This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.

Thursday was a poor day with neither of the selections looking up to the job.

I only managed to catch my last selection Profiteer, who I thought ran well for a long way, however, his effort dwindled out within the final furlong and on that evidence looks firmly in the hands of the handicapper. Tomorrow is a new day, and hopefully a turn of luck is only around the corner.

Cairnzy's Tips

Lake Forrest 9/4 – Newbury 4.05

This Class 1 Listed event features a highly competitive field, with the winner earning a nice prize of just under £30,000. Several familiar names that have been tipped in this thread before, such as English Oak, Nostrum, and Witch Hunter, are among the entrants. Rather than going with a previous selection, I've decided to back Lake Forrest from the in-form William Haggas yard for this race.

My selection enjoyed a productive campaign as a juvenile, with the pick of his form coming at York when landing the valuable Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes where he beat home some really nice types such as Haatem, King's Gamble and Johannes Brahms. Lake Forrest has only raced the two times this seaon as a three year old but despite not winning on either of those outings, I still feel he has taken his form to a new level with runner up efforts in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup and the Group 2 Hackwood Stakes.

Lake Forrest has been hitting the line strongly this term, suggesting that this step up in trip is well within reach for William Haggas's youngster and there's no better jockey to have in the saddle than Tom Marquand when you need a strong finishing effort. The remainder don't spark me with much confidence, in particular Nostrum who tends to fire more cold than hot despite his attractive pedigree. English Oak has failed to step up this term after looking like a possible Group horse at the beginning of the season while Witch Hunter tends to runs a good race without getting the head in front.

Rizzel's Tips

Frost At Dawn 5/1 – Ayr 3.40

Fillies Race at Listed level can often be very poor on paper, and I think that is the case for this race with only a few horses actually able to win this based on the form they have shown. That made me think about tipping up Azure Blue again as I think she would easily romp home in this if she was back to her best, but last time out she was horrendous and I did mention that it wouldn't surprise me if that was the last time we saw her on the track. Knowing my luck, now I'm going against her, she'll end up coming back to haunt me, which she is more than capable of doing in this poor race. Instead of tipping her, I've gone for Frost At Dawn.

With my selection it will need a bit of trust as she has only been seen once so far this year which came in the Nunthorpe last month, where she finished 10th/12. Based on her brief Meydan campaign earlier in the year she was more than entitled to have gone for that race, but with how the track was riding and with the big layoff it was always going to be a tough ask. I don't think she raced that bad, she was convincingly beaten, but so were many other classy sprinters who would romp home in this race, so I think it was a nice pipe opener.

Today's race is a much easier assignment that the Group 1 at York. There are so many low rated horses in this race who would need all of the top rated horses to under perform to be competitive. For me, the best piece of recent form from this year was from Frost At Dawn from her 5f success at Meydan when beating the Godolphin horse, Star Of Mystery by 2.5L in a Group 3. The runner-up then went on to finish second in a Group 1 at the same track and has since won a Group 3 in America. That was Frost At Dawn's first attempt over 5f and she clearly relished it, proving she has the pace for the trip, as they went quicker than standard. A repeat perfomance would see her win this race with ease and it's a long way to travel for William Knight's horse, so a big run has to be on the cards.

Caballo De Mar 4/1 – Ayr 5.20

I thought it was interesting that Callum Shepherd has decided to come up to Ayr, mainly for the ride on Caballo De Mar as he is the stable jockey for George Scott, rather than two rides at Kempton for the same trainer (George has three at Kempton but two are in the same race). Obviously, Callum has picked up a couple of spare rides at Ayr today, but he would have gone up to Ayr mainly for his boss George Scott, which gives me further confidence that Caballo De Mar will run a big race for a rare runner at the track from this yard.

