cr 2

This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.

Day one of the Glorious Goodwood festival was shambolic for both myself and Rizz.

Electrolyte didn't see out the trip as well as I expected he would. English Oak gave it a good go in his first attempt at higher-grade racing but ultimately wasn't good enough on the day. The eventual winner Audience bounced back to form and never looked like losing.

Gregory ran a much better race than he did at Royal Ascot but missed a place by small margins to his stablemate. Kyprios showed he was by far the best staying horse in training, breaking the Goodwood track record over 2m by three seconds. Rizzel's other horse was strongly fancied in the betting all day, being backed in from 20/1 to 8/1 but didn't manage to land a blow in a race that saw two of the heavy hitters not run, with one staying in the stalls and the other being removed before the raced started.

Cairnzy's Tips

Aesterius 15/8 – Goodwood 3.00

The Watham Racing team let the thread down yesterday, with three of our four selections being owned by the powerful owners. I'm keeping the faith with them on day two in the hope they can repay us with the exciting and upcoming Aesterius.

Aesterius has a bit to go in terms of repaying his expensive price tag of £380,000, but he's certainly on the right path in doing so and he can make it three wins from his last four runs when hopefully landing this Group 3 contest. I had this lad straight in my tracker when he won cosily on debut at Bath by just under 3L.

Connections didn't mess around with him next time out and he was thrown straight into the Group 2 Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot, a race that was won by a fellow Watham Racing runner Shareholder. My selection ran well in defeat in that Group 2 contest, finishing in fifth place and only one and a half lengths of the winner in what was a bunched finish in the end. The form of the Royal Ascot run reads quite well, Aesterius was only one position behind Aiden O'Brien's Whistlejacket who has since gone on to win a Group 2 at Newmarket a couple of weeks ago. Aesterius returned to winning ways in his most recent outing when a drop into Listed company saw him prevail by one and a quarter lengths to the Hugo Palmer trained It Aint Two.

Henry Longfellow 6/4 – Goodwood 3.35

This is a cracking race and the one in which I'm looking forward to the most. The original favourite for this race was Rosalion, but that one is now a non-runner due to a respiratory infection. With Rosalion now out of the race, I'm finding it hard to look past Henry Longfellow and Notable Speech. If Notable Speech can somehow bounce back and find his 2000 Guineas form, then you'd have to say he would have a massive chance here. With that said, he was rather disappointing last time out, whereas Henry Longfellow was the opposite and improved massively.

Both Henry Longfellow and Notable Speech were behind Rosalion at Royal Ascot and the form of that contest is my main reason on choosing the O'Brien runner over Notable Speech. Henry Longfellow was only nabbed late on to lose by a length, while Notable Speech was around 6L behind the pair in seventh place. The O'Brien and Moore combo won this race last year with Paddington and If Henry Longfellow repeats the form of his Royal Ascot run, then I can't see Notable Speech reversing the form.

From the remainder of the field, Maljoom is interesting and brings some good Group form to the table with a third-place effort in the Queen Anne Stakes. Maljoom opened up at 20s and is now into 8s but with only 2 places on offer due to Rosalion being withdrawn, the each-way angle is now gone, and the price probably shortened a lot due to the withdrawal anyway. Regardless, Maljoom would be the clear value play if you fancy taking on the two at the head of the market.

Rizzel's Tips

Kathmandu 7/2 – Goodwood 2.25

The Group 3 for Fillies and Mares over 7f is an interesting race as we get to see whether the 3-year-olds are any good against a few decent older horses. I do think that the younger horses are the ones to focus on, and I've latched onto Brian Meehan's horse ridden by Sean Levey.

It's probably up for debate about which horse has the best form, but for me I think Kathmandu has the best form in this race. She was behind Pretty Crystal on her seasonal reappearance at Newmarket, but it seems that the Richard Fahey horse was primed for that race when the others in behind weren't, and since then Kathmandu has improved massively. Brian Meehan's horse has since finished second in a French Group 1, losing by a head, and has then finished fifth against the boys in the Prix Jean Prat Group 1 over 7f. Her effort against the fillies over a mile was a tremendous effort, and she wasn't fancied in the market at all when losing by small margins as she went off at 45/1. Sean Levey was very positive on her that day at Longchamp from a low draw and I think they will opt for similar tactics in today's race as she is drawn in stall 2.

