This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
A couple of duds yesterday, with the first selection Fenrir Binding being absolutely smashed in the betting to go off favourite at 11/4 when he was tipped up at 15/2! He ran an okay race and will be one to potentially back again next time out. As for Marble Moon…WOW. No words on that run. He did the total opposite in the market, and took a drift and ran like the market suggested.
This is a cracking race for a Wednesday, and I think that CAPTAIN TOMMY has been set this as his target for some time. He ran well in this race last year, where he finished 2nd, and he was somewhat well fancied that day as well , going off at 15/2. Those odds aren't ridiculously short, but he was definitely nibbled at and fancied to run well, which he did.
He is still a 7yo, so still has plenty of time on his hands to progress further and become better. He has moved yards since running in this race last year, and has moved from Harry Whittington's to David Bridgewater's. He managed to win on stable debut at the start of May, winning a decent sized pot of 17k at Uttoxeter off a mark of 122. Since then he has ran well back at Uttoxeter, and then he made his reappearance three weeks ago at Market Rasen which was definitely a pipe opener for this race today. His last two runs were over distances which are probably too short for him these days, as his best form has come over this trip, and the most recent run can be completely ignored as I do believe that it was used as a prep run for this race today, to blow away the cobwebs after his 139 day break.
Captain Tommy gets in this race off a mark of 125, which was dropped 2lbs for his most recent run (thank you Mr. Handicapper) and he gets a further 3lb taken away due to Mitchell Bastyan's claim. Mitchell is a very capable rider, and has made a good start to this season, already having 16 winners. This means that he is running off 10st 1lb and gets weight from every single horse in the race, which is definitely a big plus especially in staying races like this.
Like I mentioned already, I believe this has been the target for this horse, and I don't believe it will be more many. The vast majority come into this race on the back of a long layoff and will be using it as a starting point for this season. A few trainers have already made comments on their horses and have said they are using this as a prep run for the Becher Chase at Aintree.