This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
I didn't make the best start to my time here at MFT but yesterday was a massive day and I only hope some of you kept faith. All losses were recouped and we'll be playing with the bookies money all the way to Diwali, maybe even Hanukkah.
Going forward, I hope to see a lot more cohesion within the group, I am a new face here but it is really quite shocking to see contributors being targeted on an almost daily basis.
My eyes haven't left York all week so please bet with caution today. I've had a nightmare time of things away from the track and lacked time to dig too deep despite the word count.
Attacanter Racing Tips
Metal Merchant 13/2 4 places – 15.35 Goodwood
As mentioned further down I didn't realise how soft it was at Goodwood and that is why I have pulled Blue Prince yet again. The horse was pulled at York to take his chance her but with the drift and ground concerns, I've flung him in the trash. Qirat smashed him to bits over C&D in May too, so seing how well supported he has been made swapping him easier. FWIW Blue Prince's form has been boosted and does come here having won over C&D last time out.
The race itself is rife with horses in with a chance, I actually was on Withness Stand at the festival here a few weeks ago. Tom Clover landed us a very nice winner yesterday and in general his have been running well, an 8lb rise isn't ideal but he could hit the frame.
The one other trainer I had in mind today was Jack Channon, and that was before noticing he had two winners and a 2nd at Windsor yesterday. With two 5/1 shots here it is a case of take your pick. Tiriac carries slight interest but I am more than happy to chance Metal Merchant. The look of his form is more than pleasing, beating subsequent winners and those ahead franking the form since. Jack has had 3 winners here this season.
He is rated as high as ever, he has some form on the going but isn't overly proven despite a 2nd on heavy. Goodwood is a speedsters track, this is a 7f race. Our horse has won over 1m at Ascot, last time was actually his first try over 7f since 2022, again at Ascot. To me that does mean we'll have to hope the ground brings his stamina into play. The Channon yard don't mind a gamble so support might be significant.
Cavalier Approach 11/1 5 places – 14.05 Beverley
Low draw numbers here over 5f is the place to be. With small time sprint specialist Paul Midgley sending Rock of England out, stall one will be helpful for the in form yard. I am going to go for one a bit more obscure giving the extra places. A combination who did OK for us at York, Ed Bethell and PJ McDonald. I haven't really looked at Paddy's other runners but Mnosieur Melee might be worth a once over.
Ed Bethell used to train Rock of England, so the fact Cavalier Approach is still with him must be a good thing. The horse has operated at a lower level than this but did win this season and seems quite versatile given he won over both 5 and 6f at Hamilton last season, a very stiff track similar to Beverley. In July he carried 6lbs more than Glory Hide and beat it soundly, a horse who has won since, with Bella Kopella in behind.
Nigel Tinkler doesn't technically have a great record here but he is an old favourite and always worth a check. Glendown was put up at Ripon but ran no race on the wrong side of the track.
Estrange 9/2 – 13.50 Goodwood
This is not my typical selection, and perhaps I should stick to handicaps but I felt this horse has a good a chance as any of hitting the frame despite all three of her closest market rivals having had the race day experience. With that said, Andrew Balding has a remarkable record at this meeting over the last few years, with at least two doubles. His horse, Lasting Love 7/1 could have easily be chanced but I'm going to with a debutant one final time.
Being a very expensive purchase by Night of Thunder, seeing two market rivals ahead of her doesn't exactly inspire me but they are both yet to win. On form, Eavestone has beaten a few subsequent winners and her trainer is one of the best in the country.
No two races are the same but the amount of times I've been let down by Jack Mitchell is untrue, far too many times he leaves his horse with too much to do and then goes for broke, often coming up short. Whether I am just getting on the wrong ones where it's all by design who knows, but the price is too skinny for me regardless.
An unplaced selection at the price isn't a good look but with long term goals in mind, I'll happily take a chance here.
Magic Memories 6/1 – 14.25 Goodwood
I neglected to check the going seeing how firm it'd been at York all week. Turns out Goodwood has seen quite a bit of rain and off of that I have turned to the Gary Moore runner who has form on heavy. Yes he will need a couple to falter but he has been consistent and if able to take a step forward, could be in the mix.
Obviously, a safer play would be to stick with one of those ahead of him in the market, namely Godwinson, but proven form on the going, combined with the fact he is a late replacement for a horse who is now 7/2 (Rebel Diamond – 14.32 Naas) he just about made the cut. Gary Moore has had 3 winners here from 23 runners this year, with 6 managing to place, including a 20/1 shot in the amateur race here yesterday.
My selection last won in June, yes this is a fair bit trickier but he is only up 3lbs despite the form looking weak. Prior to that his 2nd at Yarmouth looks fine despite carring a lot less weight than his rivals which may have skewed the result.
The winner, 1.5l in front carrying a stone more was Dual Identity, 2nd to his stablemate in the last race at York yesterday. Regheeb in 3rd choked at Royal Ascot before running out an easy winner at Ayr off 91. Reopposing Crack Shot was 4th and gets 6lbs, I was half tempted to risk him given Ed Walker's week and Jamie Spencer's record for these owners but hopefully the heavens remain open overnight and benefits us. It may sound obvious but I would be wary of a drift. I shouldn't remind you but I tipped a horse from this yard last week, it went from a single figure price to 100/1.
– Advised bet – Eachway Lucky15
WHAT IS A LUCKY 15 BET?
A Lucky 15 bet consists of 15 unique bets, covering every possible combination that comes from backing four selections. The 15 bets are broken down like this:
– 1 fourfold accumulator
– 4 trebles, with each treble omitting one of your selections
– 6 doubles, again covering every possible combination
– 4 singles
The attraction of a Lucky 15 is that it offers many more ways to win than a standard accumulator. A Lucky 15 uses both your acca and your singles as well as producing trebles and doubles that reward you for correctly calling 2/4 or 3/4 of your selections. To cover the 15 separate bets, a Lucky 15 uses your stake 15 times. If you were to place £1 on a Lucky 15, you would be staking £15 in total across the various bets.
In December 2020 we sadly 
Good picking yesterday 1 winner an rest placed all double figure prices well done