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Fevertre gave us a winner on Monday in the last race at Carlisle. He went through the race very stylishly and James Best looked full of confidence until the horse clattered the second last, but he bounced back with a quick jump at the final hurdle which definitely secured the win.

I actually can't describe the performance/ride on Shighness. Brian Hughes seems to be everyone's favourite jockey, but I can't see why. I think he is so overrated and if you put most of the Northern jockeys on the rides he gets from the big stables from the North, they'd equal what he does, and there's a reason why nobody touches him at the big meetings. I just can't stand how nonchalantly he rides, he rarely rides a horse into an obstacle and sits motionless.

Market Rasen 5:05 – Heart Over Head 9/2 (1pt, Bet365)

It could be a rookie mistake going for a newcomer in a bumper race in a race which has runners from some big bumper winning yards, but I can't get over the fact that Paddy Brennan goes to Market Rasen on a Tuesday and the horse he must be going for is Heart Over Head.

If Paddy is going for the ride on the low-rated novice hurdler then that's fair enough, but personally, I can't see that happening. Paddy is on the verge of retiring, he is basically doing a few days a week at the races and he is picking and choosing which horses to ride, so seeing him take the ride on this bumper debutante is of major notice. This horse is related to Allaphilipe who is a smart stablemate at Fergal O'Brien's yard, and that horse won on his bumper debut on testing ground. Born For War, another sibling, also ran in bumpers, finishing in the places on both starts and if you go further into the pedigree there are other bumper winners/horses running well, so the pedigree is a positive one for this sphere.

Fergal has a good record in bumpers, and has a 27% SR in this type of race at Market Rasen, equalling a profit of +14.13 to level stakes.

Taunton 3:10 – Not At Present 5/1 (1pt, Bet365)

With the way that Ben Pauling has his horses running, I think Not At Present is worth chancing on the back of his recent fall at Newbury.

He was in the midst of making a decent return on the back of a 543-day absence at Newbury, he was evidently very tired and fell due to that, but he was shaping nicely in a decent handicap for the grade. There has been a winner and a few placed horses from that race so far, so the fact he shaped so well is a huge credit to himself to keep his ability after such a long time off the track and is a credit to the training performance of the Pauling team. If he has come on plenty for that run then he should be very competitive in this race which looks a lot easier on paper.

The ground is going to be very testing, and he is unproven on a surface this bad, but he clearly has stamina in reserve as he was outpaced at Fontwell over hurdles over 3m 2f on soft ground, but he stayed on like a steam train and managed to get up on the line. The form of that race looks decent in hindsight as the runner-up went on to win on his next start and Certainly Red was back in fourth and he has become a 140-rated staying chaser. The handicapper has dropped him 2lbs for that run at Newbury and Ben Pauling has opted to get Beau Morgan in the saddle, taking off a further 5lbs off, so on his older pieces of form he is starting to look very well handicapped.

Horse Racing Tips
Heart Over Head
Market Rasen - 5:05 pm

9/2 @ Bet365

Not At Present
Taunton - 3:10 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

11 Comments
  1. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    happy harry 10.51 ew France

  2. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    hawk bill 11.05 vaal well done all winners yesterday

  3. double carpet 2 months ago

    Tullyhill get an RPR of 145 for Sunday’s win. That’s 2nd highest to Ballyburn who got 155 for his win at the DRF.
    The average for Supreme winners over the past 10 years is 150 so 145 doesn’t scream Supreme winner to me unless of course BB goes Baring Bingham.
    Apart from Ballyburn I’d say the 2m Novice division is pretty average this year.

    1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Looks like a poor supreme this year

  4. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    ooh Betty 3.25 nb

  5. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    into the park 3.40 nap

    3
  6. spursman 2 months ago

    3.55 Blue Beach

    Watch it finish last like the others

    🙂

    1
  7. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Magical hill 5-05 market rasen
    9-4 top 2 finish @hills.

    Has run 2 solid races so far and is race fit unlike some in this race.
    Last time he chased home 2 previous winners which was a solid effort.
    Only drawback is Brian Hughes has replaced Harry Brooke as driver.
    Hughes is not the best at jumps and generally worse with bumper runners, hoping the horse dies well despite the driver

    1
  8. recoba 2 months ago

    USA 🇺🇸

    Trebles (x20 bets)
    4 Folds (x15 bets))
    5 Folds (x 5 bets)
    Acca (x 1 bets)

    Philadelphia – Race 5…She’ll Belle 11/10 Skybet boost ***
    Side bet combo forecast 2 -3 -5 +
    Race 8…Weten Dream 11/2 **+
    Combo forecast 4-8-1 *+
    Mahoning Valley -Race 7…FiveFive Six Champ 11/10 Skybet boost ****+
    Turf Paradise -Race 1 Westward World 5/6 ****
    Race 2…Jamie’s Commitment 5/6
    Race 3…All The Kings Men 6/5

    All Skybet or Skybet boost ⬆️

    GL all rest of the day and well done any winners 👍

    3
    • recoba 2 months ago

      🇺🇸
      *Philadelphia Race 6 …Shell Belle 11/10 – NOT Race 5 👌

      With the multiples a safer option with Western Dream in Philadelphia Race 8 would be tofinish in Top 3 at EVS but probably best to leave ONE say the 4 Fold or just the long long shot Acca as 11/2 win?
      Sure use knowledgeable folk can figure it your way if you play!?
      Western Dream gets defeated hopefully the forecast will come in but it’s probably the least confident pick for a win but sticking with my “Notes” as he still relatively lightly raced 🤔

      With the 6 picks I’m looking for 3/6 to win and at least ONE single or a forecast to land to get some decent profit.
      Last night was 3/6 and 2x singles with the last pick Miracle Worker at 3/1 (***+) and the forecast at £9.34 bringing home the bacon 👍

      Id take again and all day every day!
      An after all that chat – Q a big ZERO from 6! Lol
      GL 🫡 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

      3
  9. recoba 2 months ago

    Yahtzee!
    6/6 and the rest!🫡 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

    2 x singles and small double on few old boys running into form. Great to see auld Cannonball Comin still in training!

    Turfway Park -Race 7 Riverside 4/1 **+
    Race 8…Cannonball Comin 2/1 **

    Thought this old boy at 10 years old been out out to pastor! Probably one of first horses I ever backed in the USA so nice to see and probably needed the run finishing 4l 4th after 102 days off in a better class race.

    Names a pun/tribute to a line spok n by Bill Murray in one of the greatest comedy films you will ever see in my opinion – Caddyshack’ 🏌️‍♀️ 👀

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