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A couple of shocking runs from Friday's selections. Eleanor Bob was given an odd ride to be kept extremely wide throughout. She was jumping to the right, so why Charlie Deutsch positioned her as far right as possible I'll never know, but she finished last of 4, so she was either running on the worst ground on the track, or she just wasn't on a going day.

The Meydan horse was pathetic. Drawn in Stall 2, broke like a snail and was at least 20L behind the leader within the first 2f. He was staying on a little at the finish, but had no chance of doing anything from the position he was in, which is probably why he was 28/1 when I thought he should've been much shorter.

Sandown 1:25 – Onethreefivenotout 3/1 (1pt, Bet365)

If there's any horse in this race that is a decent way ahead of his mark it would have to be Onethreefivenotout.

This horse is yet to get a win over hurdles but has shown plenty of ability from his last two runs to suggest that he is on a decent handicap mark and today's move up to 2m 4f will assist in him in breaking his duck over obstacles. From his last two runs (best to leave his hurdles debut) he hasn't been stopping at the line, so though it's a 4f trip difference today on a stiff track, I believe it'll bring out the best of this horse who didn't quite have the speed for Kempton when finishing behind a horse who was well-supported. The run at Wincanton which saw him finish second to Lump Sum looks like a decent effort despite the winner doing it with a bit in hand, as he has since finished a close 2nd in a Grade 2 behind one of the ex-leading fancies for the Supreme (Jeriko Du Reponet).

bet365

Paul Nicholls' horse shows he handles any ground ranging from good to heavy as he has run well on both surfaces in his last two runs, and if he stays the trip, which I think he will given his pedigree and running style, he should prove to be on a lenient handicap mark.

Sandown 2:35 – Le Patron 4/1 (1.5pt)

At the start of December I stuck up Le Patron in a Grade 1 over 2m at Sandown and has been written off by the bookies and nearly every punter, but I felt there was a nice horse with him and he proved me right to keep the faith by winning the Grade 1. Today, he is back at Sandown but over 2m 4f with a crack at adding another Grade 1 to his CV.

I am evidently not deserting Le Patron in his attempts to land a second Grade 1, and I think he will be underestimated yet again. I don't think we'll get 16/1 for this time around, but I think decent odds will be available, and a drift wouldn't surprise me either. Many might believe it was a fluke last time out or that he won't enjoy 2m 4f this time but I think he has a cracking chance in this race. He proved last time out that he doesn't need to make the running as he did on his first two chase starts, and he won't be challenging for the lead in this race as that would be suicide going against Nickle Back and Djelo has been handy in his races too.

Le Patron has been targetted this race since winning the Grade 1 at this venue in December, the others have been running elsewhere and this will have been the short-term plan whereas Gary Moore has had this in the back of his head for a long time, and for that reason, as well as the performance of last time out I think he has to be given a strong chance

Musselburgh 2:15 – Peaches And Cream 7/2 (1pt)

With National races I think you can get bogged down trying to find ‘value' and most of the time that comes from horses who have to prove they stay the trip, when more often than not they don't see the trip out and the horses you already knew stayed the trip are winning or finishing in the places. So with that being said I've opted with the proven stayer over today's trip with Peaches And Cream.

Gavin Cromwell has been winning a lot of the UK big pots, especially at Cheltenham's monthly meetings, but this is a rare runner for him at Musselburgh, with this being just his fourth horse at the track and he'll be hoping it's going to be his first winner at the Scottish venue.

This horse returned to form at Cheltenham in December when finishing 5th behind Malina Girl. That was this lad's first run over fences since July 2022 so it was a pleasing comeback, having been kept over hurdles last summer, which was never going to suit him as he is better over fences. He was tapped for speed running down the hill but was seen to be staying on strongly up the hill, which is a positive for his return to today's trip. His sole run over 3m 7f saw him bolt up in a Punchestown 0-145 handicap where he won on the bridle by 11L. That came off a mark of 125 which is 4lbs lower than today's mark (3lb claimer on board today), but that still puts him in with a great chance.

The form of the Cheltenham race has worked out well and I like the drop in grade angle for this horse, which is what happened with Dom Of Mary who was in the Cheltenham race before winning with ease in the National race at Plumpton.