She was very tenacious when leading at Longchamp, and given how hard it can be to come from off the pace at Goodwood, I think the front running tactics for Kathmandu would be perfect as she is a little terrier who keeps battling and was only outstayed by a F-H Graffard filly who has improved from two to three, but didn't fire at Royal Ascot. Kathmandu has shown at the top level against her own sex she can compete and even against the boys, which is a lot tougher task, she ran a creditable race to finish 3.5L behind the winner, and that for me is the best form in the race.

Wisper 12/1 – Goodwood 4.10 (Each Way)

The punters and bookies are latching onto the lightly raced and unexposed fillies for this race, which is normally the right angle to go for as improvement is still to come from them, but I'm not so sure about their form. Instead, I've latched onto the oldest mare in the race.

If you are following me with backing Wisper you'll want to be covering your eyes as this is more than likely going to be a very ice-cold type of ride by Kieran Shoemark if he is going to follow the trend with this horse on his first time riding the Marcus Tregoning mare. Wisper is always held up at the back of her races, which is definitely not ideal at a track like Goodwood, but it should mean that Kieran will be able to pull her wide (I hope) and get a clear run down the outside, as going for the inside when the cutaway appears can be a death trap. At the time, I thought her form of his second-placed effort behind Andaleep at Windsor wasn't form worth following, but the winner has since finished a very close second at the most recent Racing League meeting and probably should've won if he got the rub of the green. Wisper isn't exactly the most well-handicapped horse in the world, but I do think today's track will suit her and the return to running against her own sex will be a massive help. She is 2/3 when running against her own sex in handicaps, and the only defeat came after a 208-day break, and she finished second when carrying 10st 2lbs and conceding 25lbs to the winner, so it was still a huge effort.

It's a shame that her usual rider of Wisper, Dougie Costello, isn't on board her as he gets on with her very well but he is on the sidelines at the moment after incurring a third breach of the whip rule, so that is the reason why Kieran is on board.

Horse Racing Tips
Aesterius
Goodwood - 3:00 pm

15/8 @ Bet365

Henry Longfellow
Goodwood - 3:35 pm

6/4 @ Bet365

Kathmandu
Goodwood - 2:25 pm

7/2 @ Bet365

Wisper
Goodwood - 4:10 pm

12/1 @ Bet365

38 Comments
  1. Avatar of chris johns
    hibee1 4 months ago

    See That Storm 3.15 Redcar top 2 finish 1.5 points win very confident bet 11/8.

    Also O.5 points to win 3/1.

    11
    • Avatar of JGWulvo
      JGWulvo 4 months ago

      Great write up and winner my friend well done! :)

      3
    • Avatar of Peter McFadden
      kf 4 months ago

      Nice winner there mate. Thanks for posting

      4
  2. Avatar of chris johns
    hibee1 4 months ago

    I’ll quickly share some stats which add to my confidence.

    Handicap debut, yard debut, turf debut. Already shown really nice attitude and won on debut for Andrew Balding. That last run behind King of Spain, only beaten half a length, has been franked with that winner going in again in a class 3 next time out winning very well.

    Yard Red hot form. 1 runner todstpy 1 winner by about 5 length. 6 from last 12 runners from yard have won.
    24 % strike rate with 3 yo on turf this season.
    23% strike rate at Redcar in handicaps over last 5 seasons with 6 from 23.
    Don’t have exact stat to hand but yard have about a 20% strike rate with handicap debutants.
    Really confident with the main bet and could easily win as well for a bonus.

    11
  3. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 4 months ago

    Goodwood proved to be a bit of a bloodbath. It basically suited horses up with the pace and I think that will be the case again today with the heat and drying ground.
    A couple of winners at Galway softened the blow somewhat so we’ll see how we get on today.

