Premier League relegation odds and prediction: Promoted trio seemingly doomed

Just when it seemed as though Everton would succumb to their fate, David Moyes stepped in and gave them a new lease on life.

Here, we’ll explore how their fortunes have changed for the better, while the Premier League’s most successful side in history have stooped to new depths.

Best Premier League relegation odds

Selections to watch

Promoted trio

It now almost certain that for only the third time in Premier League history, all three teams promoted from the Championship will be making an immediate return to the second tier.

Ipswich Town have only one win in 2025, but a weekend defeat against Wolves has all but relegated them. A goal from Liam Delap was unable to prevent the Tractor Boys from falling to a 2-1 defeat. The game marked only Pablo Sarabia's second goal of the season.

Equally, Leicester City's chances of survival look very slim. They sit three behind Ipswich on 17 points, having lost every one of their last eight league games under hapless manager Ruud van Nistelrooy.

Wolves

With Wolves having defeated all of their last three opponents, and now sitting 12 points clear of the drop, it is now almost certain that they will have a place in the Premier League again next season.

Who will be relegated? Here's our prediction

All three promoted teams look set to make a return to the drop for the second consecutive season. With Southampton becoming the fastest-ever team to be relegated from the Premier League, recent results would suggest Leicester and Ipswich will shortly be joining them.

A critical defeat against fellow relegation battlers Wolves has effectively doomed Ipswich to the drop, as they now sit 12 points adrift of safety with seven games to play. Liam Delap managed to score his 12th goal of the season, but the Tractor Boys' lacklustre defence gave way to two late Wolves goals and essentially ended their survival push.

Equally, Leicester's miserable scoring run has meant they have lost eight games in a row without scoring. Stuck on 17 points, the Foxes will also be returning to the Championship.

Prediction (20th-18th): Southampton, Leicester, Ipswich

Meanwhile, there's still an outside chance of a nuclear scenario unfolding, where Man City are relegated due to a hefty points deduction.

We’re also a bit surprised to see Manchester United enter the top 10, but they still have enough talent to easily avoid the drop, even if they are looking ever more likely to suffer a first-ever bottom-half finish in the Premier League.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market isn’t just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

As seen above, newly promoted teams are well-known for being vulnerable to relegation. So much so that it is considered quite a unique feat when there is a Premier League season that sees none of the newcomers immediately drop back into the second tier, though it last happened only in 2022/23.

In stark contrast, all three promoted sides sank straight back down again last term – though it was the first time since 1997/98 that such a phenomenon had occurred.

On another interesting note, three of the last five seasons have also seen a newly-promoted side finish at the bottom of the table. Noting this trend might prove helpful in both the ‘to finish bottom’ and ‘bottom three exact order’ markets associated with relegation.

And for the benefit of anyone delving into points markets, it’s worth mentioning that no bottom-placed team has tallied more than 25 points in any of the previous six PL campaigns.

Premier League relegation FAQ

Who got relegated from the Premier League in 2023/24

Sheffield United finished bottom of the pile with Burnley just above them and Luton Town taking the final relegation place. The three promoted sides all failed to stay up for the first time since 1998.

Have Arsenal ever been relegated?

The Gunners haven't been relegated in the Premier League era but took the drop from the top flight in season 1912-13. It took them two seasons to get back, and they haven't been relegated since.

Have Everton ever been relegated?

Everton are another team who haven't been relegated since the Premier League rebrand, although they have come mighty close in the last few seasons. They have been relegated just twice in their entire history, most recently in 1951.

When were Manchester City relegated from the Premier League?

Manchester City have won the Premier League in six of the last seven seasons, but there was a time when they were battling it out at the other end of the table. They have twice been relegated from the Premier League, in 1996 and 2001, and even fell as low as the third tier in 1998.

🔗 Share on Social Media