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It was a shame that our runner in the Pertemps Qualifier couldn't land a blow.
When backing a horse from the Byrnes stable, it's always a huge gamble. The money came in for our selection, as he was backed into 2/1F from 11/2. He was given no chance after making one mistake he found himself one from last place.
Jax Junior 2/1 (1pt) – Kempton 1.25
I like what I saw from Jax Junior on his chasing debut at Uttoxeter 24 days ago, when finishing behind Lump Sum by quite a large distance.
When you see a horse defeated by 15L +, you automatically think he got smashed. From what we've seen from Lucy Wadham's yard this new jumps season, is that their runners have needed their first run out.
Jax Junior made the running at Uttoxeter, and I really liked the way he jumped. He was brilliant at many, made one small mistake, and when he got in close, he popped over them with no problems.
With a few to jump, he looked like he could potentially upset the odds-on favourite, but after he pinged the third from home, he got tired very quickly. His race fitness must not have been at 100%, and given how Kempton rides from the front, I think he is a huge player.
This is not an easy task, and in ratings, Jax Junior is the lowest in the race. Jeriko Du Reponet is the highest in the race, and if he can turn up like we expect, he's going to be a tough nut to crack.
But he has been over fences before and was pulled up. This is also his seasonal return, and against a race-fit horse who can jump very well from the front, I'm happy to take him on.
Back it with Tote (no fixed odds)Della Cassa Lunga 13/2 (1pt) – Kempton 2.30
As far as Mondays go in the UK, it's very rare that we see a Class 1 race unless it falls on a bank holiday Monday. So seeing this race pop up when doing my research for Monday's racing was a pleasant surprise.
On paper, this looks like a really good mare's Class 1 Listed race over 2m 5f. We have an Irish raider, and we have some unexposed second-season hurdlers, making it into a thrilling race. However, I believe the horse that finished second in this race last year is the one to focus on.
Della Cassa Lunga ran very well in this race last year, but only found one too good. The horse who won was Kateira, who we all know is a solid mare from the Skelton yard, and is a multiple Class 1 winning hurdler. This year's race doesn't have the same amount of threat.
Emmet Mullins' horses always have to be respected when they come over to the UK, but she doesn't look like a standout and one who could improve plenty.
That'll Do Moss was a very solid novice and was second in a Grade 1 at Punchestown in April. On paper, that looks like good form, but she was 50/1 that day. Prior to that, her best RPR was 121 in a Grade 2, which is below the level needed to win this based on last year.
To add to the Fergal horse, Jonny Burke has decided not to come and ride her and has opted for Ludlow. Jockey booking is a big thing in this sport, and that suggests she'll need the run. The others I've not mentioned have a fair bit to find.
Della Cassa Lunga has definitely had this race as a target before she goes for the 3m Class 1 at this track, nearer to Christmas. She was honking on her return last year, but bounced back with a super effort in this race. She has done the same this year, so I wouldn't be fussed about her return twelve days ago.
In my opinion, she is the one to beat.
Back it with Tote (no fixed odds)Kamsinas 3/1 (1pt) – Ludlow 2.08
As I mentioned above, Jonny Burke has made the decision to go to Ludlow over riding in a Class 1 race at Kempton. Obviously, that must have been a tough decision, but when I saw Kamsinas on chasing debut at Ludlow, it made a bit of sense.
I know for a fact that the Fergal O'Brien team have thought highly of Kamsinas since they got him a few years back. He was a solid hurdler, won a Grade 2 as a novice and ran well on occasions last year, but chasing must have always been the long-term plan.
He is a PTP winner, so he should be fine jumping a fence, and he seems to relish flat tracks like Haydock, Doncaster, Kempton and Aintree. That should mean Ludlow is right up his street.
This race is definitely not a foregone conclusion, and Kamsinas wins if he turns up. This is only a four-runner field, but it's a belting race.
Double Powerful has some useful chase form from his Cheltenham debut. Monmiral was/is a good hurdler and has previous chasing experience, and Wyenot is a winning-machine mare.
However, we see horses take their form to a new level when going over fences, and that's the impression I get from Kamsinas.
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