This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
It was a shame not to see Authorised Speed running at Chepstow as based on how the race panned out I think he would've hosed up. Nothing else stood out as a bet on the day hence why I only had one selection on the day and I wasn't keen on putting up a replacement.
Leicester 3:55 – Grandads Cottage 9/2 (1pt)
At the age of 9 I still think there's some fight in Grandads Cottage and the assistance of the 7lb claimer Dylan Johnston makes him a decent bet.
Olly Murphy's chaser is very lightly raced for his age, with just 11 runs under rules and just 5 chases. He has won twice and finished in the places on a further two occasions, so he's a rock solid horse and now he's back over a suitable trip of 2m 4f I believe he could be too good for the opposition today, especially off a mark that is effectively 122 with the claimer's 7lb.
Grandads Cottage relishes the soft conditions and is 2/2 over fences when there is soft in the description so the soft and heavy in places at Leicester is right up his street. For some reason, Olly Murphy has been keen to race him over 3m 1f this season, he probably needed his first run at Cheltenham in November but he ran a much better race at Aintree when looking like the trip was too far for him. His jumping was spot on at Aintree, and he just didn't have the stamina for that distance, but we know for a fact he stays 2m 4f well as his record over the trip would suggest. He has won off marks of 124 and 127 so today's mark is well within reach and I believe he is too classy for this field, even against the novice chasers who could still be on dangerous marks.
Leicester 4:25 – Lady Balko 3/1 (1pt, WilliamHill/PaddyPower)
It's always a risk going for horse in decent-sized handicaps at this grade as you're prone to going against the well-handicapped horses who are either making their handicap debut or are moving up in trip, but I think Lady Balko is worth another shot after she ran with credit when I tipped her up last time out.
David Pipe has a very strong record at this track and I thought this mare ran a nice race on handicap debut at today's venue over 2m. The money was in for her as she went off as 2/1F, travelled strongly through the race but seemed to lack the turn of foot for that trip so I think today's decision to go up to 2m 4f is worth a try and with the ability she showed from last time out I do think she is on a decent handicap mark and it's interesting they've come back to the same track with David Pipe has a 30% WR from 106 runners and this is his sole runner of the day and the same can be said about Jack Tudor who makes the trip for this sole ride.
Exeter 2:10 – Hurricane Highway 8/1 (0.5pt EW, Skybet 3pl)
This is a decent novice chase race and it wouldn't surprise me if a few of these were to go on and win and be ahead of their current handicap marks, but the one I thought was interesting was Hurricane Highway.
I do normally try and stay away from backing Evan Williams horses, but I think this horse has a better chance than his unseated and 3rd placed effort would suggest. I am a big fan of his recent run at Chepstow, though the ground conditions are different today from the heavy he faced in Wales, it was the way he went through the race which caught my eye. There are no doubts in my mind that he would've won that race if he didn't sprawl on landing after jumping the 2nd from home, but it was impressive to see him run on and get himself into contention after such a bad landing but evidently that mistake took its toll, but he still ran creditably.
The handicapper hasn't altered his mark for that, and despite that error late in the race he still managed to get a 129RPR which is +4 to his current mark, and I believe he is ahead of the handicapper. Harry Cobden takes the ride as Adam Wedge is injured, and that jockey booking is a statement given he is the best jockey in the UK and is riding with plenty of confidence and is aiming to close the gap on the jockey's championship.
Exeter 4:15 – Moytier 7/2 (1pt)
If I didn't back Moytier on the back of his recent fall when tipped up at Wincanton I think it would be very foolish as I believe he would've won that race if it wasn't for that mistake late on in the race, and he definitely deserves another chance.
He is yet to win a race from his 11 tries on a racecourse but he is definitely capable of winning a race off his current handicap mark over fences. His form behind Pilsdon Pen is top notch for this grade as the winner has since been placed and won since. He is a keen going horse, so this big field will help him settle as there are front runners in the race who should ensure a good gallop is set, which will allow Tom Bellamy to sit behind the pace and hopefully get him into a nice rhythm. This is his first try at fences at Exeter, but this is one of the easier tracks for jumping fences, hence why a lot of top trainers send their novices to this track on their first runs, as it sets them up nicely for bigger tasks, so if his confidence hasn't been knocked, he should find today's jumping a lot easier.
Leicester - 3:55 pm
9/2 @ William Hill
Leicester - 4:25 pm
3/1 @ William Hill
Exeter - 2:10 pm
8/1 @ The Pools
Exeter - 4:15 pm