Horse Racing Tips
Onethreefivenotout
Sandown Park - 1:25 pm

3/1 @ Bet365

Le Patron
Sandown Park - 2:35 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

Peaches And Cream
Musselburgh - 2:15 pm

7/2 @ Bet365

48 Comments
  1. double carpet 1 month ago

    DRF Day 1

    1.20 Jetara 4/1

    Should be fav in my opinion. Has the best form in the race and is an out and out stayer and the 7lbs mares allowance always helps.
    I think this is her main aim rather than Cheltenham as both the mares races are too short. She could go the Albert Bartlett route but that looks very competitive.

    1.50 Kargese 7/1 ew

    Regardless of who wins I think after what Sir Gino did last week they are probably fighting for 2nd at Cheltenham.
    Storm Heart deserves to be fav having won his maiden by 22L. The 3rd has come out an won a h’cap since and is now rated 121 so to beat a 121 rated horse by 25L takes some doing, but you can’t just take races on face value. It was also heavy ground that day and it will be much more lively tomorrow.
    I thought at the prices Kargese was a solid ew bet.
    She gave Kala Conte 3lbs when going down by 1/2L on debut for WM. She pulled all through that race so I think off levels today if she can settle better should turn the tables. Whether she’s good enough to win is the big question.

    2.25 Marine Nationale

    WM has won 6 of the last 10 but I just can’t see him making it 7 from 11 as MN was faultless on his fence debut and should take all the beating once again but his price reflects that so a no bet race.

    3.00 Black Bamboo 33/1 ew 6 places

    Hugely competitive race. Current fav Fine Margin could be thrown in off 127 but he’s too short at 7/2 for a race like this.
    I thought Black Bamboo was worth a play at the prices off 121 with the jockey taking off a further 5lbs.
    Was only beaten 12L lto over a trip too short. The winner of that race has gone up 12lbs and I’ll be backing him to repeat on Sunday.
    Prior to that he won over 20f. In 4th that day was Price Purse who won as he liked lto.
    BB is by Fame and Glory so the step up to 3m should benefit.

    3.35 GDC

    Disappointing turnout but I’d say GDC has scared them off after what he produced in the Saville’s chase.
    Similar tactics here and GDC should come out on top.
    For a bet I’ll probably take I AM Maximus to finish ahead of Conflated.

    4.10 Grey Diamond 25/1 ew 4 places

    Taking a chance here that there’s a plan in place for GD as he’s now 10 and time is against him. Has only run twice for Elliott since switching stables from the UK but he’s quickly managed to get him down to just 1lb above his last win with the jockey taking a further 5lbs off.

    4.40 Jeroboam Machin 16/1 ew

    I’m totally against A Dream To Share and Redemption Day running in this race,its farcical so I hope they get turned over but I do think ADTS will win.
    However for the festival I’m on You Outta Know but as he’s not run since Aug May need this so I’ve had an ew nibble on JM as he was very impressive in beating the I’ll fated DB Cooper lto which is decent form.

    Also just to say I backed my selections on Thursday once Dec’s came out so some have shortened since. Doesn’t always work in your favour but it’s nice when it does.

    BOL

    12
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Kargese ✅👍

      1
    • double carpet 4 weeks ago

      Kargese wins and Black Bamboo scrapes in for 6th.
      So far soo good

    • double carpet 4 weeks ago

      Cheers Daz

    • double carpet 4 weeks ago

      Jeroboam Machin hoses up to end a good day.
      Onto tomorrow

      Well done to all other winners today

      3
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Jeroboam machin 16/1 💰💰💰 nice work well done 👍

      2
  2. spurs55 1 month ago

    btw

    pp will let you do acca/l15/patent etc on their free fiver

    might give a better option rather than all your eggs in one basket !!!

    bol

    6
  3. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    Saint segal 2-00 sandown 9-4
    **************************************
    Colonel harry 2-35 Sandown 11-4 top 2 finish @hills NAP🏇.
    and 17-2 ew in case it wins.
    ***************************************
    Gustavian 3-10 sandown 22-1 ew 5 places.

