As the National League season nears its climax, every point matters—whether it's teams chasing promotion, fighting for a playoff spot, or simply looking to finish the campaign on a high. This weekend, we have three intriguing matchups that offer strong betting angles, particularly in the goals market.
Barnet continue their relentless push for the title as they travel to face a struggling Woking side that has been leaking goals against top teams. Meanwhile, Halifax Town—one of the league’s in-form sides—look to extend their playoff cushion against a Sutton United team that has little to play for but pride. And finally, in what could be a thrilling, high-scoring contest, Altrincham host Aldershot, with both teams regularly involved in games full of goals.
With form trends, attacking momentum, and defensive vulnerabilities all pointing toward value in these fixtures, let's break down the best bets for this National League triple-header.
Woking vs Barnet
Barnet sit comfortably at the top of the table, leading York City by 11 points, and with York holding just one game in hand, it now seems a matter of when—not if—Barnet secure their return to the Football League. Their away form has been strong, with a record of W9-D4-L5, netting 30 goals—only Gateshead have scored more on the road this season. Despite their attacking prowess, Barnet have only failed to score in four of their 18 away matches, and they have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games away from home.
While Barnet endured a brief slump over the festive period and into January, failing to win any of their four matches and managing just one victory in five, they have responded emphatically. Since late January, they have won 10 of their last 11 matches, conceding just twice in their last 12 fixtures while averaging 2.33 goals per game in that span. Their away form has also improved significantly; after winning just three of their opening eight away matches, they are now unbeaten in 10 on the road (W6-D4-L0), scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game and conceding just five times—three of which came in a 4-3 victory at Dagenham back in mid-November.
Woking, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency, drawing their last two matches 2-2 and managing just two clean sheets in their last 17 league fixtures. Their home record stands at W7-D5-L4, with only 17 goals conceded, and they have kept five clean sheets at home this season. However, three of those clean sheets have come against teams in the bottom six, and when facing top-eight opposition, their record is a poor W1-D3-L8. They have yet to keep a clean sheet in any of those 12 fixtures.
With Barnet scoring in 14 of their 18 away matches and Woking struggling defensively against top sides, it’s highly likely that Barnet will find the net again, as they have in 17 of their last 20 league games. The best angle here is backing Barnet to score two or more goals. They have netted at least twice in eight of their last 11 fixtures and are averaging 1.76 xG per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, Woking have allowed 1.51 xGA, further reinforcing the likelihood that Barnet will continue their prolific scoring form.
- Best Bet: Barnet to score 1.5+ goals at 1.80
Sutton Utd vs Halifax Town
Sutton United have had an inconsistent home campaign, with a record of W6-D5-L6. While they have only failed to score in three of those matches, defensive issues have plagued them, keeping just six clean sheets. Their record against teams in the top seven is particularly concerning, standing at W1-D4-L6, with just two clean sheets in those encounters. Against the current top five, they have failed to keep a single clean sheet at home this season.
In contrast, Halifax Town are one of the form teams in the division. Over the last 10 matches, only Barnet have picked up more points, and the same trend holds when extending the run to the last 15 games. During this period, Halifax have an impressive record of W8-D5-L2, with their only defeats coming away at Southend and at home to AFC Fylde. They have only failed to score in three of those 15 games while keeping seven clean sheets in their 17 away fixtures.
When facing teams in 12th and above, Halifax have been competitive, posting a solid W6-D7-L4 record, failing to score in just four of those 17 games. They have already held Barnet, York, and Forest Green to draws while securing a win over Gateshead—all teams currently in the top five—scoring in each of those matches. Their only failure to score against a top-half side on the road was a 0-0 draw at Altrincham. More recently, Halifax have found the net in each of their last five away games and have lost just once in their last 10 on the road, scoring in nine of them.
Sutton, by comparison, have won just once in their last six outings and only three times in their last 14, managing just three clean sheets in that run. Sitting 12th in the table, they are safe from relegation but are unlikely to mount a serious playoff push, as they trail seventh-placed Rochdale by eight points, having played two games more.
With Halifax in excellent form and determined to maintain their four-point cushion inside the playoff places, they look the value pick here. Backing them on the double chance market at 1.70 provides a solid angle, but combining this with Halifax to score boosts the odds to 1.87 with Ladbrokes, making it an enticing play at a bigger price.
- Best Bet: Halifax Town double chance and Halifax over 0.5 goals at 1.87 with Ladbrokes
Altrincham vs Aldershot Town
No team has seen more games go over 2.5 goals this season than Altrincham, with 66% of their matches hitting the mark. They take on Aldershot, who also see plenty of high-scoring encounters, with 59% of their fixtures going over 2.5 goals—making them the fourth highest in the league for this metric. Both sides have a 50% rate of games surpassing 2.5 goals in their respective home and away fixtures, reinforcing the likelihood of another open contest here.
Altrincham boast a strong home record of W8-D6-L2, scoring 28 times while conceding just 12—no side has conceded fewer home goals this season. They welcome an Aldershot side that has struggled on the road, with a record of W2-D6-L8. While Aldershot have netted 19 goals away from home, they have also shipped 28, keeping just two clean sheets all season—one of which came against bottom-placed Ebbsfleet. However, despite their defensive issues, they have failed to score in only three away fixtures this campaign.
Aldershot have proven themselves capable against strong opposition, having already faced the teams currently sitting third, fourth, and fifth in the league without losing and scoring in all of those games. Their recent form suggests goals are almost guaranteed, with Aldershot finding the net in 15 of their last 17 matches, which have averaged a staggering 3.53 goals per game. Both teams to score has landed in 15 of those 17 fixtures, while they have scored in seven of their last eight away matches.
Altrincham, despite their solid home defensive record, have looked more vulnerable in recent weeks. They have managed just one clean sheet in their last eight games and come into this fixture off the back of a 2-1 defeat to AFC Fylde. Prior to their recent dip, they had gone five home games without conceding, but their defensive resilience has started to wane. While Aldershot are more than capable of getting on the scoresheet, Altrincham remain a strong attacking force at home and could well win this in high-scoring fashion, with the hosts potentially netting three.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 with Bet365
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