This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.

It was a surprise to see the Southwell selection bail me out on Wednesday as Skye Breeze bounced back to form and continued his nice progression on the AW. 

Market Rasen wasn't too kind with Laconda not jumping as well as she has previously shown and I can't quite put my finger on how William Cody was so poor, as on all known form he should've been bang there.

Doncaster 2:00 – Nothin To Ask 16/1 (0.5pt EW, Bet365)

I did like the look of Demachine in this race back on a sounder surface, but the odds are a bit short for a competitive race, instead I went with Nothin To Ask who is the rank outsider of the field and I did have it hard to split the pair, but the bigger odds swayed me to favour the Fergal O'Brien runner.

I think having form at this level is a big positive, where you can often get bogged down going for the improving horses, but when a horse is proven at a level they don't need to prove anything other than they are running to form. My selection hasn't been running to form, which is why you get 16/1 for him, but I think he is better on better ground, and though the ground is good to soft and soft in places, it should dry out a bit as they have a dry forecast at Doncaster and the winds should help turn this to good to soft all over, if the meeting goes ahead.

His last win came over a furlong shorter at Doncaster on good ground in a Class 3 contest which looks decent form as the runner-up has won three times over fences since, once over hurdles and has been placed as runner-up over both codes since. There was a faller in that race, who would've made the races interesting as he was going well on chase debut, but he has since won over hurdles twice in Class 2 company, so that also boosts the form.

His runs so far this season have resulted in a 9th/11 and a PU, but I thought he was running okay on seasonal debut at Chepstow in a hot race, but looked desperately in need of the run as when his gas tank emptied he went backwards very quickly. His most recent start I'm more than happy to look past it as it came on heavy ground. His handicap mark is now back on the same as when he last bolted up at Doncaster, and Jack Hogan takes off 3lbs. It is a concern that recent rider Liam Harrison has got on board Kerry Lee, but he has to be worth a few quid ew at the prices.

Leicester 1:05 – Malpas 7/1 (0.5pt EW)

Leicester's ground is going to be very testing, and it's a track which gets bottomless very quickly which is why they've had plenty of cancellations of fixtures in recent years, so it's going to be testing out there so heavy ground horses will have to come to the fore. I'm taking a chance on Malpas who is a 9yo but is still unexposed over fences and I think he might be on the right side of the handicapper off his current mark of 103.

This horse has always shown glimpses of ability over hurdles, most noticeably at the start of his career which saw him fall three times in four races and he was running cracking races in every single one of them, but his best RPR to date was on his hurdling debut on his only effort on heavy ground in his career over 2m 4f at Catterick when he had two 130 rated horses cooked until falling at the last. That race was in 2021 and he has since won 3x over hurdles, and placed on five occasions, often travelling like a serious contender. It's a concern that he hasn't been chasing more often, but I felt like his run at Carlisle on return in December on the back of the wind-op in August was a nice return and left the impression he does have a future over fences. He travelled nicely, jumped very well but you could tell he wasn't fired up to win on return.

They've tried to keep him below 2m 4f for his entire career and has rarely attempted this trip, but his pedigree has stayers in it and the way he was running over this trip on heavy ground a few years ago suggest he does have the stamina to stay the trip. This is a drop in grade to what he has been racing in and this is actually his first time in a Class 5 race. The race looks decent for the grade with some improving horses, but I feel like he has the class edge in this, he'll probably trade short in running and I'm hoping he does have the stamina in reserve to finish off his race, and the recent wind op should help him.

Top weights have a decent record in this race and his odds are more than fair enough.

Leicester 3:50 – Lady Balko 9/2 (1pt)

This looks to be a total minefield as it is a big field handicap on heavy ground for horses towards the bottom of the handicap, but I feel like we've not seen anywhere near the best of Lady Balko from her qualifying runs for this handicap.

This mare has been looked after, is probably the correct term for her three runs to get her the starting handicap rating of 82. She has been gingerly handled and positioned towards the rear for the most part of her races, which is so often the way to get a low rating which they can exploit when they enter handicaps and I thought she ran better than her 33L defeat last time out at Wincanton on heavy ground. She was 100/1 that day, parked in last place, but made eyecatching ground under no pressure from Jack Tudor turning for home, she finished 4th that day and it looked like a horse who could offer something in handicaps when the money was down.

