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Irish Class 1 races for fillies continue to throw up some whacky results and another 40/1 winner was the surprise package in Rizzel's race.
Super Sox didn't cover herself in glory and didn't bridge the gap that the leader managed to steal from the field and put in a sub-par performance, especially a lot worse than what was expected.
Stop The Cavalry got motoring too late into the race and if she managed to hit top gear a fraction quicker I think she could've been the winner over at Longchamp. She finished third in a close photo finish for second, but that means very little considering she was a win-only selection.
Cairnzy's Tips
Navello 9/4 – Chepstow 3.35
Grace Harris fields two of the four runners going to post, including Connie's Rose, who was a recent losing selection of mine on the thread. I'll be kicking myself if Connie's Rose wins this contest, as It wouldn't be the first time a losing selection has come back to haunt me in their next outing. With that said, I wasn't impressed with her recent performance. The quick turnaround also concerned me, especially given her already busy schedule this season.
The horse I liked was George Boughey's 5-year-old Navello who looks reasonably treated off a mark of 85. He's a bit on the exposed ride given he's making his 43rd racecourse appearance in this race, but his form has remained relatively consistent and he's bringing some good recent form to this contest which I feel makes him a huge player. My selections third placed effort at Newcastle back in June in a Class 2 was a cracking effort, he wasn't fancied in the betting that day but outran his odds of 20/1 to finish only a length and a quarter of the winner. The eighth-placed horse Thunder Moor has come out and won a Class 2 handicap a few days ago which boosts the form of that particular run.
My selection was last seen when finishing third at Goodwood last week and that effort is another performance worth mentioning and is probably stronger form to that of the Newcastle run that I've just touched on above. Navello finished just under 3L behind the eventual winner Enchanting. Enchanting is a young unexposed and improving sort from the inform Andrew Balding team and now has an OR of 89. I thought Navello did well to finish as close as he did that day.
Navello is a strong traveller over this sort of distance, which was one of the main factors that came to mind when choosing this horse as a selection. Connie's Rose as previously mentioned tends to go forward and make things a real stamina test, which I'm hoping will allow Navello to pick up the pieces late on if there is a pace collapse upfront which was the case last time out for Connie's Rose when she went out like a light 2f from home.
Questionable 6/4 – Chepstow 4.05
Questionable was a losing selection for me a few days ago, but I'm willing to give her another chance in this contest as I feel she can win a race of this nature of her current mark.
Questionable still remains a maiden after eight runs but she has shown enough ability in her previous few outings to suggest a win is only around the corner. I was disappointed she was unable to win last time out as to the eye she looked the winner from a long way back, travelling strongly on the bridle into the business end but finding little off the bridle. All her runs to date have come on testing ground and we are entering the unknown this time round with the ground currently riding good to firm. With that said, her siblings have had form on good to firm ground so we have to take it on trust.
I touched last time on some of the recent form my selection brings to this contest and I still think it's worth mentioning again. My selection was runner-up at Ffos Las last month when going down by just under two lengths to the Jack Channon trained Arkhalia Flynn. The form of that runner-up effort has received a boost with Arkahlia Flynn following up next time out at Windsor in a Class 4. Billy Loughnane replaces Rob Hornby in the saddle, and I'm hoping a good day is on the cards for the young rider as he also rides Navello who I've tipped as my other selection for Monday's racing.
Rizzel's Tips
Revolutionise 13/2 EW- Brighton 2.50
The quality of racing on show today is fairly horrendous, but I did think that Revolutionise was worth a go down at Brighton on the south coast in this Class 5 0-68 handicap over 7f.
Stuart Williams' 8-year-old is much better on the all-weather as his record would suggest, but he is rated 15lbs lower on the turf and I think he is capable of winning a race off this mark based on his recent head defeat when placed in third at Epsom in a better race than today's. His record of one win from sixteen attempts is more than enough to put people off from backing him, but he still possesses a good amount of ability at the grand old age of eight. Stuart Williams has been in tremendous form over the last few weeks and it's got to be worth something that he is pursuing turf races with this lad, as they must feel he is more than capable of winning races off his much lower turf mark.