    The Galway Festival has never been about quality There’s no group races on the flat and only the Plate and Hurdle are graded handicaps for NH.
    Because of the time of the year you won’t get to see the top NH horses except for some running in the big h’caps and with Goodwood on the same week you’re also not going to see top class flat performers.
    But it’s taken very seriously by the smaller yards as it gives them the chance to earn money that they otherwise wouldn’t make. But it’s not easy as every race is hugely competitive.
    The Galway Plate and Hurdle are the richest h’caps in Europe and the course is sold out every day for the 7 days of the festival every year bringing a huge boost to the local economy so while the quality may not be there, its a very important festival nonetheless.

    Galway Plate

    Gordon Elliott has won 4 of the last 10
    6 of the last 10 were won by a 7yr old
    UK runners are 1-35 over the past 20 years
    2 of the last 3 winners carried over 11st but 8 of the last 10 carried less than 11st.

    Perceval Legallois
    If he has a clear round must go close but has fallen twice in 5 runs over fences and on such a tight track with a big field it doesn’t fill me with confidence.

    In Excelsis Deo
    5lbs higher for impressive win lto. 4 of the last 20 winners of that race went on to win nto.Progressive and will appreciate the ground. Comes over from the UK and I’m sure Harry Fry will have him ready.

    Amirite
    Should have had his head in front by now but finds a way not to win. 5lbs better off with Ida’s Boy for 3L defeat lto but he’s not for me.

    Zanahiyr
    The pick of Jack Kennedy and with the Elliott yards record in the race he must go on the shortlist. He’s also rated 11lbs lower over fences but he’s not performed to his level over fences and was 20L behind Thecompanysergent (4th and 5th) lto and that form is just not good enough.

    Mister Policeman
    Pulled up when last seen at punchestown and a rating of 149 will be a tough ask for him here.

    Tullybeg
    Finished 3rd behind Ida’s Boy and Amirite lto but was leading approaching the last fence but ran out of steam on the run in. Back down in trip I think will be ideal and he’s also 6lbs better off with Ida’s Boy and 1lb with Amirite. He will also love the ground with all wins coming with good in the description. Only negative is he’s a 9yr old.

    Tullybeg 18/1 ew 6 places
    In Excelsis Deo 7/1 ew 6 places
    Both BOG

    BOL

    2
  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    Attila the honey 1.50 ew stop the cavalry 2.25 ew the man 3.00 ew majoom 3.35 ew

  5. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    mysterious love 4.10 ew well done all winners yesterday

  6. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 4 months ago

    Is VOYAGE not a bit overpriced in the opener at Goodwood ?
    Drops into Class 2 company off 92 but was deemed good enough to run in the Derby but Unseated leaving the stalls.
    Pulled way to hard at RA so willing to put a line through that. By Golden Horn out of a Galileo mare should love the trip.

    16/1 ew 4 places pp

    1
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 4 months ago

      Apparently not 👎

      1
  7. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    adelprofit 2.05 ew

  8. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Facteur cheval 3-35 Goodwood.

    11-8 top 2 finish 🏇 NAP 🏇 @hills.

    Ignore it’s last run at ascot, chose the wrong side to run on and had just one other horse for company and came 6th.
    French trainer must think he can repeat his meydan group 1 win in march or why bother coming here again.

    0
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 4 months ago

      I’ll join you on that one Elvis

      1
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 4 months ago

      3rd, beat by a neck 🚮

  9. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Galway plate 7-10
    Darts at the ready 🎯
    Only joking DC 🇮🇪 😂😂

    Zahahyir 8-1 ew 7 places SKYBET.
    Duffle coat 25-1 ew 7 places SKYBET.

    Zanahyir is jack Kennedy’s choice of Elliott’s armada of runners and is a plus
    Ignoring his last run which came a bit soon after Cheltenham must have a great chance to make his class pay.
    His 2nd to the impressive fact to file around Christmas was impressive given the 3rd minella cocooner went on to win the big end of season bet365 gold cup chase at sandown.
    Cocooner was 26 lengths behind zanàhyir at leopardstown.
    Presumably been rested with this race in mind since.

