daily racing tips 4

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I apologise for Wednesday's selections, they were a pair of duds.

Broderick never looked happy. His jumping was sticky, and I thought we were in trouble down the back straight as the leader was going extremely well and jumping like a buck. As for the other selection, the market was very negative, and he went off at 5/1 and raced like the market suggested he would.

We've got some very good racing to look forward to this week. It'll be tough to find the winners, but as long as Stumptown wins the National, I'll be very happy after sitting on him at 66/1 in an Antepost bet, and I did suggest following me when he was still around 50/1. He currently sits at 8/1 second-favourite, so I have every part of my body crossed on him landing the big one.

Rizzel's tips

Ahoy Senor 11/2 – Aintree 2.55

An old friend of mine is Ahoy Senor. I'm not sure why I'm calling him a friend as he has cost me a few quid over the years, but it's probably because I really like this horse and despite him having a tendency to jump out to his right, he seems to relish running at Aintree.

In my opinion, this race all boils down to whether Gaelic Warrior turns up or not. By that I mean not physically turning up to the race, but whether he's in form, as the best version of Gaelic Warrior would be the one to beat in this, but going left-handed has always been a question mark to him, and when he is off the boil, he is very poor. The booking of Patrick Mullins on him is enough for me to leave him alone, as it seems awfully strange that Paul is not on board.

In terms of the rest of the field, I don't think it's a great Grade 1. Ahoy Senor has finished 2nd in this race over the last two seasons and won it back in 2022; he was incredibly unlucky not to beat Shishkin the year before last. Brian Hughes got the ride on him that day as Derek was injured, and he went for home far too early, and Shishkin managed to run him down late on. Last year, he was second to Gerri Collombe, who I fancied for the Gold Cup last year (finished 2nd), so that is a decent piece of form. This year, he doesn't really have a superstar to compete against, apart from maybe Gaelic Warrior. I'm not sold on Grey Dawning. His form during his novice season over fences isn't really that strong. He was in and around Ginny's Destiny, and that horse hasn't done much since. He beat Iroko at Kelso last time out, but that horse was using that run as a prep for the National, also, I don't think the ground will be to his liking. I thought Stage Star was a dark horse for this, as he has been primed for this race after avoiding Cheltenham.

Patrick Wadge gets the ride on Ahoy Senor as Derek is injured again, and this is a big opportunity for the youngster who showed his class when giving Myretown a front-running masterclass at the Festival last month. Hopefully, he can get this horse into a rhythm and hold onto him to as late as possible to ensure his stamina holds out.

Milan Forth 10/1 EW – Aintree 4.05

The Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase is always a great spectacle as we get to see the amateur riders take to the national fences. All horses race off the same weight, so you'd think the highest rated horse would win, but it doesn't always work out like that.

It's definitely the safest option going for horses who are proven at this track and over these fences, so the likes of Famous Clermont and Lifetime Ambition will be popular, but I've ended up going for Milan Forth, who won for me a couple of weeks ago.

I like the profile of Milan Forth. He is 2/2 in the Hunters' Chase races, but he also has some good form from PTP races when racing over 3m, which isn't his trip. He is definitely better over shorter distances, as he proved last time out over 2m 3f when winning in better style than the winning margin suggests. He loves the good ground, so he should feel at home on the surface, and it all boils down to whether he'll take to the fences, and I think he will.

In terms of ratings, he has a fair bit to prove against the likes of My Drogo, who is definitely up to winning a race like this, but my selection is only a 6-year-old, has plenty of ability and is still progressing. He is a nice EW price, and I think he can run a big race.

My Mate Mozzie 11/2 – Aintree 4.40

I think the good weather that we've encountered in recent weeks will mean the ground has gone against a fair few in this race, so it wouldn't surprise me if we see a couple of non-runners. I don't think this is a particularly strong race, so I believe carrying a heavy weight will not be an inconvenience to My Mate Mozzie, who is one of the classier horses in the race.

I said at the Cheltenham Festival in the Grand Annual that My Mate Mozzie was one of the horses to beat, and he ran a corker to finish in fourth place. He made a mistake late on and tired up the hill, so I think the return to a flatter track and in a weaker race will be better for him.