The run at Epsom was a great effort and with an extra yard or two, he would've won that race. Epsom has similarities to Brighton, it has its downhill section like Epsom, but unbeknown to many, Brighton has a stiff uphill finish which isn't quite shown when it's on tv. I think the finish could be something that Revolutionise will relish given how well he finished off his race at Epsom which is just a straight downhill track from the 7f start. Marco Ghiani gets on board him, which is a big positive as he is the main jockey for the yard and it seems like Marco has gone for this ride alone as Stuart has a horse vying for favouritism in the first race and he has opted not to ride that one, but he takes the ride on this horse.
Hopefully, there will be no non-runners so we can keep the three places as I think he offers good value as an each-way bet.
Inshad 7/4 – Chepstow 2.35
For my second selection, we head to Wales for a 2-year-old nursery, which looks to be a horrendous race and I highly doubt any horse in this race will be achieving much in their career. On paper, Inshad has a lot to prove, but as the market suggests, with this being his handicap debut, more is likely to come from the son of Gregorian.
It's not a surprise to see how well-fancied he is in the market as he is trained by George Boughey who is mustard with juveniles, and when sending them to Chepstow he normally has a very good time. The yard is 2/6 at this track this year and has been 7/22 since George picked up his training licence, which is a 32% SR. Nigel Tinkler's horse is the other horse towards the top of the market and bookies must be concerned as it is a rare runner in recent year at Chepstow for Nigel Tinkler who doesn't send many this far south, especially in the smaller meetings. I'm not too worried as his horse is making his seventh career start. Even though he probably has the best, most solid form on offer coming from nurseries, he is definitely beatable by an unexposed type like Inshad.
Inshad is making the step up to 7f, which I like a lot. I'm a big fan of trainers moving their horses up in trip or applying something for the handicap debut, as it almost suggests that they are giving it a good now they have their handicap mark. Inshad is jumping up from 5f and given he has an entry on Tuesday at Chepstow over a mile, they must firmly believe this step up in trip is going to work wonders. Not only that, he is having his first run since a gelding operation, which should also improve him, as it should allow him to be calm in the build-up to the race, and let him settle easier whilst racing, which is something you need when running over a longer trip.
?? ***+
Emeral Downs -Race 7…Mean Sharron 22/1 Ew Coral bet
Hey guys
Is their a reason there has been no posts on the forum from all the regulars who post up tips usually is the posts goi g up on another part of the site
Been very quiet recently just wondering what’s happened to everyone ?
It’s been highlighted on a few occasions about some people not posting on the thread. The moderation team had placed some members into moderation due to the nature of their comments.
I’ve personally requested the removal of their blocks which has been accepted, in particular those who have been long term followers of the page. So they should be able to post again.
Please keep things racing and banterful in the comments. To those who we have had arguements with or debates that went too far, I’m drawing a line under it all, and shaking hands to move on.
A team effort to try take as much money of the bookies as we can is the main aim. Sometimes we win and sometimes we lose, it’s the nature of the game.
Cairnzy ?
Amen to that ?
This racing game is so bent, how the hell does a 66/1 shot ‘Liricist’ overturn an odds on favourite 10/11 ‘Inshad’ Chepstow 2.35?
Can somebody please explain
Only explanation I can give is the winner was not a 66/1 horse and the favourite was a false favourite….like the guy said, none of the horses in the race would not be winning much in their careers
Right little bit of fun
Best grey horse top 3 I’ll start..
Dessie
Native Dancer
One Man
irazumi 3.20
michelos boy 3.35
premiership 4.50 ew
Happens in all sports shocks my mate lost a 8 fold on football years ago by Portugal drawing with someone like Luxembourg at 1/66 odds on ha would have won like over 2 k and that bet alone would have only added a couple of quid
iv been spending my money on pies me see the price of pies in the greenhals bakery
Thursday 4.30 nap
Had Thursday on can’t believe it got beat lol
Had loch Tay and deliciousy and Connie’s rose on singles all came in a few quid up no doubt be back down later though lol
Well said cairnzy
Be nice to see the regulars all back on
our lil 7.15 NB well done all winners today