David Pipe has an amazing record with his hurdlers at Leicester, with a 30% SR from 50 runners, racking up 17 wins and further 13 finishing in 2nd or 3rd, which is more than a 50% of finishing in the top three.

Horse Racing Tips
Nothin To Ask
Doncaster - 2:00 pm

16/1 @ Bet365

Malpas
Leicester - 1:05 pm

7/1 @ Bet365

Lady Balko
Leicester - 3:50 pm

9/2 @ The Pools

43 Comments
  1. hibee1 5 months ago

    Demachine 2.00 pm Doncaster 7/2

    Managed to get a couple of days off work so thought I’d try chip in with some useful pointers and maybe even a winner.

    6 of the last 7 of Kerry Lee’ winners have all been making their seasonal reappearance . Demachine runs tomorrow for the first time this season. He has won on his seasonal reappearance before and generally runs well fresh.
    He ran 3 times in 2023 all in class 1 races. Tomorrow he drops into a class 3. He has come tumbling down the weights, running off 133 tomorrow, having been 140 this time last year. He is 3 lb lower than his last winning mark.
    He has run twice at Doncaster, once over hurdles when running well at 22-1 finishing 3rd and the other time was over fences finishing last, but trainer was quoted saying the horse was making a respiratory noise so easy to put a line through that.
    Looks like a flat track like Doncaster should be perfect looking at his previous runs. The good to soft ground tomorrow should be to his liking as well. He has run 3 times on good to soft, winning once and finishing 3rd twice.
    Yard has a 22% strike rate with their chasers this season with 6 wins from 27. The yards last runner was a winner.
    He has an entry in the class 1 Great Yorkshire Chase at Doncaster at the end of the month .

    Reckon with the yard having their horses ready first time out, the flat track, drop in grade,the good to soft ground,3lb lower than last winning mark and the very decent strike rate of the yard this season, this should be running a good race tomorrow. Reckon its worth taking the early price if anyone else was tempted to have a bet on this tomorrow.

    Best of luck everyone with their bets.

    14
    • elvis parsley 5 months ago

      Great write up 👍

      4
  2. hibee1 5 months ago

    Forgot to add this is the only runner for the yard tomorrow. About a 6 hour round trip.

    5
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Rizzel does good write ups as well

      4
  3. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    2:50 Leicester- wals bucks 5/2

    3:50 Leicester- billy the real big red 6/1

    3
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      2:00 Doncaster- hitching jacking 6/1

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      2:35 Doncaster – milina Jamila 17/2

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Nearly a nice double 😂

      1
  4. Gateacre Pete 5 months ago

    Gladys Eva Jane 1.25 Don
    35s top 7 ew extra
    GL

  5. spurs55 5 months ago

    First race,first 50p

    Harkangel

    Bol

  6. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    ronaldoreturns 12.50 ew

  7. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    cruz control 2.00

  8. spurs55 5 months ago

    Finn Lough @ 12/1SP

    Win – 12.50 Doncaster

    1
  9. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    royal mer 1.05

    2
  10. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    Princess Polly 3-50 Pau 🇫🇷
    12-1 ew 4 places SKYBET

    2
  11. gipsyboy 5 months ago

    Elvis I think your tip in France is the best tip of the day. I like it.

    1
  12. spurs55 5 months ago

    A Gibraltar @ 9/1SP

    Win – 14.05 Pau – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    2
    • spurs55 5 months ago

      needed a bit of luck

      Paying 4 Places instead of 3

      2
  13. spurs55 5 months ago

    Hitching Jacking @ 5/1SP

    Win – 14.00 Doncaster – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    2
  14. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    All those words count for nothing 😂

    3
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      We don’t want words we want winners 😂

      2
  15. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    masked dancer 2.35

    2
    • spurs55 5 months ago

      on it azz well done

      going to watch 6.12,3,9.etc etc

      2
    • azzthewigan 5 months ago

      cheers spurs 55

      1
  16. spurs55 5 months ago

    Land Of Moon @ 16/1SP

    Win – 15.35 Doncaster – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

  17. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    It’s all Dominic’s fault

