As the season edges closer to its conclusion, every point matters—and this weekend’s fixtures offer plenty of drama and betting opportunities.
Barnet are on the cusp of sealing promotion back to the EFL and host Aldershot in what could be a title-clinching match. Meanwhile, Woking look to continue their strong home form as they welcome Eastleigh, with both sides looking to end the campaign on a positive note. Boston United face a tough test against high-flying Gateshead as the promotion race intensifies.
We have taken a deep dive into these key matchups to find the best betting angles ahead of a pivotal weekend.
Boston Utd vs Gateshead
Boston United have quietly become one of the form teams in the National League over the second half of the season. Across their last 20 matches, they have collected the third-most points in the division — only Barnet and York have picked up more in that time. It marks a remarkable turnaround for a side that, earlier in the campaign, looked destined for relegation.
After 22 games, Boston sat 22nd in the table with a dire record of W3-D6-L13, having conceded 37 goals. Freshly promoted from the National League North, their early struggles saw Ian Culverhouse dismissed in October. Graham Coughlan took over in late November, and though he won just one of his first seven games, Boston have been revitalised since — going W10-D2-L4 over their last 16 matches.
That run has included wins against strong opposition such as York (3-1), Rochdale, Southend, and Altrincham, along with a creditable draw against high-flying Barnet. Now outside the bottom four, Boston’s fate is in their own hands. A win here would confirm another season at this level.
In those last 20 games, Boston have gone W11-D3-L6, scoring 31 goals and conceding just 23. While they lost 3-2 at Solihull Moors last time out, they remain four points clear of the relegation zone. a
By contrast, Gateshead’s form has completely collapsed. After 30 games, they sat fifth in the table with 52 points, just 11 behind Barnet and York. However, the next 12 matches have yielded just two wins, with 13 goals scored and 28 conceded. No team in the division has picked up fewer points than Gateshead over that period.
They have now won just five of their last 20 league games — and those victories came against struggling opposition: Wealdstone (20th), Sutton United (14th), Solihull Moors (13th), Dagenham (21st), and Forest Green (3rd), the latter of which had already secured a playoff semi-final spot and were unlikely to be fully motivated.
Gateshead have managed just eight points from their last 12 fixtures, losing four of their last five away games and conceding two or more in four of them. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last seven away matches, and their last shutout in the league came back in early February. In fact, they have kept just two clean sheets across their last 20 league games.
Boston, by contrast, are trending in the right direction and have everything to play for. Backing them on the draw-no-bet market looks like a smart play at a good price given current form, motivation, and home advantage.
- Best Bet: Boston draw no bet at 1.75 with Unibet
Barnet vs Aldershot
Barnet sit six points clear at the top of the table ahead of second-place York City, with two games remaining. Given how tight the goal difference is, they will need at least one more win from their final two matches to secure promotion back to the EFL.
They host an Aldershot side currently in 17th, six points above the relegation zone. While not mathematically safe, it is extremely unlikely they will drop into the bottom four due to the number of teams between them and the drop. Even a loss here combined with a Dagenham failure to win would guarantee their survival.
Barnet have been formidable at home, winning 17 of their 22 matches and remaining unbeaten. They have only failed to score once and are averaging 2.55 goals per game at The Hive. Defensively, they have kept nine clean sheets, but only two in their last seven home games. Both teams have scored in Barnet’s last five games, and their last three at home have all ended with both teams scoring landing. Their recent form has stuttered slightly—just one win in their last four—but they remain a dominant force at home.
Aldershot had been on a solid run until a 4-0 defeat at Rochdale halted their momentum. Since then, they have lost three of their last five games. Away from home, their matches have been full of goals, averaging 3.83 per game (W5-D6-L7). 60% of their away fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. While they have only managed three clean sheets on the road, they have found the net in 17 of their 22 away games.
Despite a heavy 7-2 loss at York City (who are second), Aldershot have a respectable away record against the top nine (W3-D2-L3) and have scored in seven of those eight matches.
While Aldershot have shown they can get on the scoresheet, Barnet’s quality and motivation to seal promotion should shine through. They’re capable of covering the over 2.5 goals line on their own, and with Aldershot’s tendency to both score and concede, this adds extra appeal.
- Best Bet: Barnet to Win & Over 2.5 Goals at 1.73 with Betway
Woking vs Eastleigh
Woking are finishing the season strongly, having lost just three of their last 20 matches. Two of those defeats came against the top two in the division—York City and Barnet. Their overall record during that run stands at W10-D7-L3. While their home record against the top eight sides is poor (W0-D5-L3), they have been excellent against teams ninth and below, with a record of W10-D2-L2. Notably, Woking have failed to score just five times at home all season, with four of those coming against top-eight opposition.
After flirting with relegation for much of the season, Woking’s strong run has seen them climb to 16th place, eight points clear of the drop zone and now safe for another season. Impressively, they have the fifth-best home record in the division, and only three teams have conceded fewer goals at home than Woking.
They welcome Eastleigh, who sit 12th with a record of W14-D16-L14. Eastleigh have struggled on the road, winning just five of their 22 away games (W5-D7-L10), and have failed to score in eight of those. What has kept their season from derailing entirely is their strong record against the bottom six—unbeaten with W6-D5-L0.
While Eastleigh’s overall home form has been solid (just four losses all season), their recent form is worrying. They have won only two of their last 12 matches, one of which came against bottom side Ebbsfleet. They have scored just 11 goals in that 12-game stretch and are winless in their last six away games, failing to score in four of them.
In fact, they have managed just three away wins in their last 20 trips. After winning their first two away games of the season (at Maidenhead and Altrincham), they have recorded just W3-D7-L10 from the next 20, scoring only 18 goals while conceding an average of 1.6 per game. Their last away clean sheet came in mid-January, and since then they have averaged 1.89 goals conceded per away game.
In contrast, Woking have lost just one of their last 11 home games (to Barnet), keeping four clean sheets and conceding only 0.64 goals per game during that spell.
Attractive odds are available for Woking to win. The -0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.95 looks especially appealing, knowing that if the game ends in a draw, we only lose half our stake.
- Best Bet: Woking -0.25AH at 1.95 with Bet365
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