Racing tips: Deeper Blue can put an end to Harry Fry’s dry streak

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Apologies from me for two poor selections in a row. Silver In Disguise was terrible and that was a tad surprising given the market strength before the off, being backed into 9/2 from 7/1 in a period of 15 mins. He wasn't silky smooth over his fences, out to the right on a few occasions and not meeting them on great strides and looked severely outpaced, which is mad considering it was a race over 3m 6f.

Newbury 2:30 – Deeper Blue 11/2 (1pt, SkyBet/WilliamHill)

As Fridays go, today's racing looks very poor and I won't be getting involved too much as there are some big fields at Newbury and the racing at Hexham isn't appealing to me. The one horse I thought looked like a bet was Deeper Blue in this 3m chase.

Based on Deeper Blue's pedigree it would suggest that there should be very little chance that he will appreciate the step up to 3m as there isn't a horse who has won over this race, with the majority being raced between 2m and 2m 4f, but sometimes pedigree isn't everything and going off what your eyes are telling you is the way to go. Deeper Blue looks in desperate need of a trip like he gets today, he has done his racing over shorter and on every occasion he has done well he does his best at the finish but the line comes too soon, so he definitely deserves a chance at this distance. His run at Hereford last time was a very good effort over 2m 5f, which saw him finish 2nd to Henry's Friend who has franked the form by winning a Grade 2 at Ascot on his next start. The form of those in behind at Hereford looks decent as well as the third (Rock My Way) was very strongly fancied in the market on his next run over 3m, he was backed into from double-figure odds to 4/1 and looked the winner for the majority of the race to only be outstayed by the Nicholls horse who has won again since. Deeper Blue looked outpaced at Hereford, and I don't think he appreciated the track and looked in need of further, gaining lengths on the winner with every stride. The form of the yard isn't as big of a concern as it might look as Harry Fry hasn't had a winner in 33 days, but in the last 14 days he has had most of his horses running at double-figure prices and were not meant to win, so there's not much to read into it.

This race looks a decent race and arguably is the race of the day, but I feel like there is room for improvement off the mark of Deeper Blue, with the extra distance likely to bring out further improvement. The others in the race can be given decent chances of landing the win, and I'd say Abuffalosoldier is the main threat. This horse is 2/2 at Newbury and won in very good style last time out, but has since gone up 9lbs and that puts him on a career-high mark in a better race, so he has to prove he is good enough. Atlanta Brave will be strong in the market after his very good 2nd over 3m 2f at this track 83 days ago, but I don't rate that form as the horses in behind have been doing much this season and haven't done much since that race. He seems to need bottomless ground, which he won't be getting today based on the course readings of Good To Soft, Soft in Places.

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