    3
  18. spurs55 5 months ago

    going to watch 6.12,3,9.etc etc

    Told ya 👌👌

  19. spurs55 5 months ago

    Irrelevant @ 14/1SP

    Win – 16.25 Kempton – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    • spurs55 5 months ago

      pp paid @ 20s

      so not too bad

  20. spurs55 5 months ago

    Penny Be @ 17/2SP

    Win – 17.00 Kempton – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

  21. spurs55 5 months ago

    Profitar Rules @ 17/2SP

    Win – 17.30 Kempton – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    2
  22. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Yankee Doodle time !!!

    Race 7 gulfstream – sand piper memories 15/8

    Race 6 mahoning valley – bodil 9/4

    1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Race 9 Philadelphia- laytown 7/2 has come second last 4 outings maybe tonight is the night with top jockey on top ! That’s enough words as we know where that gets us 😂

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Lovely win for san piper memories did it very cosily ! If only it was like that all the time !

  23. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    7:00 – kempton- dandy sands 9/1

  24. recoba 5 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Tampa Bay -Race 7…Obstreperous 2/1 *** Paddy Power
    Race 8…Desert Ruler 5/4 **** Bet365
    Race 9…Kissin Khozan 7/2 ****+ Paddy Power
    Gulfstream -Race 9..Golden Canary 9/5 Paddy Power **+
    Turfway Park -Race 7…Write Off Jerry 15/8 ***

    GL yoll

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Sand piper memories did it in style there red eye ! Just need Laytown now to have a decent profit on the Yankees !!!

    • recoba 5 months ago

      Yeah what n easily and was around 2/1 as well, best horse but to late for me to take it.
      Lots o races after very few the last few days!
      GL mate with Laytown his Jockey is RED HOT according to Equibase.

      *Copy n paste ⬇️
      *Laytown
      is likely to finish in the trifecta on the Parx
      Racing dirt, having hit the board in 8 of 9 (89%)
      career races on the surface at the track. That
      performance includes 2 wins, 4 seconds, 2 thirds
      going off at average odds of 4.3 to 1. Laytown last
      raced over the Parx Racing dirt on December 13,
      2023.
      # 3 Laytown – 5/1. GL mate 👍

      I took I’d Sand Paper Memories to place (4/9) in a daft 14 horse to place accumulator for 38p at 259/1! 😊
      Well last 3 IF by some miracle I get there are to win at Charles Town and Paddy Power don’t have odds up for them yet but Bet365 have them odds on and 6/5 favourite Races 1 -3 and 5

      Next up Twisted Justifice top 4 at Mahoning Valley and Golden Canary Top 3 at Gulfstream. 🙏

    • recoba 5 months ago

      Yahtzee Dazzman1979 and comfortable in end by Laytown!👌

  25. recoba 5 months ago

    Twisted Justice was always going to bust that Loooooong shot he’s off the list for sure, not even getting a top 4 at Mahoning Valley in a race like that it’s a trip to the glue factory!

    An he’s NOT invited!

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Nice when it comes together but I won’t get greedy I’ll call it a day /night and move onto 2 Moro 😂

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Yeah it does my head in if I go into the bookies after work to put my bets on for the Yankee stuff and they don’t have prices up yet . I did land a lucky 15 just before Xmas and it did work in my favour that time as 3 of the 4 drifted out so sometimes it can be good but I usually like to bet on the ones at a bit of a price that I think will shorten . But it’s still a mugs game and we all get our asses kicked into place again soon enough 😂

      1
  26. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Race 10 Philadelphia- starship rouge 16/1 e/w – play safe now kids ! 😂

Leave a reply

CONTACT US

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Sending

Please play responsibly. For assistance with problem gambling please visit BeGambleAware.co.uk

About MFT  |  Support  |  Contact Us  | 18+  BeGambleAware Privacy Policy  | Terms of use | ©2024 North Star Network.

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Log in with your credentials

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account

This website uses cookies for analytics. By using this site, you agree to our use of cookies. Read our Privacy Policy here