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Though there is some good racing in Ireland, nothing is a bet in my opinion. The Grade 1s are full of short odds-on shots who should win and the handicaps are pure minefields. Musselburgh is also very competitive so it's the flat racing at Lingfield which I've gone for.
A quick recap of Saturday's racing.
Onethreefivenotout wasn't on a going day. Cobden never looked happy with his horse and ultimately put in a shoddy performance. Le Patron didn't jump as well as he had previously and didn't seem to fully stay the trip out at the top level. My condolences go out to connections of Hermes Allen who sadly lost his life in Scilly Isles Grade 1, which is the worst part about our game. Peaches And Cream looked to be in with a strong chance before turning for home, but when the jockey started to ask him to pick up and go on to win the race he did the opposite and his gas tank emptied fairly quickly.
Lingfield 1:32 – Barenboim 9/1 (0.5pt EW, Bet365/WilliamHill)
I stated that 2m isn't a suitable trip for Barenboim but I think at this point in his career it might be the most suitable trip for him as he doesn't possess the greatest turn of foot.
This drop into Class 4 company is going to be a big help to Barenboim who has done his competing at Class 3 and Class 2 races for the best part of the last year, and the last time he was in a Class 4 he won off a mark of 85 which is 2lbs lower than today's rating. He did win off a mark of 91 in a Class 3 last year as well though, so his current mark is definitely within reach of getting him inside the winner's enclosure. I tipped him up last time out at Southwell in a strong Class 3 race over 11f, and he didn't exactly run a poor race despite his finishing position being 8th/11. He was starting to plug on from the rear at Southwell and it looked like he needed further, so the decision to go back up to 2m is an interesting one.
Chances are that he is going to be held up to try and relax him as he is often a keen-going horse and for him to see the trip out to best effect is to try and switch him off. With that style of run comes a risk that the ones ahead of him will get too much of an advantage, but I'm expecting decent odds on him for this race, so the odds will be worth a shot.
Lingfield Park - 1:32 pm