Premier League top scorer odds and prediction: Can Salah maintain momentum?

With the 2024/25 campaign now gathering pace, the bookies have two clear favourites in the Premier League top scorer odds market.

Here’s our pick to win out in a battle that has typified the first half of this decade, much of which has seen Man City and Liverpool battle it out for supremacy.

Best Premier League top scorer odds

Selections to watch

Mohamed Salah

Despite there being no fixture for Liverpool this week, the Egyptian King, Mohamed Salah, remains firmly atop the pile in the race for the 2024/25 Golden Boot. 27 goals this season and a further 17 assists, it has been genuinely impossible to stop the Reds' talisman so far.

Arne Slot could probably not quite have imagined just how effective his main man was going to be, as he has opened up a six-goal advantage over his closest rivals already.

He has, however, blanked in his last two outings. No goals against either bitter rivals Everton or during Liverpool's 3-2 defeat to Fulham, it has been a surprising dry run considering Salah's electric campaign so far.

Yet, this has not disadvantaged him in the race for the Golden Boot, as he remains six goals ahead of Erling Haaland on 21, and is still firmly the bookies' favourite to take home the division's most coveted personal accolade.

Erling Haaland

Although the gap to leader Salah may be wide, that has not stopped Haaland from racking his own impressive goal tally in 2024/25. The big Norwegian got himself on the scoresheet from the penalty spot against Brighton, as Man City managed to scrape a 2-2 draw against the Seagulls.

However, Haaland has been out injured since his side's 2-1 FA Cup victory over Bournemouth, meaning he has been unable to close to the gap to his Egyptian rival. Omar Marmoush has filled Haaland's shoes during his absence, but he will likely be disappointed at missing the chance to catch up with Salah.

It is alleged that the Norwegian's ankle injury is likely to keep him out until the end of the season, so a final tally of 21 goals could be all we are able to see from Haaland this season.

Alexander Isak

Twenty goals this season have shown everyone why Alexander Isak is a force to be reckoned with in the Premier League. Although it is now almost impossible for the Swede to level with Salah, it is important knowledge going into next season. Clinical shooting has been Isak's bread and butter for Newcastle, allowing him to easily surge ahead as the club's top scorer in all competitions.

With seven games remaining this season, Isak will be hoping his goals can help the Magpies to a European place come the end of the season.

Our Premier League top scorer prediction

Our pick is, unsurprisingly, Salah. But the odds are lousy at present, so if available, a double on Liverpool winning the title and Salah claiming the Golden Boot would be the obvious choice to make the most of the top scorer betting market, especially as he’s won it before:

As can be deduced from the above table, it would also continue a curious trend into a third successive year, whereby the Golden Boot winner also represents the title-winning side. It would certainly mark a drastic turnaround after the years spanning 2014-2022, none of which saw any Golden Boot winner also lift the title.

With a Salah/Liverpool Golden Boot and title double, the Reds would continue a proud club tradition, as they currently have the highest number of Golden Boot awards (seven, awarded to four players).

Other notable Premier League top-scorer trends

• Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane are the only Englishmen to lift a Golden Boot this century.
• Under the 38-game PL format (1995/96-present), the average tally from Golden Boot winners is 25.8 goals.
• During this same period, a tally of 25 goals has been enough for the Golden Boot on 15 of a possible 29 occasions.
• Only five of the 33 prior Premier League seasons have seen multiple winners.

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