The ground will not be a problem for him as he has won on this surface before, and despite him being a 9-year-old, he hasn't got many miles on the clock, especially this season, as he has been put away for a spring campaign and then a spin on the flat for the summer.

I did think Petit Tonnerre was one to be wary of as he has always been a horse I've liked, but connections have plotted a careful route for him, as he did manage to cash in a low mark. He is still well-treated, so any strong money would suggest they fancy their chances.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Aintree
Horse Racing Tips
Ahoy Senor
Aintree - 2:55 pm

11/2 @ Bet365

Milan Forth
Aintree - 4:05 pm

10/1 EW @ Bet365

My Mate Mozzie
Aintree - 4:40 pm

11/2 @ Bet365

24 Comments
  1. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    Posted yesterday

    Thursday aintree bowl 2-55 kick off.
    2 bets
    Ahoy senor 11-8 top 3 finish
    Grey dawning 9-4 win

    Torn between the 2 so going on both.
    Ahoy senor has meeting figures of 1122 so that speaks for itself.
    Grey dawning I believe has been aimed at this race but I’d have liked 3-1 or better .
    —————————————————————————–
    Lifetime ambition 4-05 aintree foxhunter
    21-20 top 5 finish NAP 🏇🏇.
    Bet365
    Double your dough 😁.

    9-2 too skinny for win or each way in such a big field.
    Apart from the grand national 2 years ago when he unseated this horse’s record under rules in march/April reads 21121231 .
    Has been winning points recently and a healthy age at 10, barring accidents can’t see this outside the top 5

    2
  2. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    Aintree Day 1 Selections

    1.45 Impaire Et Passe

    Amazingly the last 15 winners of this race did not win their previous race. Maybe it’s down to some horses having harder races than others that ran at Cheltenham yet 7 of the last 10 winners last ran at Cheltenham so it’s not necessarily fresh horses that win.
    However, IEP although he didn’t run well lto has cheekpieces applied for the first time and has the services of Townend onboard and is the class horse in the race.
    I think he’s the one to be on here with the danger being Croke Park.

    2.20 Live Conti 8/1 ew 3 places AP

    Put him up a couple of days ago, seems to be friendless in the market but the bet is on so I’ll let it run.
    I might have an ew saver on Wendrock who was unlucky in the Fred Winter being badly hampered and finished very strongly.

    2.55 Ahoy Senor ew

    Has finished 1st 2nd and 2nd in the last 3 runnings of this race and there’s no Shiskin or Gerry in the field this year. He’s not had the best of seasons this year and is now 10, but he comes alive at this track and will enjoy conditions.
    I do love Spillane’s Tower but his trainer said he didn’t travel well for the King George so until he does it on UK soil I’ll leave him be.

    3.30 Lossiemouth

    I wasn’t impressed with Con Hill when he won this race 2 years ago and he’s not the horse now that he was then. It’s also Lossiemouth’s best trip and I can see her coming out on top here.

    4.05 My Drogo

    Only 3 of the last 39 winners were younger than 9 so it’s best to look for experience in this race.
    My Drogo is obviously the class horse of the race and skipped Cheltenham for here which being a flat track is ideal for him. Lost his way but has come back winning his last 2 so seems to be in a better frame of mind.

    4.40 Sans Bruit ew

    Again spoke of him a couple of days ago how he’s somehow been dropped 13lbs in 4 runs since Dec. Is the most blatant plot job you will see.
    Led from start to finish when winning this race last year and now that he’s back down to 130 from 143 will surely make a bold bid to repeat last year’s success.
    A danger could be The Folkes Tiara for HDB who has won 2 of the last 5 renewals. Has good form in Ireland and hasn’t been harshly treated by the handicapper, I’ll have a saver on him.

    5.15 Queen Kate 50/1 ew

    Just a small bet on her after I thought she did well to win her only race so far having been boxed in and had to switch to the middle of the track to get her head in front. Hard to know what she beat but I thought 50’s was big but the price is holding so maybe she beat trees.

    BOL

    5
    • Avatar of Deb2000
      Deb2000 2 weeks ago

      DC live conti 30s on Betfair that is a crazy drift.

    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 2 weeks ago

      Crazy indeed but ran a good race to finish 2nd

      4
  3. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    Aintree

    1-45
    Jango Baie 5-2
    Gidleigh park 6-1 ew
    If impaire en passe jumps like a brick like his last run he won’t finish this race.

