This season has been a strange one for followers of Man City betting odds. On the one hand, they command a very favourable price in the Premier League outright market, but remain vulnerable to relegation.
That much was clear last week, when Man City's ‘trial of the century' began in London, with the case against their 115 alleged breaches of financial regulations now being heard. It was the start of a path that many believe could culminate in City receiving a hefty points deduction – one that could make relegation inevitable.
As a knock-on effect, some bookmakers shortened the odds on City suffering Premier League demotion for the third time in their history, after experiencing such heartbreak in 1996 and 2001. And now the news only gets worse for the Cityzens, with key midfield cog and Euro 2024 winner Rodri now set to miss the remainder of 2024/25.
Highlighting the market-best prices, we will look at how Man City betting odds have shifted after the Spaniard’s devastating injury.
Man City betting odds overview – selected markets
| To win the Premier League |
7/5 |
0 |
6 |
| To win the Champions League |
3/1 |
0 |
0 |
| To be relegated |
12/1 |
0 |
1 |
| Guardiola next manager to leave post |
50/1 |
0 |
0 |
| Rodri to win Ballon d'Or |
9/2 |
0 |
7 |
There are no real surprises here, with City’s Premier League title odds drifting, after they dropped points for the first time in 2024/25. The 2-2 draw with Arsenal showed the sort of struggles they could encounter without key men on the field, and with the practical effects of Rodri’s absence as yet unknown, City’s best price to lift the Premier League trophy could fluctuate significantly over the next few weeks.
In light of Rodri’s injury, the only other popular market relating to Man City betting odds showing real movement is for him to clinch the Ballon d’Or. The movement against him may seem obvious due to his injury, but it also implies that nothing is set in stone, even with a mere month to go until the 2024 Ballon d’Or award ceremony.
In turn, there may yet be hope for those who trail behind odds-on favourite Vinicius Junior and (still) second-favourite Rodri.
Looking ahead
It will ultimately take a lot more than an injury to Rodri to see a wider range of markets – and a greater number of bookmakers – move against City. In strict terms of missing personnel, only a long-term injury to key hitman Erling Haaland would have such an effect.
For now, as ever, it will be results that dictate how Man City betting odds markets move. As such, one niche market we would certainly advise keeping an eye on is the Champions League’s ‘League Phase Winner’.
After grinding out a draw against Inter Milan, we fully expect City to win their next two UCL games, which will shorten their price in that particular market, though perhaps not drastically. The same goes for any bookmakers offering a ‘Top English Club’ selection for the league phase.
