Thursday’s Racing Tips – Turndlightsdownlow is great value at 7/2 at Wincanton

After a few rough weeks, to walk away with two winners from two selections was a great confidence booster.

Both horses weren't amazing odds, but they both drifted to higher prices, so if you got on them this morning and got B.O.G you will be much happier.

Matiwo won easily from the front after being keen in the early stages. His jumping towards the end was electric and cemented an easy win.

C'Est Different is such a likeable horse. He gives everything and responds to pressure. He won easier than it looked, and I think he will continue to progress. 8/1 is the price for him for the Pertemps Final, a price I wouldn't like to get involved in just yet.

Major Fortune 7/2 (1pt) – Wincanton 12.07

If the top weight in this contest (Golan Loop) handles the ground, which should turn into very testing, he could be difficult to beat. Based on the fact that he was withdrawn on soft ground last year, and his best run was on good to soft, I think you've got to take him on.

Major Fortune is 0/6 over fences, but has been running in higher class races than today's race. He racked up many wins over hurdles last year when tackling handicaps, and he showed a liking for very testing ground. Wincanton is expecting a lot of rain, and that should turn it to heavy.

My selection is a bit out of form, but his handicap mark has started to fall, and he hasn't really raced on his ideal ground. With a return to a surface he enjoys, and back in grade, the chance of a revival is likely.

Turndlightsdownlow 7/2 (1pt) – Wincanton 3.02

If the same version of Turndlightsdownlow turns up from the Sandown race when losing a close race to Kijiko, I think he will be extremely tough to beat.

That is the best form in this race by a country mile, and despite going up in the handicap, I think he should be winning this.

The Sandown race was in a Class 2 race, whereas this is a Class 3. The level of horses in that race was better than the horses in this, and I don't see a horse on a good mark which could stop the progress of Turndlightsdownlow.

I'm not saying it's going to be an easy race, as I do like the look of Champagne Chic, and even Loverdose trying 3m for the first time.

Freddie Steady Go 7/2 (1pt) – Newcastle 12.15

In what appears to be a very weak maiden race over hurdles, I think it's very easy to get sucked into backing Madame Le Papillon.

I was tempted to back the mare, as she ran well on her hurdling debut at 80/1 to finish second. She finished behind Starmount, a horse that has since finished fourth in a Grade 1, but was 20L behind the winner. I don't think that form is as solid as it may appear.

At a slightly higher price, I thought Freddie Steady Go was a big player on his debut over obstacles. He is a course and distance winner from his bumper debut, and then was placed in his two other bumper runs whilst carrying a penalty.

The form of his bumper races looks decent, with a few translating that form to hurdles. He is clearly a horse who prefers a sound surface, so the good-to-soft, good in places ground will be ideal for him.

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