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When your horse gets strongly backed in doesn't always mean it's going to run a good race, as Wind Tor proved. Tipped up at 12/1, backed into 11/4 joint favourite and was given one of the strangest rides I've ever seen. She is a 7lb claimer, so I'll cut her some slack, but it was a pleasant watch. The other selection on the day Si Elegant was jumping well on chase debut, was in contention with a few to jump until he ploughed straight through one and that gave him no chance.
Sandown 1:15 – Through The Ages
The jockey booking of Harry Cobden on the Gary Moore horse Through The Ages instantly catches the eye, with this being just the second ever ride for Gary.
Not only is Cobden such a strong jockey booking, but the way this horse has been winning his races, it looks like he oozes class at this juvenile level and he could easily still be very well handicapped off a mark of 119. It is a surprise that Godolphin gave up on his so early into his career, with just two runs for Charlie Appleby, but since moving to Gary's yard he has done nothing but improve for seeing a hurdle. His pedigree is a monstrous pedigree and it seems a bit of a waste that he isn't a flat horse. He is by Golden Horn and is out of a Listed winning mare who has produced the likes of Yibir, Wild Illusion and three other black-type horses, with Through The Ages being the only one who hasn't achieved black type on the flat from this pedigree line. Despite his poor form on the flat, he has won his last two runs over hurdles in taking fashion, and considering he went off 1/4F for his last start, he probably should have won in the manner he did.
Today's race poses new questions about this horse as he is in handicap company for the first time, but from what my eyes are telling me, this horse looks like a very nice horse and in a race that Gary Moore has won a couple of times in recent years, and with the juveniles he has available in his yard, it looks like a strong possibility they really fancy their chances with this horse, especially with Cobden booked, who is going all out for the jockey's championship.
Sandown 2:25 – Jipcot
The Ben Pauling stable has quietened down a little after firing in winners all over the country, but they have still had four winners in the last fortnight and I think he has a very strong hand in this race with an old selection of mine in Bad, but I've gone for his other horse in the race Jipcot.
Both Bad and Jipcot made their stable debuts at the Cheltenham Festival, and based on the races they were put in Jipcot was the one they've always rated highest. Jipcot was chucked into the Triumph hurdle, whereas Bad was in the Juvenile handicap, both didn't run particularly great, but we've started to see their ability this year and I think this race has always been the plan for Jipcot. In hindsight, Jipcot would've got into this race without winning a week ago, but he comes to the Imperial Cup with a 7lb penalty, but I don't think that will bother them too much as considering he is making such a quick turnaround, that was obviously a prep race for today's race and with main stable jockey Kielan Woods on board, over Bad who has some very strong form in similar races, that is a point in the right direction to say that they think this horse has more to give off his current handicap mark and is the one to be on for this big prize handicap.
Sandown 4:40 – Es Perfecto
It's hard not to fancy Es Perfecto for a race of this nature given the strong level of form he has and the rating he is racing off, so he gets my vote for this race.
I stuck Es Perfecto up on his last start at Cheltenham when I strongly fancied him to run a big race in a very competitive Class 2 race at Cheltenham which saw him finish 3rd/12, finishing 6L behind Ginny's Destiny. In hindsight, that form is bulletproof. The winner has done nothing but improve this year and will turn up to Cheltenham next week with a live chance of winning the Turner's. The fourth has since won on his most recent start. The fifth was 3rd in a Grade 3 over 3m and the Sixth won a Grade 2 on his next run, so it is a tad surprising that the handicapper hasn't had another look at Es Perfecto and put him up a few pounds due to the horses around him winning races, so the fact he is running off the same mark as last time out in a much stronger race makes him a good bet for Saturday.
He isn't going to be fantastic odds, and for a horse who is yet to win over fences I can see why people will want to oppose him, but sometimes when the form hits you in the face and it's hard to ignore the facts, it would be quite a shock if he wasn't winning a race like this.
Cheltenham
Supreme : I have backed Firefox at 13/2 now 7/2.I was very impressed with him when he beat Ballyburn at 2 mile .LTO he ran over 2m 4f which i thought he didn’t get. But back over 2m i think he have a great chance of winning this.
