Current Premier League top 4 odds provide an indication of where teams are expected to end up come next May.
Will the league table look much as it did at the end of the previous campaign? Will we see some big changes at the top end of the table? Here’s our early take on the situation.
Contents
Current favourites
Liverpool remained as favourites for the top four at 1/16 this week after a convincing win against tough-to-beat Aston Villa meant they extended their lead at the top to five points, nine points clear of Nottingham Forest in fifth.
Man City fell to a fourth consecutive defeat after losing to an incredible turnaround victory by Fabian Hurzeler's Brighton. It was the first time in Pep Guardiola's career with City that his side had lost four games in a row in all competitions. Man City are now five points away from Arne Slot's Liverpool, but still hold a healthy four-point lead over fifth place Forest and are priced at 2/9.
Arsenal's poor form also continued as they drew 1-1 with Chelsea. The Gunners' win at all costs attitude seems to have faded in recent weeks, as the club have actually only won five of their 11 fixtures this season, seeing their odds of finishing in the top four slip to 1/9.
Best Premier League top 4 odds
| Liverpool |
1/16 |
0 |
0 |
| Arsenal |
1/9 |
0 |
1 |
| Man City |
2/9 |
1 |
0 |
| Chelsea |
4/5 |
1 |
0 |
| Spurs |
3/2 |
2 |
3 |
| Newcastle |
5/1 |
6 |
0 |
| Aston Villa |
11/2 |
0 |
0 |
| Man United |
15/2 |
6 |
0 |
| Brighton |
9/1 |
5 |
0 |
| Nottingham Forest |
33/1 |
0 |
4 |
As shown above, we have a number of other teams that are in with a decent chance of completing the top four. We'll now look at these teams' chances in greater detail.
Chelsea
A poor showing against Arsenal saw Chelsea lose ground on table-toppers Liverpool but keep their place above the Gunners on goal difference.
A short run of poor form has seen Chelsea go winless from their last three Premier League games, meaning they have fallen to a nine-point gap off the top. A dip in standard from Nicolas Jackson and Cole Palmer has seen the Blues' goals dry up somewhat, and they will be looking to turn around this tough patch in an easy away game to Leicester after the international break.
Tottenham Hotspur
Fifth last season under Ange Postecoglou, Spurs once again showed their inconsistencies by losing 2-1 at home to Ipswich to gift the Tractor Boys a maiden win of the 2024/25 campaign.
New signing Dominic Solanke blanked once again after having a goal disallowed for handball, as it was Rodrigo Bentancur who scored the side's only goal. With this their fifth loss of the season, Spurs sit three points off top spot
Newcastle United
Recent seasons have shown us how strong Eddie Howe’s men can be, but can they keep their key players fit after enduring a torrid time of things injury-wise last season? It's a valid question, but if they can, then they may have an outside chance of hitting those top four heights once more.
However, it has so far been goals that have eluded Howe's side, with the Magpies sat 8th in the league having only managed 13 goals in the opening 11 fixtures. They will have to rectify this in the coming weeks, as their current record of five wins from 11 games will simply not be good enough for a top four place come the end of the season.
Manchester United
Despite a 3-0 win over Leicester, Manchester United's hopes of a top four finish already look dead and buried. 13th in the table with 15 points from 11 games, incoming manager Ruben Amorim has his work cut out to make the best of a United side who just cannot find a consistent run of form. The sacking of Erik ten Hag will have been a great relief to most fans, but there is potential that his dismissal has already come too late, as the club has already failed to win in seven of their opening 11 games. However, thanks to a few poor runs from Arsenal and Chelsea, the gap to the top four is yet to become insurmountable, and a formidable run from an astute managerial appointment could be the difference maker for United.
Who will finish in the Premier League top 4? Here’s our prediction
Just to re-emphasise, they aren't challenging for the title any time soon, but just one player in the right spot could see Spurs' odds tumble. Although Solanke has been something of a disappointment, Brennan Johnson has been one of the Lilywhites' better performers of late, so we think it's a good idea to back Ange Postecoglou's men while the current price stands.
Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.