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Bloody hell he went out the side door quick 😂😂

  4. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    La patron won’t win to many 111s next to its name we all know how that goes ! On a Saturday it’s usually the ones with letters or 000s that end up winning 😂

    3
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Not a chance in hell ! 😂

  5. hibee1 1 month ago

    Morning everyone, very quick share of my only bet today. Piper Park Wetherby 4.25. 5/2.
    Heading up to the track now so I’ll get to get a good look at this mare in the paddock.
    Big confidence coming from the right people for her today. Well bred mare out of Walk In The Park. Meant to been working very well these last few weeks. Bought for big money in November after winning her point to point. She was very well backed that day winning really nicely.
    Yard has 23% strike rate at the track. This is the only runner for the yard today, must be close to a 7 hour trek round trip. They are going there to win this today, be really shocked if she doesn’t get the win. Ground no issue at all. Everything looks perfect. Reckon she makes a mockery of these odds. Some big bets will be going down just before the off.
    Have a good one everyone and all the best with your own bets

    11
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Lovely write up 👍

  6. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    Sunday best 9.45 ew France well done all winners yesterday

    2
  7. Gateacre Pete 1 month ago

    Castle Field Boy 3.00 Leop @ 66s top 6
    Bit of a lottery this one but this one could sneak into the top 6 at decent odds
    GL

    1
  8. spurs55 1 month ago

    Holmes St Georges @ 6/1SP

    Win – 13.40 Musselburgh – Frodon Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase

    1
  9. spurs55 1 month ago

    Castle Robin @ 10/1SP

    Win – 14.15 Musselburgh – Edinburgh National Handicap Chase – Paying 5 Places instead of 3

    1
  10. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    I forgot to bet on Christopher wood so I will put it on here instead 😂17/2

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      2:15 Musselburgh

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      3rd must have been jinxed 😂

  11. Super Wilf 4 weeks ago

    Marine Nationale 2.25 boosted to evens Bet 365

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Mug bet 😂

  12. elvis parsley 4 weeks ago

    Royaumont 2-15 Pau 🇫🇷
    16-1 ew 5 places bet365

    • elvis parsley 4 weeks ago

      Deauville not Pau 🇫🇷

  13. elvis parsley 4 weeks ago

    SUNDAY
    Big chase at Pau tomorrow, the grand Prix de Pau.

    You two glass 3-42 Pau 🇫🇷
    no odds yet but might be short.
    If it’s odds on not bothering, odds on shots are bookies meat and drink aren’t they.

    Won this race last year, 4/4 in chases at Pau,
    Won here in December and January this season

  14. elvis parsley 4 weeks ago

    Fastorslow 3-35 leopardstown 4-1.

    Bit of a longshot and 4-1 a bit skinny in reality but galopin des champs looks like a typical Mullins star in that he brushes aside opposition with ease when all goes his way but maybe found wanting when presented with a challenge.
    Fastorslow has Beat galopin twice before so you never know .

    1
    • elvis parsley 4 weeks ago

      Windsor avenue 3-50 wetherby 9-2 win
      Best horse on previous form but now in hunters and had a year off.
      If he’s fit he wins 🤣

      1
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      I’m on Windsor Avenue as well noticed this one this morning , good horse !

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Double jinxed now 😂

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Only 20 odd lengths 3rd looks as good as today will get 😂

  15. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    sextant 2.50 ew

  16. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    sextant 2.50 ew

  17. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    ed keeper 4.10

  18. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Full house ❎❎❎

  19. recoba 4 weeks ago

    🇺🇸
    Gulfstream -Race 9…Legalize It 5/2 ****+
    Side bet …Combo forecas No: = 7- 3 -1
    Race 10…R Harper Rose 6/4 ***
    Santa Anita -Race 9…Hot Peppers 5/2 ***+
    *Side bet …Combo forecast 6 -3 -2

    GL all rest of your day!

  20. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    A newbie will win !

  21. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    66/1 wins 😂

  22. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    charlatan

  23. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Race 2 gulfstream- lamarada 9/2

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Would Of been alright if the horse woke up sooner and realised it’s race day today 😂

  24. theplug 4 weeks ago

    DC
    great tipping ,coming into form at the right time ,looking forward to your tips for the festival .well done again

    • double carpet 4 weeks ago

      Cheers plug. A few quid won today, tomorrow I’ll give it all back !!

      4
  25. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    run joy run 5.30 ew well done all winners today

    2
  26. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    jaunty dancer 5.45 ew

  27. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    cherryblossomtime 6.15 ew

  28. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    fandabidozi 6.30 ew

    3
    • Jayell61 4 weeks ago

      Fandabidozi at 25/1 4th. Excellent Azz

      3
    • azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

      cheers jayel 61

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