Liverpool title odds news: Why 9/1 for a close call looks tempting

The betting market has opened for the margin by which Liverpool are likely to win the Premier League. Some interesting offers have appeared, with one in particular likely to entice punters.

Liverpool have been priced at 9/1 to win the Premier League by 1-3 points. With recent title races between the Reds and Manchester City having gone right down to the wire, this could be a very tempting offer for punters.

Arne Slot's side have only lost one game in all competitions this season and sit nine points clear at the top of the table, but City have famously built up incredible runs of form towards the back end of recent Premier League Campaigns.

If the Cityzens can regain their former dominance, the title race could become just as tightly contested as it has been for the last half a decade.

See also: Our Premier League outright winner odds page

Liverpool Premier League winning margin odds

Past decade winning margin

Over the past decade, the average winning margin for each of the previous champions has been 8.3 points.

However, in the two seasons in which Liverpool finished as runner-up in 2018/19 and 2021/22, the margin of victory was only one point.

Furthermore, each of the last three Premier League seasons have finished with a minuscule deficit between first and second. Two, five and one have been Manchester City's gap to second place over the course of the last three years, which demonstrates just how tight the Premier League has become at the top.

The evidence suggests that title races involving Liverpool are often pushed right to the very end of the season, and when considering the tussle between the Reds, Arsenal and Man City, it is very plausible that the Merseyside club's margin of victory could be a small one.

Analysing the run-in

9/1 odds on a 1-3 point winning margin seems even more feasible when considering Liverpool's run-in at the end of the campaign.

Arne Slot's side have to face Arsenal, Chelsea and Tottenham in their last six games, which presents itself as a difficult finish to a potentially title-winning season.

Contrastingly, Man City's last three fixtures come against Southampton, Bournemouth and Fulham, which has a very high chance of being the difference between an extended gap and a title race that goes the distance.

Mikel Arteta's Arsenal should also not be excluded from this conversation. Fixtures against Crystal Palace, Southampton, Bournemouth and Newcastle populate their last six matches. This is another comparatively easier run-in than Liverpool's.

Overall, a 1-3 point margin once again seems a smart bet for punters.

External factors affecting Liverpool

A small factor to reflect upon when weighing up Liverpool's chances of a high winning margin are the ongoing contract disputes of some of the club's top players.

Rumours have been circulating about Mohamed Salah's future at the club, as no contract has been presented to the Egyptian, despite currently enjoying his best ever start to a Premier League campaign.

Equally, a lot of speculation has been drummed up about a move away from Anfield for Trent Alexander-Arnold. With Real Madrid allegedly circling, more unrest and upset could be caused if he were to depart the club.

All in all, the title race should not be considered a concluded affair, and punters should certainly get behind a 1-3 point winning margin at its current price.

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