    Duffle coat
    Ignore last run as it was over a distance which stretched his stamina, back 3 furlongs today should suit better.
    Perth 3rd was decent given he gave the winner a stone.
    Ballinrobe mayo national win in may very impressive but raced off just 10-2.
    Had a few of today’s entries behind him that day.
    Today with last year’s winning jockey (Gilligan) 3 pound claim drops him to 10-3 today.

    Of the 2 picks I fancy duffle coat more tbh

    1
  10. Avatar of Uncle Pom
    uncle pom 4 months ago

    Goodwood 15;00

    Kings call 16/1 ew

    15:35 Notable speech 5/2

    5
  11. Avatar of theplug
    theplug 4 months ago

    Galway Plate 7-10
    Zanahiyr 11/2 Have been running in better races than this and like DC said 7 year olds do very well in this race .
    Also he is Jack Kennedys pick .🤞🤞🤞

    1
  12. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 4 months ago

    2 tipsters one outcome 😂

    3
  13. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 4 months ago

    Other bets for Galway

    5.25 Ballintubber Boy 12/1 ew 5 places

    UK raider who somehow has managed to stay on the same mark as when winning lto. Runner up in that race won nto.

    6.00 A Law of her Own 14/1 ew 5 places

    Won race last year. 3lbs higher today but jockey negates that

    7.45 Cornahilt Soldier 13/2 ew 4 places

    Unlucky on Monday when meeting traffic. Stayed on nicely so extra furlong should suit

    1
    • Avatar of theplug
      theplug 4 months ago

      DC I think that’s the way to go at Galway ew bets hard to get winners there .

      1
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 4 months ago

      Near impossible

  14. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 4 months ago

    5:20 good wood – alzahir 25/1 e/w

    3
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 4 months ago

      6 places sky bet 18/1

      1
  15. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    the turpinator 5.20 ew

  16. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    en or 8.15 ew

    1
  17. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    ballycashin 6.00 ew well done all winners today

  18. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 4 months ago

    Huge gamble going on in the Plate.
    Dunvegan was 80/1 and he now as low as 9/1.
    That’s just happened in the past few mins.
    Crazy stuff

    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 4 months ago

      You can still get 40s with a few bookies but not for me

    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 4 months ago

      Must have been some sort of blip as he’s back out to 66’s

  19. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Race 1 finger lakes – Jacoba 5/2 ( recoba’s brother ) 😂😂

  20. Avatar of theplug
    theplug 4 months ago

    Galway tomorrow 5.05
    NURBURGRING 9/1

    1
  21. Avatar of Wildhorse
    Wildhorse 4 months ago

    Hi

    Galway Festival Day 3

    R . 5 ( Galway Plate ) Each Way – Zanahiyr / Placed – Toss Again

    R . 6 – Thor ‘s Hammer / EW

    R . 7 – Busselton / EW

    Good luck , see you on Day 4 !!

    4
  22. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Galway plate – solness 20/1 e/w sky bet 7 places . Mmmm scrummy !

    1
  23. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    ask tree meadow 7.10 ew

  24. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 4 months ago

    Unlucky guys with Duffle Coat and Zanahiyr.
    In Excelsis Deo jumped like a snooker table and Tullybeg lost a leg.

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 4 months ago

      8:05 Leicester makeen 5/1

      1
  25. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Flag carrier 8/1 8:30 sandown

    1
  26. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Got 2nd and 3rd in the plate.
    More than happy with that 🏇

    2
  27. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    cable queens 8.40 ew well done all winners today

    1

Leave a reply

CONTACT US

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Sending

Please play responsibly. For assistance with problem gambling please visit BeGambleAware.co.uk

About MFT  | Journalist CharterSupport  |  Contact Us  | 18+  BeGambleAware Privacy Policy  | Terms of use | ©2024 North Star Network.

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Log in with your credentials

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account

This website uses cookies for analytics. By using this site, you agree to our use of cookies. Read our Privacy Policy here