Arkle: This race is wide open now with the with drawl of M.N .Haven’t really got a strong fancy in this now but i am going to put a few bob ew on Zanahiyr at 40/1.But if you put a gun to my head for the winner i would say Found a Fifty ‘Its just Zanahiyr is after running in great all his racing career company
Ultima: I think it will be a English horse that wins this one ,I’ve went with Trelawne 14/1 ew 5 places with pp .He is a 8 yo who have a good record in this.
Champion Hurdle : i can not see anything beating Stateman .no bet for me in this.But then with a few pints in me that could change ?
Mares Hurdle :Again no bet for me in this but hope Lossiemouth win.
Boodles : I have backed Lark In The Mornin 4/1 now drifting but like i always say the horse don’t know that .
The only reason i have backed this one is that the jockey JJ. Slevin told me he have a good chance of winning off his low mark.
National Hunt Chase :Willie would love to win this now that they have named the race after his late mother .He have a chance but i am all over Corbetts Cross 7/4 .Forget his last race when he came down they were going at a snails pace .he finished a good second to Grangeclare West over 3m.I think he needs a fast run race that he will get .
€20 win Acc
Corbetts Cross 7/4
Minella Indo 7/4
Brighterdaysahead 9/4
Its On The Line 11/4
Acc over the 4days ??☘️
Good Luck everyone.
Zarakhan 12-23 auteuil ?? 4-1
Hopefully not Zara can’t
Spot on Elvis ? I don’t think I’m going to touch anything else today . Just doing cornerstone lad and that’s it !
Superb Elvis! ?
Seen your tip just in time to throw my £3.15 I got back last night on Zarakhan at 3/1.
?? ? ?
cheers Elvis threw a bit on that well done
Cheers chaps i
Bloody hell recoba you did nt risk your crack money did you ??
I don’t fancy anything today apart from Megan ?
That and cornerstone lad !
I’m going to be very busy next week so can’t see myself posting much throughout the daytimes, so will post my Cheltenham thoughts when I can starting today, but before I do I’ll just mention the bumper at Gowran today is worth watching. It has produced winners in the past such as Bob Olinger, Journey With Me, Tullyhill and Yorkhill and today the top 3 in the market are all highly regarded by their stables.
Supreme
Only 1 horse in the past 11 years (Labaik) had come with an OR lower than 148. Only 2 horses this year have achieved that rating so far, they are Tullyhill (153) and Mystical Power (148). 7 horses are yet to receive a rating yet so on paper it’s not the strongest of renewals but with Ballyburn confirmed as going to the Gallagher’s on weds it does make it a very open race.
Since 2015 both IRE and UK have taken turns on who wins. Last year it was IRE so it’s the UK’s turn this year but their main hope Jeriko Du Reponet has so far only produced a rating of 132 which wouldn’t even be good enough to get him into the Coral Cup, so based on that I simply can’t have him although, it would be foolish to disregard an unbeaten Henderson horse wearing the JP colours. The other JP horse Mystical Power although has achieved the required rating would need to brush up on his jumping and although he’s very well bred Galileo has yet to Sire the winner of the race from 6 attempts so I can’t have him either. But just on JP, I do think he has assembled an incredible team of horses this year and can see him hitting a double digit figure regarding winners.
Tullyhill who is the only other horse with the required rating I just can’t warm to. He was given a freebie lto by an unfit No Flies On Him. Enda Bolger admitted it after the race (why couldn’t he have said something beforehand instead of shafting us punters) and drifted out from an opening 7/4 to 9/2 so the writing was on the wall and the others in the race where simply looking for marks. His jumping did improve and he’ll be the mount of Paul Townend but I think he’s worth taking on.
16 of the last 18 won lto and although Firefox came back lame and scoped dirty from the DRF it’s not ideal prep but he remains the only horse to have beaten Ballyburn and warrants respect but not for me.
