A win on the spread for me last week, but Boyd was part of a dismal Bengals offensive display which did his yards and Ebron made a couple of drops while Chase Claypool got himself all of the receiving scores in that one.
So on to week 6 (for most)
Spread
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 vs. Cleveland Browns
Well, the Steelers are rolling. They're nowhere near as good as they were last season on defense but the QB situation is infinitely better there and they've been dealing with what's been put in front of them so far. Admittedly that's not been much. They sit at 4-0 having beaten teams who have a combined record of 3-15-1 this year, so they've all been trash but they tend to play to their opposition. They have a tremendous record against the Browns, 24-5-1 straight up against them in the last 30 encounters and it's been 17 years since the Browns won at Heinz Field. Oct 2003.
My honest thoughts are that the Steelers are over-rated and the media love them so anything they do is blown out of proportion but they have won all 4 and covered the spread in 3 of them, so they are exceeding expectations according to the bookies. The Browns are 2-3 ATS, but have won their last 4 games now. They have been playing well and the win against the Colts last week was quite comfortable, but they like to run the ball and are coming up against the best run defense in the league. They're also beaten up. Baker Mayfield has possibly cracked ribs, Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham are both playing injured, and obviously Nick Chubb is out in the run game for them. It's not a good look as the Steelers get more QB pressures than any team in the league and one hit is going to cause Baker some considerable pain.
Mainly because of the injury news I'm begrudgingly (I hate the Steelers) taking Pitt to cover. If you can find a 3, even better.
Also like the Cowboys on Monday night, Chiefs, and Lions to cover.
Player prop
Antonio Gibson o3.5 receptions – 2.00 (WillHill)
The Washington football team aren't very good. However they will again be starting Kyle Allen this week after he was knocked out of the game by a Jalen Ramsey cheap shot last week. Before that he'd done an adequate job running the offense especially dumping the ball off to rookie WR turned RB Antonio Gibson in the backfield. He had 3 receptions in the first 5 mins last week and finished on 5. I'm sure he'd have hit that before half time had Allen played the whole game. So I'm happy to hit o3.5 receptions for him again this week against a poor Giants defense.
I like a lot of reception lines this week actually, Gibson, James Robinson o3.5, Tim Patrick of the Broncos o3.5, Jeff Smith for the Jets o2.5 all look good.
TD Scorer
Mark Andrews anytime – 2.20 (888)
I turned away from Mark Andrews last week as I didn't want to repeat myself from the week before, but he scored once more and he gets another good matchup this week against the Eagles. They allowed 3 TDs for Claypool last week in the middle of the field and that's where they're weakest. The Ravens don't really use their wide receivers, it's mainly Mandrews in the middle of the field, so I'm happy to take over evens for him once more this week.
A few others I like the look of, Mike Boone for the Vikings, he scored a few with Dalvin Cook out of the lineup last year and gets the goal-line work there, 3/1 on Skybet. Riskier one is D'Andre Swift at 3/1 against the Jags, but that relies on the Lions coaching staff not being stupid which is risky. John Ross is 22/1 on 888 for the Bengals (I was allowed 46p MAX on it) he has been a healthy scratch recently but will be active tonight, it's a big price.
Summary
- Steelers -3.5 @ 1.95
- Antonio Gibson o3.5 receptions – 2.00 (WillHill)
- Mark Andrews anytime TD – 2.20 (888)
As always good luck!
2 trebles for me ATS is against the spread
Treble No1
Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles
Ravens -6.5 Ravens are 6-2 ATS also ravens QB Jackson 8-0 ATS when favourite
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Titans-2 QB Tannehill (titans) is 11-3 against the spread
L A Rams at 49ers
L A Rams -3 who play 49ers who are 0-3 against the spread
Pays 4.35/1
Treble No2
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots
New England Patriots -7.5 New England coach Belichick 23-11 ATS
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts
Colts -7.5 Colts are 6-3ATS
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
Dolphins -9 Dolphins are 4-0 ATS playing the New York Jets
Pays 5.96
If you do all 6 it pays around 35/1 but the spread will change all the way up until game time good luck
Going for an ACCA on alternative handicap this week
Ravens -6. 5, patriots -6. 5, Colts -6. 5, dolphins -6. 5, lions -2. 5, Steelers -2. 5 odds 17/1
Over Falcons game 54.5, Ravens game 46.5, browns game 50.5 (all match points) odds 6/1
Any time to same as Adam with Andrews
Also going jonnu Smith to score a td 5/4
Alexander mathison over 25.5 receiving yards.
No dalvin cook tonight for Minnesota, anyone any reasons why he shouldn’t cover this?
Just done
steelers-3
M.andrews anytime td
Mattison over 25.5 receiving yards
6/1 treble
Few more later
-3.5 sorry
Shocking. 🤷♂️🤷♂️🤷♂️
Anybody smell a rat with the rams only being -3?
