Premier League relegation odds and prediction: 9/1 on top flight regulars

Just when it seemed as though Everton would succumb to their fate, David Moyes stepped in and gave them a new lease on life.

Here, we’ll explore how their fortunes have changed for the better, while the Premier League’s most successful side in history have stooped to new depths.

Best Premier League relegation odds

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Promoted trio

It is looking increasingly likely that it will be a return to the Championship for all three recently promoted teams, with Southampton, Ipswich and Leicester all a minimum of five points away from safety.

Saints' win in their relegation battle six-pointer against Ipswich has not changed their fortunes in the slightest, having subsequently been trounced 3-1 by Bournemouth and 4-0 Brighton in their succeeding fixtures. New manager Ivan Juric just cannot seem to get a tune out of the side.

Ipswich are even worse off, being the only Premier League side to be winless in 2025, with their most recent loss coming in the shape of a 4-1 home defeat to a rejuvenated Spurs team.

Ruud van Nistelrooy's Leicester look equally as frail. On Matchday 26, they lost 4-0 to Brentford, remaining on 17 points with Ipswich. The Dutchman has also been rumoured to be unhappy at the King Power Stadium, adding to the turmoil already being experienced by the Foxes due to their ongoing relegation struggle.

Wolves

A fantastic result for Wolves this week allowed Vitor Pereira to extend the club's gap to the bottom three to five points, a significantly stronger scenario than fans had witnessed during their dismal run in the first 12 fixtures.

An early Illia Zabarnyi red card, that was incredibly contentiously awarded, one might add, allowed Wolves to enjoy a man advantage for around 60 minutes. However, it took Matheus Cunha only five minutes of Bournemouth's numerical deficit to get on the scoresheet, a strike which turned out to be the winner in a fixture that Wolves had certainly been expected to lose coming into the weekend.

The Brazilian forward now has 13 goals in the league this season, and without this tally the Midlands club would definitely be in a significantly worse position. Vitor Pereira has managed 13 points from the last 10 games, which is strong enough form to fill supporters with confidence going into the final stretch.

Pereira's start has not been without its issues though, as proven by Wolves' run of three losses in a row when facing Newcastle, Arsenal and Chelsea. While they are hardly pushover opposition, one goal scored and seven conceded highlights that Wolves' defensive woes are still rife, in spite of the December sacking of previous manager Gary O'Neil.

Fortunately for the Wanderers, the three promoted teams have been even worse, with closest relegation rivals Ipswich winless in seven games. They are now a long shot 9/1 to go down.

Who will be relegated? Here's our prediction

Southampton look doomed already and Leicester initially seemed more likely than Ipswich to join them in making an instant return to the second tier. But the Foxes have the likes of Jamie Vardy, who boasts far more Premier League pedigree than Ipswich’s best talents. Despite his age, knowing how to go the distance in this league can be as much of an asset as youth and vigour.

With Everton unable to spend big yet, despite having new owners, we fear for them despite the odds against their relegation. While their array of stalemates could well prove crucial later in the season, the fact remains that Everton’s tally of three wins is the joint-lowest the club has recorded after 18 games of a Premier League campaign, alongside a 2022/23 campaign that nearly ended in disaster.

Prediction (20th-18th): Southampton, Ipswich, Everton

Meanwhile, there's still an outside chance of a nuclear scenario unfolding, where Man City are relegated due to a hefty points deduction.

We’re also a bit surprised to see Manchester United enter the top 10, but they still have enough talent to easily avoid the drop, even if they are looking ever more likely to suffer a first-ever bottom-half finish in the Premier League.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market isn’t just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

As seen above, newly promoted teams are well-known for being vulnerable to relegation. So much so that it is considered quite a unique feat when there is a Premier League season that sees none of the newcomers immediately drop back into the second tier, though it last happened only in 2022/23.

In stark contrast, all three promoted sides sank straight back down again last term – though it was the first time since 1997/98 that such a phenomenon had occurred.

On another interesting note, three of the last five seasons have also seen a newly-promoted side finish at the bottom of the table. Noting this trend might prove helpful in both the ‘to finish bottom’ and ‘bottom three exact order’ markets associated with relegation.

And for the benefit of anyone delving into points markets, it’s worth mentioning that no bottom-placed team has tallied more than 25 points in any of the previous six PL campaigns.

Premier League relegation FAQ

Who got relegated from the Premier League in 2023/24

Sheffield United finished bottom of the pile with Burnley just above them and Luton Town taking the final relegation place. The three promoted sides all failed to stay up for the first time since 1998.

Have Arsenal ever been relegated?

The Gunners haven't been relegated in the Premier League era but took the drop from the top flight in season 1912-13. It took them two seasons to get back, and they haven't been relegated since.

Have Everton ever been relegated?

Everton are another team who haven't been relegated since the Premier League rebrand, although they have come mighty close in the last few seasons. They have been relegated just twice in their entire history, most recently in 1951.

When were Manchester City relegated from the Premier League?

Manchester City have won the Premier League in six of the last seven seasons, but there was a time when they were battling it out at the other end of the table. They have twice been relegated from the Premier League, in 1996 and 2001, and even fell as low as the third tier in 1998.

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