Slade Steel brings solid form to the table having finished runner up to BB at the DRF and won’t want for stamina as he’s better over further but comes here to avoid BB But again I can see 1 or 2 being too fast for him at the finish.
The one I’ve landed on goes against pretty much all the trends but as I’ve no strong opinion on the race I thought it was worth taking a chance on something at a price and that is MISTERGIF at 12/1 ew.
He has plenty of racecourse experience having ran 9 times on the flat followed by a couple of Hurdle races in France before being sold for 190k and sent to the Mullins yard.
He absolutely dotted up on his only start (admittedly he beat trees) but it was the way he went about the task that impressed me. His jumping was very slick and pulled away at the finish so impressively with just hands and heels. He was given an RPR of 134 for that run and that’s the 2nd highest rating in the field for a first Hurdle run of the season with Firefox being given just 1lb higher but had already had a run in a bumper.
He’s entitled to come on plenty for that run and in a very open looking race I think he’s worth an ew shout.
bashers reflection 2.25 the horse did travel well on its last run seems a bit overpriced to me
through the ages 1.15
coniston George 1.23 well done all winners yesterday
This one caught my eye as well . Hopefully you bag the winner !
awaythelad 1.50 ew
I wonder what Rizzels real name is ? ? shnizzle ? Something random like Duncan or something I expect
It’s Theodore ?
What as in the – odore as in smelly ?
Remember to EmailAndy today guys 1350 at Sandown
Hand shandy If e mail Andy wins ??
Nice each way bet that mate well done ?
Cornerstone lad bet of the day ?
golden son 3.35 nap
Dubai days 3.43 nb well done all winners today
5-05 gowran park.
Annamix
2-1 betting without Ramillies ??
Annamix won 9-2 ?
Well done again ? The bookies are jokers with these false favourites. Would love to see the real markets behind the scenes bet the winner is so easy to identify for them more often than not but we’re the mugs that keep trying to take them on I suppose
Double bowen lands again
Unlucky rizz close one today ! You ll get it all back over Cheltenham I’m sure
Arkle
Again like the Supreme, its not a vintage renewal but its still a puzzle as to who will come out on top.
Most of the principles have achieved a 151+ rating and 14 of the last 16 winners had already achieved that mark but all but 1 were asked a question in order to achieve the mark.
Only HUNTERS YARN has done so on the bridal beating the 142 rated Path D’oroux by 10L without breaking sweat.
In order to win the Arkle you need to be hitting 160+ and I think HY is the only horse in the field that’s capable of doing so.
My only concern would be his run in the county last year wasn’t great and WM had no excuses for the poor run so it’s just a tentative selection.
Hunters Yarn 6/1 ew.
Laurent barbarin’s Sunday tips ??
1-2 and 8-11. ???
Surely paid tipsters shouldn’t be posting long odds on shots as tips should they
12.40 PAU
ASSIER (5-1 bet365)
15.07 COMPIEGNE
SEA SALINAS (1-2 bet365)
16.17 COMPIEGNE
L’INDOMPTABLE (8-11 bet365)
It’s pure laziness Elvis and even then it’s no certainty odds on get turned over all the time it means nothing and you have to increase your stake to make it worth while so the risk reward just is nt there . If you were to put up say an even money shot you don’t really feel your putting up a tip do you . A genuine tip is to spot the hidden gems the bookies try hiding away with these bloody fake markets say like yours this morning . Gambling is a mugs game we all know it but it’s a bad habit to break once you get stuck into it ?
??
Santa Anita -Race 8…Green Up 6/1 Bet365 ***
Still lightly raced he won after after a lay off on the ‘Turf Downhill’ course by 4 lengths and this distance looks an obvious move looking at that race. Jockey Valazquez is on him again which helps. Think it’s a tight race we’re Adare Manor is rightly favourite but not at 6/4. No 5 Desert Dawn I’ve left out the ‘Side bet’ has a squeak at 8/1
*+ Side bet -Combo forecast No: = 2 -6- 3
Turfway -Race 3…All I Want Is You 9/1 ***
If was on Turf he be a lot shorter, this is his first go on A.W BUT workouts look very good! ? ?