Inches I hear you it depends if 49ers QB Garoppolo plays he has had a high ankle sprain but the rams defence should hold the 49ers and the 49ers offensive line has been struggling which has allowed 18 sacks Aaron Donald (Rams) should get a few sacks divisional games are always a bit juicer could be a high scoring game for the LA Rams I will look at the overs bet
Good shout jolo cant bring myself to do the spread as it feels like when I got stung by the cards couple of weeks ago. I’ll take the overs myself
5 out of 5 for trebles this NFL season
Teaser Treble
Chicago +8.5 points
Tampa Bay +7.5 points
Baltimore -1.5 points
Treble 6/5 888sport
Already Advised
********************
18/10/20
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (18:00)
OVER 50.5 points
10/11 paddy power NAP
Already Advised
********************
18/10/20
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (18:00)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS -4 points
10/11 888sport
Already Advised
********************
NY Jets at Miami Dolphins
MILES GASKIN Over 82.5 rushing & receiving yards
17/20 888sport NB
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Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers
Over 44.5 points
10/11 888sport
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Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
OVER 24.5 first half points
1/1 betway
********************
Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens (18:00)
BALTIMORE RAVENS -5 first half handicap
10/11 william hill
********************
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
ALEXANDER MATTISON Over 3.5 receptions
11/10 william hill
********************
Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles
MARK ANDREWS Over 4.5 receptions
1/1 william hill
Inches good shout on mattison surprised it’s that low a total. Divisional matchups can surprise sometimes look at the chiefs last week. I’m leaving that game alone expect the rams to win though
Sorry mate.
Sorry mate. Brutal.
@JohnB, if you are placing all your bets, how many points would you advise for each one?
Hi all gunna stick to my early thoughts trebles posted on Monday teaser trebles
One I do like is m Stafford over 285 passing yards 5/6 v the jags think Stafford go over based on the jags poor secondary should air it out ☘️
Lions -3
Titans -3.5
Colts -7.5
Vikings -3.5
12/1
Colts
Vikings
Packers
All to win by 1 -6 points
66/1
Gl all!!!
Back to the drawing board complete blowout as they say in the nfl defence wins games well done Denver broncos beating the New England Patriots
Damn you Mark Andrews and the Ravens.
2 of 3 for me on here. Hit Adam Shaheen on my blog though
Brandon ayiuk over 38.5 receiving yards 20/23
Didn’t do well today but I’m going to take a punt on the 49ers. Yes they were bad against my dolphins last week and they’ve struggled with all their injuries. The rams have looked good but all of their wins have been against teams from the NFC East. I am also changing my mind on this one as I said earlier I think the rams will win. Just have a hunch along with a little researching so taking a chance on 49ers ht/ft 15/8 I also think there will be points tonight going over 52.5 points 19/20 the double pays 4.55/1
How did Johnb do on his NFL tips? I backed them but haven’t checked all the results.
I could be wrong but a quick check he got 4 bets right and 5 wrong. Got the treble right yet again though
Poor on the trebles from me packers put in their place in one and Minnesota are bad in the other
Stafford didn’t throw as much as I thought so prop bet was short
Well done Adam and well done johnb
Still three games this week any thoughts would be welcome good luck ☘️
Anyone like the Mahones Allen Murray Dalton all to throw 250 pass yards 7/4 skybet caught my eye
NFL fan that’s got a decent chance might get on it myself. How about a chance on all over 275 yds at 5/1? Might go small stakes on that but over 250 looks like a decent bet tonight.
I like both games to go over the points and I’m backing the double 2.63/1
The cowboys d is so bad while the offense is really good and with Dalton they will still score plenty with his receiving options plus they got Elliott. Murray and Hopkins could have a field day against that d so I’m expecting a shootout.
The chiefs and bills both coming off losses and neither d is that great. Both will be looking to rebound and the two qbs have been the top 2 in the AFC this season so far. Expecting Allen to have good run support as well as running himself as the chiefs really struggle against it. Mahomes and his offense can light it up more often than not and it will be interesting with the addition of bell if he plays much tonight though it’s hard to say. No Watkins could see hardman get more looks too.
Prop bets chase Edmonds over 20.5 receiving yds 5/6 nap
Singletary over 52.5 rushing yds 5/6
Like the singletary yd’s chiefs struggling against the run 👍
Expecting a shoot out in the bills vs chiefs match tonight with the number 2 ranked passing offence coming up against the number 4 ranked one so it should hopefully lead to a high scoring game & with the stats backing it up i am all over the following bet
Mahomes & Allen each to have 1+ passing TDs in each half 3/1 @ PP
Like the per half bet.
Chiefs v Bills should be a cracker, glad it’s a 10pm kick off for us in the UK.
Do think the o250 and probably the 275 should be good bets too.
I’d imagine the Cowboys give Zeke more of the ball, but Dalton really isn’t a massive downgrade fron Dak, the books had a 6 point change I think that’s an over-reaction personally.
Another bet that’s caught my eye on the bills vs chiefs game is a RequestABetSpecial @ Skybet
Each team to score 2+ TDs in each half 11/1
Wow. The Cowboys just can’t keep hold of the ball, another 2 fumbles lost by Zeke, dismal
The NFC least who wants it laughable any off the 4 teams could go 6 and 10 and get a home play off game 😂
Thursday night going to be interesting game at least one of these teams pick up a win. I’d say the eagles are the better team and ran a couple of good AFC North teams close recently while the giants don’t have much on offense with Barkley out. Sanders looks to be out for the eagles though so could come down to Wentz and Jones and who plays better on the day 😂 my first thoughts but will take a better look at that one Thursday. Man that division is so bad right now you’re right NFL fam could go 6-10 and make the playoffs, would be funny if they won a playoff game too. Still think it’s between the eagles and cowboys but if the giants or skins can beat their rivals when they play them they could sneak it as it’s wide open because none of them are that good ATM.