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Well, four days of top-class racing has ended, and if you're on the same boat as me, you'll be happy to see the back of it.
Rizz kept us somewhat afloat with Stumptown and a couple of eachway selections filling the places on other articles. Still, as a whole, I'm delighted the festival is over because I was utterly slaughtered from start to finish. From reading the comments on the thread and elsewhere, I know I wasn't the only one, but it's disappointing to put the hours in each night and come away with your tail between your legs.
Willie Mullins won the Triumph Hurdle yesterday, and he did so with his 100/1 shot Poniros. That particular result sums up the whole festival for me. As a follower of the sport and someone who enjoys analysing form, what chance does the average Joe have when things like that pop up? I understand these results happen here and there, but the shocking results were happening daily throughout the four days, from Constitution Hill to Jonbon to Galopin Des Champs all losing. The three just mentioned weren't the only ones, and, notably, were all superboosted by Bet365 and backed by hundreds of thousands of people worldwide.
It was good to see a lot of people getting involved in the comments, regardless of whether you were giving selections or simply giving your thoughts on the festival, it's still nice to see people getting involved.
Cairnzy's Tips
Joyeux Machin 7/2 – Uttoxeter 2.25
My sole selection on Saturday comes in the shape of the Skelton-trained Joyeux Machin. My selection swerved Cheltenham this year, with connections opting to send him here instead. This race is competitive but not to the same degree to that of which he would have run against at Cheltenham.
Originally trained by Paul Nolan, Joyeux Machin switched hands to the Skelton yard during the Christmas period of last year. He didn't exactly show a lot under Paul Nolan, but after a few runs on British soil he has certainly turned a corner in terms of his form. He caught the eye last time out at Ascot when a strong finishing second behind Harry Fry's Altobelli. Altobelli is very much a progressive type and was raised from a mark of 137 to 147 on the back of a three and three quarter length victory to my selection. The handicapper has only raised Joyeux Machin 2lb for that effort, which looks generous given he hit the winner with 10lb, and my selection was staying on extremely well towards the line.
Joyeux Machin seems versatile ground-wise, with his most recent coming on good ground while his previous came on soft, which saw him finish in third place and not far off the eventual winner. My selection takes a considerable step up in trip for this contest, which looks the correct move given how strongly he finished off his race last time out. If he handles the new trip, then he should be bang there at the finish.
Rizzle's Tips
Invincible Nao 12/1 EW – Uttoxeter 3.00
Rizz will be back tomorrow with Sunday's racing but has asked me to mention a horse he put up a while ago as an Antepost bet for this year's Midlands National.
The horse he advised was Invincible Nao, whom he originally put up at 16/1. The horse has been backed into 12/1 at the time of writing, but the price remains an attractive one, and with Bet365 offering 5 places, it could be a nice eachway bet in what looks a very competitive looking contest.
GambleAware
Auteuil 🇫🇷
Couple of listed races as horses take prep runs ahead of the big spring races.
1-33 Rosario baron 5-2 bet365.
This won on this weekend in 2023 before winning the french gold cup in may.
Last year he didn’t surface until October and has had a couple of decent runs in hurdles and a blowout over fences last time which should set him up for this.
Gets a handy 7 pound pull off his main rivals today also.
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3-35 the workaholic 11-4 bet365 (just 6-4 on the french pmu as I type)
Improving horse this is, up in class.
Bryony frost riding this for top french trainer laganeste macaire.
Lucky daubrelle is a danger off a lower weight and also un chic cheval but that one had a tough race only last Saturday in a graded race.
Thankfully there are no Willie Mullins runners here but If any show potential you can bet he will snap them up 😁
Hewick 4-15 thurles 13-8 bet365
Finished 2.5 lengths ahead of today’s main rival asterion forlonge over Christmas in the saville and now back with original trainer JJ hanlon and with a 7 pound pull with the claimer must have a chance.
Better known for winning the 2023 king George at kempton he’s not shy of running well in hurdles as shown when 2nd in the french champion hurdle last may with 5 other Irish raiders behind him that day
The workaholic non runner 🚮
Rosario baron won 🇫🇷.
He will be primed for the grand steeplechase now in may
I’m surprised OUTLAW PETER is as big as 7/1 3.20 Kempton to repeat last year’s success. Yes he’s heavily worse off at the weights with Flegmatic but he comes alive at this time of year and has won at this meeting for the past 2 years
Comes here a fresh horse having not run since November and I just can’t see him out of the frame.
Good ew bet
BOL
Too much weight
Well done Busstop with the winner
Apples Away. Seemingly well fancied by the owner and the connections.
Afternoon All. .No bet yesterday another bookies benefit day at Cheltenham .
Had a good week though 4 bets only at Cheltenham and 2 of them won 11/2 and 7/1 but most profit made at the off meetings.
Saturday so shouldnt be doing this but gone mad today with 6 bets as sat in front of tv today so bit of interest.
KEMPTON
14.45. .Classic King. .4/1
15.20. .Bad. .3/1
NEWCASTLE
16.22. .Hawkseye View. .7/2
UTTOXETER
15.35. .Walk On Quest. .7/2
16.10. .King Of Answers. .3/1
17.20. .Rock Sensation. .11/2
GL ALL
3-47 Newcastle.
Matchbet
Pay the piper to beat givemefive 11-8 HILLS
Hewick wins nicely 🇮🇪
Fills me with joy seeing a Mullins horse stuffed 😁.
Pay the piper we’ll beat in 2nd spot
Oaklawn Park – Whitmore Stakes Grade 3
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Oaklawn Park…Race 10…Booth 9/2 Bet365.
Tipped this last few times but he was stretching out in distance and wasn’t seen to his best fading in last furlong after blazing a trail.
Got back on track wining over 6F at 12/1 last time versus a 4/7 favourite, I didn’t tip it nor did I back him myself 🤦
He’s still lightly raced and if he gets out sharp like he does and hits the front hopefully that’s that as he blazed 6F in around 1 minute 8 seconds and is turned out quick after that lifetime best
GL yoll and well done to any winners today
He’s odds @2/1 ot 9/4 best with most other bookies and can be taken as an insurance bet at 10/3 Bet365 as in money back top 3 👌
Drifted out 9/2 now
Yes with most bookies Dazzman but Skybet and Coral go 2/1 and 15/8… best see is 11/4 Paddy Power.
I’d fully expect him to drift out bit looking at the race so probably no need at all to dive in. Bet365 probably about right and there best odds so best go with them for sure
Couple note go with Booth. ⬆️
Aquaduct -Race 10..Vengeance @ 4/1
Oaklawn-Race 11…King Russel @9/2
Gilfstream – Race 12…Chill The J. @ 7/2
GL
Small play on this one of only2 in the field with experience and was in better race last time out
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Tampa Bay Race 8…Going Streakin 11/4 Skybet
WELL DONE 👍✅👍
Recoba my old flower 🌻.
How has dettori got to the stage where he is forced to file for bankruptcy .
I thought he would be well paid over there.
Hope he doesn’t ruin his legacy by coming out of retirement over Here again.
I’m sure he could write a book, do after dinner speaking or just be a paid ambassador for the sport.
Be a shame to see him busking in downtown new York for a few bucks
Never knew until my mate said Elvis and he doesn’t care for much in the world of horse racing so I looked up the story thinking it’s important. 🤷
I said much the same, no way he’s skint riding iin USA because they pay well and along with the rest he could or does do to make money ,books say I’ll not lose sleep for the wee Jack in the box.
Story sounds like he’s filed for bankruptcy but it’s only in UK? 🤔 🤦