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It's becoming very tedious that when I think the jumps meetings are going to be off due to the weather they always seem to go ahead, but when I think they will survive the morning inspections they are never on. I'm not even going to bother with Southwell, and I've fully focussed on the AW meetings.

Newcastle 1:45 – Stintino Sunset 7/4 (1pt, WilliamHill)

Julia Feilden doesn't send many up to Newcastle, which is hardly surprising given that her stable is in Exning, next to Newmarket. Obviously, we see a fair amount of Newmarket trainers send their horses to Newcastle, but they have much bigger operations than Julia, so it's a vote of confidence that they send their sole runner of the day up to Newcastle, with Dylan Hogan taking the trip up for the sole ride as well.

Stintino Sunset has to prove that he handles Tapeta, as his form has come on Polytrack, but based on his form over the winter months this 4yo has a very solid chance of landing a second win on the AW and a third career win up at Newcastle. He was a tad unlucky not to have won at Kempton last time out as he was travelling nicely, but was tucked away up in the inside and didn't get much daylight until late on where he had to be switched, but ran on strongly. The 4th and 5th placed horses came out and won over the last couple of days, so the form is working out nicely.

The drop back to 10f shouldn't be an issue given how well he moves through his races, and given that he stays further is a positive in case they go a good gallop, especially with Newcastle which has a long straight when turning for home, which should allow him to get into top gear and beat this field.

bet365

Newcastle 3:30 – Possible Ambition 5/1 (1pt, Bet365)

The past two runs from Possible Ambition will probably mean the odds are going to be quite high on him winning this race, but if he can bounce back to form to the start of 2023 and even his first two starts of this winter campaign he should have a fighting chance in this.

I am willing to give him a try even though he was 9th/12 and 8th/12 in his last two runs as he has been a fairly consistent horse prior to that from his previous five runs, so something must've been amiss on those two runs, and it's not a great surprise to see him away from the track for 40 days. His handicap mark has dropped 2lbs for those two runs and today John Quinn has opted for 5lb claimer, Gianluca Sanna to do the riding which puts him on a handicap mark of 51, which makes him a very tempting bet for Wednesday. He went close off 59 twice, once in December 2022 and the other in February 2023, the form of those races seemed strong for the grade at the time. Even the form from this winter campaign looks good with the 3rd at Newcastle in November producing a winner from the runner-up, and the 4th and 5th have run creditable races in defeat since.

The recent blinkers he has been wearing have been replaced by the visor. He wore this visor when recording an RPR of 66 which has been his best performance since earlier in his career, and he followed that up with a 64 the time after in the same headgear, so I believe the return to the visor might be able to spark a bit of life back into him.

His last win came off a mark of 59 which was effectively 52 as Ryan Sexton took off 7lbs that day. That win was over today's C&D and in a slightly better grade, so given he is 1lb lower than that today with the apprentice's claim, he is worth a second look.

Horse Racing Tips
Stintino Sunset
Newcastle - 1:45 pm

7/4 @ William Hill

Possible Ambition
Newcastle - 3:30 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

38 Comments
  1. recoba 2 months ago

    🇬🇧
    Trixie and a single

    Southwell – 12.30..James Jet 9/4
    1.00…Breaking Cover EVS (was 7/4 but got a Non runner now)
    3.55…Tune In A Box 11/4 ***

    GL all today, be back with USA crap…as always! 😉

    1
  2. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    colourfull baron 11.10 ew happy valley

  3. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    James jet 12.30

  4. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    force de frap 1.00.

