch

Mohamed Salah

Insanely, Mohamed Salah blanked this week in Liverpool's fixture against Newcastle United. The winger, who has already bagged a staggering 25 times this season, ceded his goalscoring duties to Dominik Szoboszlai and Alexis Mac Allister, allowing the Reds to get a 2-0 win over a Newcastle side that have been flying high in recent weeks.

However, despite his drought in midweek, Salah remains five goals clear of his rivals and, therefore, in pole position to be able to take home the coveted top goalscorer accolade at the end of the season.

With the forward in this kind of form and Liverpool continuing to fire, he remains a firm favourite for the coveted Golden Boot come the end of the 2024/25 season.

Erling Haaland

Erling Haaland also saw himself on the scoresheet this week, as he was able to find the net for the only goal of the game in Manchester City's 1-0 win over Tottenham Hotspur. The striker took his tally to 20 goals for the season, which is incredible considering most would have considered this to be an underwhelming return for the big Norwegian.

In a game that really could have gone either way, Haaland came up trumps for Pep Guardiola's side, who are now one point ahead of Chelsea inside the top four places.

However, with the form of a certain Salah showing no signs of slowing down, and Haaland remaining five goals adrift of the Liverpool winger, his chances of winning another Golden Boot seem remarkably slim.

Alexander Isak

Alexander Isak's previous winter form got back on track at the weekend as the Swedish striker was able to score a brace against Nottingham Forest, a team who have had a very resolute defence up until recently.

Isak currently has 19 goals to his name, a tally that sees him sit in third place in the scoring charts. He will have been disappointed to have missed out on the Magpies' match against Liverpool in midweek, but it was likely a much-needed rest for the clinical striker, who has played almost every minute this season.

Despite his hot streak, the exploits of Salah have kept Isak firmly at arm's length. With no signs of slowing up and with Liverpool on a title charge, it seems highly improbable that Isak will be able to catch Salah.

Our Premier League top scorer prediction

Our pick is, unsurprisingly, Salah. But the odds are lousy at present, so if available, a double on Liverpool winning the title and Salah claiming the Golden Boot would be the obvious choice to make the most of the top scorer betting market, especially as he’s won it before:

As can be deduced from the above table, it would also continue a curious trend into a third successive year, whereby the Golden Boot winner also represents the title-winning side. It would certainly mark a drastic turnaround after the years spanning 2014-2022, none of which saw any Golden Boot winner also lift the title.

With a Salah/Liverpool Golden Boot and title double, the Reds would additionally continue a proud club tradition, as they currently have the highest number of Golden Boot awards (seven, awarded to four different players).

Other notable Premier League top-scorer trends

• Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane are the only Englishmen to lift a Golden Boot this century.
• Under the 38-game PL format (1995/96-present) the average tally from Golden Boot winners is 25.8 goals.
• During this same period, a tally of 25 goals has been enough for the Golden Boot on 15 of a possible 29 occasions.
• Only five of the 33 prior Premier League seasons have seen multiple winners.

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