A 3lbs increase for her win at Doncaster shouldn't be enough to stop Stunning Beauty, who had problems in the stalls at Royal Ascot. She carries top weight, but she should have the class to get negate it.
A horse who I expect to be popular on Tuesday is STUNNING BEAUTY, who a lot of people would've been on when she was fancied to go well in the Kensington Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot. However, people didn't get a run for their money in that race as there was a problem in the stalls with Stunning Beauty, as it appeared that the jockey didn't remove the hood in stalls where he took it off 5 seconds after the rest of the field had already gone clear. However, the next day it came out that there was a problem with the rug, and there was a miscommunication with the stall handlers/race starter and the jockey.
Before Royal Ascot she won a decent Class 2 race at Doncaster where she beat a good horse in Beat Le Bon, who in turn ran well at Royal Ascot in the Royal Hunt Cup, where he finished 5th. She was put up 3lbs for that win at Doncaster, and I think she has potential off this revised mark. Her time in Meydan at the start of the year had the opposite effect that it normally does when Godolphin send their horses there for the spring campaign, she finished last and second last in her two runs. Before she went to Meydan she won her two novice races in great fashion, beating some decent horses who have since come out and franked the form. On debut, she beat Declaring Love, who has since been transferred to John Butler's yard and has won a Listed Race and ran well in a Group 2. Then on her second start she beat Lights On by 7.5 lengths, whilst carrying a penalty. That horse has since won three times and is now rated 98.
Today's assignment looks quite a tough one, as she is carrying 10st, which is top weight. However, Saeed Bin Suroor doesn't send many horses to Scotland, especially Hamilton, so it is worth noting that they've sent her here. He has a 50% SR from 4 runners in the last years, and jockey Pat Cosgrave is one win from two runs in the last five years. There are a few in this race who arrive in good form, but I get the feeling Stunning Beauty could potentially be a Group horse, so she should have the class to win a race of this nature.
This selection is by no means a confident one, and is more of a speculative shot, but I think it could've been a plan for THEOCRAT to win this race.
Nigel Hawke won this race last year with Repetitio, which is why I think it's interesting, because Theocrat runs in the same colours as Repetitio, and they both have similar profiles for when Repetitio won this race. Funnily enough, both Repetitio and Theocrat started off with Jim Bolger, but Theocrat hadn't raced when he was transferred to Nigel Hawke's yard. Both of them were sent juvenile hurdling, where they both managed to get wins over that code. Rossa Ryan rode the winner of this race last year, and Nigel has decided to book him again for Theocrat, who is the top jockey at the track with a 22% SR, profiting +52.15 from level stakes.
On the bare form, Theocrat has quite a lot to prove, hence why he is quite large odds at the time of writing. Progression over this trip isn't out of the question, and off a mark of 62 there is definitely a chance he can win off it. This race looks to have a few well-handicapped horses from the jumps yards, such as Teqany and Didtheyleaveuoutto, but I do feel like this could've been a plan for Theocrat, and at the odds I'm willing to take a chance.
Advised: Each Way