    2-20 naturally nimble 10-1 ew 4 places SKYBET.

    2-55
    Ahoy senor 11-8 top 3 finish
    Grey dawning 9-4 win (now 5-2 😁)

    3-30 wodhooh 15-8 top 2 finish Ladbrokes.
    If constitution is anywhere near 100% he wins and 11-10 is a gift despite the grossly unfair mares allowance some get which makes it a handicap in a way, the handicap being male having to give weight to female.
    I saw him first hand at Cheltenham though and he wasn’t tanking along like Henderson said after and a repeat could see him pulled up, so going for this one who is one for the future really.

    Lifetime ambition 4-05 aintree foxhunter
    21-20 top 5 finish NAP 🏇🏇.
    Bet365
    Double your dough 😁.

    4-40
    Rather Gaul hill 8-1 ew 4 places

    hunters yarn 33-1 ew 5 places SKYBET
    best form been in march/April, finished 10 lengths ahead of my mate mozzie in last year’s arkle and that one is 5-1 favourite today.

    1
  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    the kalooki kid 1.45 live conti 2.20 the real whacker 2.55 lossiemouth 3.30 senior citizen 4.05 my mate mozzie 4.40 well done all winners yesterday

  5. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

    3:40 plumpton- kadex 4/1

  6. Avatar of John Mulhern
    spursman 2 weeks ago

    L15

    1.45 A Imparre Et Passe
    3.05 P Stylia
    3.10 N Shuffle The Deck
    4.05 A Willitgoahead

    🙂

  7. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    So Lulamba races on Saturday against older horses and over 20f for less prize money than he would have got had he ran today in what would probably been a penalty kick for him.
    Henderson came out on Luck on Sunday and basically said he would run today. I wonder how much money was lost by punters trying to get an antepost price on him for today’s race.
    Henderson and De Boinville are Sponsored by Unibet I wonder how much of an influence they had on this decision.
    Just shouldn’t be allowed that bookies can sponsor trainers/jockeys.

    2
    • Avatar of Hotshotz
      Hotshotz 2 weeks ago

      💯

  8. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    Jackie hobs 5.15

  9. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    jazz de cotte 2.00 nap

  10. Avatar of busstop.2018
    busstop.2018 2 weeks ago

    Afternoon all. No bets today at Aintree for me so dont know if the off meetings will interest anyone.

    SEDGEFIELD

    14.42. .Tom Creen. .9/2

    15.52. .Old Page. .5/2

    16.27. .Ocean Legacy. .3/1

    17.02. .Millajess. .100/30

    Plumpton

    16.15. .Shangai Enki. .11/2

    GL ALL

    8
  11. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    Just couldn’t see Gaelic Warrior winning that race no matter which way I looked at it, especially with Patrick onboard but he gave him a peach of a ride in fairness and he won’t well

    1
  12. Avatar of John Mulhern
    spursman 2 weeks ago

    I think the clip the runner up gave the last fence gave him a huge chance but it was a very good run all the way through by the winning jockey

  13. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    Rinse repeat SAN’S BRUIT bolts up again advised at 10/1 👊

    7
  14. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 weeks ago

    And QUEEN KATE places at 50/1

    3 winners, 2 ew placed and from 7 selections

    A pretty good day

    Well done to all other winners

    7
    • Avatar of Ewthief
      ew thief 2 weeks ago

      well done mate looks like you had a cracker 👍👍

      1
    • Avatar of busstop.2018
      busstop.2018 2 weeks ago

      Well done DC Been a good day

      3
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 2 weeks ago

      Cheers thief 👍

      1
    • Avatar of jim begley
      jimba 2 weeks ago

      Excellent 👏 DC👍

      1
  15. Avatar of busstop.2018
    busstop.2018 2 weeks ago

    Cracking Day 3 winners from my 5 …………. 5/2 .3/1 .4/1 .hope some looked at the off meetings

    GL ALL

    8
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 2 weeks ago

      Back at you Busstop please excuse my ignorance for not noticing your winners as I was fully focused on aintree

      1
    • Avatar of jim begley
      jimba 2 weeks ago

      Great tipping busstop👍

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