  5. spurs55 2 months ago

    Morning all

    First race going for Daranova

    Bol

    1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Morning all

      First race going for Daranova

      Bol

  6. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Morning all

    First race going for Daranova

    Bol

    1
  7. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Morning all

    First race going for Daranova

    Bol

    1
  8. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Wtf is going on here ☹️

    1
  9. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Always welcome 2-05 cagnes sur mer
    100-30

    3
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Top gun Tina 2-45 Newcastle 5-2

      2
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      1-45

      1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Abaya du mathan 1-00 southwell
      14-1 win
      5-2 top 2 finish
      20-80 stake

      4
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Late non runner means I only get the 4-1 SP for abaya du mathan, better than a kick in the nuts though 🤣

      2
  10. Gateacre Pete 2 months ago

    Dance Angel 7.30 Kemp
    60s top 4
    30s top 5
    Ew extra
    GL

    1
  11. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    brora breeze .1.10 ew well done all winners yesterday racing pushed back to 12.50 at southwell

  12. spurs55 2 months ago

    Call Me Sainte @ 10/1SP

    Win – 13.35 Southwell – due off at 13:50 – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    1
  13. ItsTrixie 2 months ago

    Southwell- 1335 – Ceejaybe 5/1

    1
  14. ItsTrixie 2 months ago

    Southwell- 1335 – Ceejaybe 5/1

    1
  15. spurs55 2 months ago

    Surprise surprise the 3’s have turned up from that last race yesterday 🥵
    And 3 was non runner in the first races today

    Proves the benders know the results before they even run 😡

    Starting price in that 2 horse race at Southwell gave the winner at Newcastle 6-1 1-6 too many coincidences

    3
  16. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Always welcome wins in the land of the snail eaters 🇫🇷

    Nice to see some jumps back today, all jumps off tomorrow though ☹️

    2
  17. bantams 2 months ago

    Plenty of race fixing on today with these small runner fields!!

    3
  18. spurs55 2 months ago

    Grasshopper Time
    15/2
    14:45 Southwell – 2m Hcap Hrd

    1
  19. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    idergem 3.20 nap

    2
  20. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    intoxicata 3.30 nb

    2
  21. spurs55 2 months ago

    4
    (5)
    silk
    Furnicoe
    J: Daniel Muscutt(-)|T: M Appleby

    1
  22. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Tommy the gun 6-30 kempton
    16-1 ew extra 6 places
    And small bet
    50-1 ew UNIBET

    Trainer Boughey got 2 newcomers here, billy loughrane is on this and Rosey Ryan on the other which is 6-1.
    Anyone know who Bougheys preferred jockey usually is ??.
    I’d have said loughrane but I’m not really familiar with this low grade sand stuff

    1
  23. recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Gulfstream Race 1…Gepard 13/8 ***+ Skybet boost
    Tania Bay -Race 1 Gabbysonhiday 6/4 *****

    • recoba 2 months ago

      🇺🇸
      Thought Gepard had that! 🖕

      Small stakes on
      Gulfstream -Race 2…Dundee 7/2 **+ Skybet/William Hills
      Top 2 finish 6/4 William Hills if want safer option

      Well done the winners today

      2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      I take it those are to lay ? 😂

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Well your bit late Dazzman ⏰
      The 5 ⭐️ pi$$ed an close 2nd Dazzman then less said about the other the better

      Was right on to Charles Town tonight but abandoned so here’s a Canadian Yankee with some stank on it Dazzman!

      Gulfstream -Race 8…The Distractor 2/1 ***+
      Tampa Bay Race 4…El De Chirel @ 4/5
      Race 7…Lady Khoz @ 11/10
      Combo forecast No’s = 8 -1 -5
      Race 8…Waterworks 9/4
      Race 9… Magistrate @ 9/4 Skybet ****
      Reverse forecast 2-5 **

      GL yoll 🫡 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

      Oh and

      Tampa Bay – Race 10 Combo forecast 3 -6- 8 *+

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Beetleljuice! 😉

  24. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    7:00 kempton- in between us 12/1 e/w

  25. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Race 5 gulfstream- dr Perry 4/1

  26. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    fitzrovia 7.30 ew well done all winners today

  27. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    tayanna 8.00 ew

  28. spurs55 2 months ago

    Aim for the moon

  29. spurs55 2 months ago

    Little footnote

    The first 2 runners at the first race at Chelmsford would have given you the winners of the last 2 races at kempton

    Just need to know the system and where to start/look

    Nite nite

    2

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