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Thanks to Cairnzy for filling in for me on Wednesday, but sadly, his sole runner was a non-runner.
The ground was deemed unsuitable for Doctor Ken at Bangor, which left Olly Murphy with the decision to withdraw his runner.
There is a high chance that the racing for Thursday will be called off, as there is a lot of rain expected to fall overnight. Hopefully, it doesn't get to that point.
Lunar Orbit 6/4 (1pt) – Sedgefield 1.24
The weather is going to get very bad up at Sedgefield. They are expecting 12mm of rain late on Wednesday and a lot more on the morning of Thursday, so it's going to be a test of stamina.
Lunar Orbit is yet to win a race over hurdles from three attempts, but you'd have to say he has the best form. The second to Ammes is solid, and the third last time out seems good enough to say he is the one to beat in this race.
He was the best horse on the flat, which is always a good indicator for juvenile hurdle races. His pedigree gives plenty of optimism that the ground will be fine for him, as he is related to a French jumps horse who relished heavy ground over slightly further.
Warren Greatrex boasts a very solid strike rate when sending his runners on the long trip to Sedgefield. In the last five seasons, he has had four winners from thirteen runners, which is a 31% strike rate, equalling a profit of +11.00 to £1 level stakes.
Back it with Tote (no fixed odds)Formel Park 11/4 (1pt) – Sedgefield 13.59
I'm typing this up before the odds have been released for Formel Park. I don't think we'll get the best of odds as he looked to be a player last time out, and this is a track Evan Williams doesn't have many runners at.
I mentioned when I tipped her up that Evan Williams is notorious for campaigning hurdlers, getting them on a very low handicap mark, before they capitalise over fences.
Last time out, she wasn't a guarantee to win from the position she was in before she fell. However, I think she would have gone close, and it was a nice start over fences. Fitness might not have been at 100%, despite it being only a 60-day absence; she did get a second wind in that race.
Evan Williams has a 20% strike rate with his horses at this track. Considering it's a very long way for small prize money, I don't think they'll be going back empty-handed. This is Evan Williams' only runner of the day, which is always a statement of intent when travelling this far.
Back it with Tote (no fixed odds)Totesport placepot from Market Rasen
- 12.10 – Japetus
- 12.40 – Moon Over America
- 13.13 – Gold Emery
- 13.48 – Wednesday Addams
- 14.23 – Heart Over Head
- 14.58 – You Did
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