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Arizona Cardinal was an easy winner at Ludlow, and I hope you got the SP of 11/4 and avoided the 20p R4. I don't understand how I can get penalised with a R4 on a horse who drifted to a bigger price, but that's one of many things in horse racing which baffles me. Other than a couple of sketchy jumps late on, he was flawless and won with plenty in hand.

Newbury 4:10 – Demnat 11/8 (2pt, WilliamHill)

The Venetia horse is touching the ridiculous side of his price now, but it is to be expected being from this yard and winning in emphatic style on a 900-day layoff on stable debut, and even though he is getting short enough I will still be backing him as I think he is the winner of this race.

You could argue that on paper I'd Like To Know offers ‘better value' at 9/4 or around those odds as he was narrowly beaten by Issar D'Airy over today's C&D lto and that winner looked like a nice, progressive horse. However, I think Demnat is the best horse in this race and if he can't improve off that performance from 900+ days off the track then I'd be gobsmacked as he looked desperately in need of a left-handed track. He won easily at Ludlow over 2m 4f, but he was going out to the left at near enough every fence, and hung left when going clear up the run-in, so running at Newbury will improve him even further. The drop in trip isn't as much a concern as it might look like, as he was winning races on heavy ground over shorter than 2m 4f in France and he didn't seem to lack pace at Ludlow, and if anything, the fact he stays that little bit further than 2m should put him in good stead as it will be testing ground at Newbury with some heavy rain expected to fall in the early hours of Friday.

The form of Venetia's yard has been a problem, and a reason why I've been staying away from their horses, but they have had a couple of winners in recent days, and I think with this horse with one run to his name from this stable, he's hardly going to be in the grips on the handicapper. Venetia does very well with her French imports, they often arrive with good handicap marks which they exploit fairly quickly, and that is the case with Demnat, and despite a 10lb rise, the manner in which he won, there should be more under the bonnet.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Newbury
Horse Racing Tips
I'd Like To Know
Newbury - 4:10 pm

11/8 @ William Hill

28 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Double eagle bet

    6:15 Dundalk – not just any eagle – 9/2

    2:50 Kelso – (Saturday) black hawk eagle 5/1 😂

    2
  2. greenpesto 2 months ago

    Hmmm something not quite right 👆🏼

  3. ew thief 2 months ago

    The bomber Liston 1.50n 7-1 all in ☘️☘️gl all

    1
  4. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    flywire 1.00 France well done all winners yesterday

    2
    • jimba 2 months ago

      Well done yesterday with activist👍

      1
    • azzthewigan 2 months ago

      cheers jimba

  5. Super Wilf 2 months ago

    So which horse is Rizz actually on or is he on both ?

    2
    • Super Wilf 2 months ago

      I’d like to know 😂

      2
  6. recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸
    DONT go frickin nuts but…

    Gulfstream – Race 2…Llamarada 8/11 *****
    Skybet boost Poor price but with boost it’s reasonable for a horse that should “stroll this” and “ at a canter” blah blah etc
    An asier winner you won’t see over 1 mile!?

    Being bullish here and in reality I’ve £16.67 on this left in from my Skybet adventures Stateside last night and the Pham is NOT to have to deposit going forward tonight in the USA. Not that simple obviously

    GL rest of day with your bets I’ll be black

    1
    • recoba 2 months ago

      * the plan is no to ….

      Predictive text there but “Pham” isn’t a word is it?

  7. theplug 2 months ago

    One for tomorrow at Meydan 12-40 Sound Money 7/2

    2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Gonna double that up with black hawk eagle 😂

      1
  8. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    nerano 7.15 well done all winners today

  9. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    mehmo 7.30 this is out a bit rapid it only run last night

  10. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    High time you won in the last at Dundalk is tonight finally the night ?

    2
  11. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Outsider of the 3 wins at Dundalk! They really are so bent it’s there for everyone to see they ain’t even trying to hide it 😂 I was nt on myself but you could pretty much see it coming making it look like it’s a 2 horse race 😂

    1
  12. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    rocket rod 8.00 ew

    2
  13. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    ledger 8.30 nap of to watch the rugby up the warriors

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      50/1 wins and that’s why punters will never come out on top in the end 😂

      1
  14. recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Funds replenished from first pick that FINALLY the money came for going of around 1/3 and walked it – so plan A stays in place 😉

    Going safety first with a few to place TOP 2.
    A bit of a copy and paste but get them up before things start moving price wise in my favour or not and get a combo forecast up for Grade 3 races At Santa Anita soon as I can if I feel there worth it.

    🇺🇸
    4 Folds (x 15 Bets)
    5 Folds (x 6 Bets
    Acca (x1 Bets)

    21.00 Aqueduct…Macallan @ 5/6
    Place Betting – 2 Places
    22.02 Aqueduct…Leading Contender @ 11/10 Boost
    20.30 Santa Anita….Two By Four @ 10/11
    Place Betting – 2 Places
    21.59 Santa Anita…Belle Epoque @ 8/11 WIN
    22.59 Santa Anita…Princess Of Time @ 5/4
    Place Betting – 2 Places
    23.29 Santa Anita…Ruff Ride @ 11/8
    Place Betting – 2 Places

    GL all and well done winners today ✅

    🫡 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Race 3 Santa Anita – Gregorian chant 7/2 💰💰💰

  15. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Old Ben Curtis knocking out the winners over at fair grounds !

  16. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    About time high time you won finally got his head in front stand out bet of the night but you never can tell with the Irish stuff

  17. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Reeeeel bad man 😂

  18. recoba 2 months ago

    Santa Anita – Race 6…Princess Time 11/4 win Bet365 or as above TOP 2 ⬆️

    Side bet …Combo forecast Numbers = 3-4-6 and 2

  19. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Kento 2 Moro at Wolverhampton

  20. Carchor123 2 months ago

    Recoba great tipping this evening first time for me following your usa tips thank you.

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Follow him every night for a week see how you feel then 😂

      1

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