No dice with the previous Nap, but we closed the year in a healthy position from a profit and loss point of view, turning a profit in each of the four months that the ‘Nap of the Day’ ran.
| Huntingdon - 15:10 |
Our Pink Lady |
8/1 |
Happy new year to all. Time to get back down to business, and we start the new year ahead of Thursday’s action at Huntingdon, where the contest taking place at 15:10, a Class 5 handicap hurdle for mares, is the race in focus.
The horse I'm interested in here, at odds of 8/1, is Our Pink Lady, who made a quiet return to action at Catterick a fortnight ago, but if revved up by that spin, the mare could quite easily take a sizable step in the right direction here.
Twice a winner over this trip (and at this level) at Southwell last season, James Owen’s runner knows how to compete in races of this type, while she doesn’t exactly look weighted out of it as she sits just 2 lbs above her last winning mark. If we factor in Alex Chadwick’s 5 lb claim, we could argue that she’s well handicapped.
Owen is not a trainer to dismiss at Huntingdon
Trainer James Owen is not one to overlook at this venue, that’s for sure, while he’s also a trainer that arrives in pleasing form.
At Huntingdon, Owen has a rather promising strike rate of 27.27% in the last 12 months. In his career, he has a 35% strike rate at the track, so it’s probably fair to say that this is a course that he targets.
In addition, claimer Alex Chadwick has been used to killer effect in recent times, winning on three of his four rides in the last fortnight. His booking is a positive one as far as I’m concerned.
When we put all of the above together, odds of 8/1 start to look a bit too big, especially as this race appears to be anything but the deepest contest. Those looking for some value early in the year should take 8/1.
Based on a £10 level-stakes example, the Nap of the Day (after 77 Naps) has a running P/L of +£105.00 (since switching to being published here (10/09/2024) rather than on the ‘Nap of the Day' page).
For those interested, here’s a monthly profit and loss breakdown (again based on a £10 level-stakes example):
September 2024 = +£34.00
October 2024 = +£6.00
November 2024 = +£15.00
December 2024 = +£50.00
2024 Overall = +105.00
The amount times grease has been on over Christmas this one should be a shoe in haha 😂