This will be George Scott's fifth ever runner at the track, and the third in the last five years, so it shows that he doesn't like sending horses this far unless thinking they've got a chance. He has had one winner and a second from those four runners, which is a decent representation of what I have just said from the small sample size we've got to our disposal. This horse appears to have a lovely chance of winning now he is getting a slightly longer trip than what he has been running over in recent times. It's only an extra furlong, which is 200 yards, but small margins like that can often be enough to see a horse progress and I think it's definitely a step in the right direction as he has stayed on well over the furlong shorter, and the form looks fairly solid.

Horse Racing Tips
Lake Forrest
Newbury - 4:05 pm

9/4 @ Bet365

Frost At Dawn
Ayr - 3:40 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

Caballa De Mar
Ayr - 5:20 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

18 Comments
  1. elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    Ashiyma 1-50 saint cloud 🇫🇷 4-1 paddy power

    Won on debut last October beating the reopposing ci mer by over 2.5 lengths
    Ashiyma not run since though while ci mer has done alright finishing a close up 4th in a group race last time.
    I’m hoping graffard has this primed the same way as it was when winning first time out last year

    1
    • elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      Riskintheground 3-15 newton abbot 100-30 at HILLS.

      Only blip recently was a 5th place in market rasen’s summer plate which itself was a fine run as it’s a class 1 race.
      Back to his own class 3 last time and duly won.
      Conditions to suit today bode well also

      Favourite lallylag has good hurdles form figures and gets weight but was poor when last seen chasing last december finishing last of 6 and then pulling in, both in the same class as today’s race.

    • elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      The rapist 3-50 newton abbot.
      6-4 top 2 finish bet365

      Had a blowout recently on the flat and back to hurdles today where he got his act together recently winning twice in the spring.
      If he’s in touch jumping the last his flat form should insure he is close up unless his stamina gives out

    • elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      Place only double
      Riskintheground top 2 place 5-6
      The rapist top 3 places 5-6
      Pays 2.36-1

  2. azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    lady diora 12.05 France well done all winners yesterday

  3. azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    royal enclosure 12.40 ew

  4. azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    lovely spirit 2.03 nap

    0
    • ew thief 2 weeks ago

      Just had a tip for this mate ☘️☘️👍

      1
  5. recoba 2 weeks ago

    🇬🇧
    Newbury – 4.05…Which Hunter 7/2 **+ got to stick with the speed but tough race and combo tricast No: = 3-5-9-4 +

    • ew thief 2 weeks ago

      Been looking at this all day recoba ☘️☘️👍

      1
  6. recoba 2 weeks ago

    Shouldn’t skim so much I didn’t see Oor Headliners had ‘ Lake Forest’ up as a tip but didn’t notice as…“He’s outta here!” aka an NR

    Best of luck today folk 👌

    • recoba 2 weeks ago

      In my tracker and against lighter raced horses EwThief but turn of foot or leading he’s a good horse and has less weight today due to they factors from when I marked him down.

      To be honest I would fancied Lake Fire but from 4/1 to 7/2 with Lake Forest out hes for me but just the **+

      Here’s hoping Sir 🫡

  7. azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    consolation 4.00 NB well done all winners today

    2
  8. azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    consolidation 4.00

    2
  9. busstop.2018 2 weeks ago

    Afternoon All .

    NEWTON ABBOT

    15.50. .Electric Eddy. .11/10

    16.25. . Juggernaut. .9/2

    16.55. .Melton Mossy. .7/2

    17.30. . A Definate Getaway. .8/1. .E/W

    GL ALL

    2
  10. ew thief 2 weeks ago

    Russet gold 4.05n 8-1☘️☘️gl all

  11. ew thief 2 weeks ago

    Ravingcraig castle 5.20a 14-1☘️☘️gl all

  12. azzthewigan 2 weeks ago

    pearl jewel 8.30 ew

    2

Leave a reply

CONTACT US

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Sending

Please play responsibly. For assistance with problem gambling please visit BeGambleAware.co.uk

About MFT  | Journalist CharterSupport  |  Contact Us  | 18+  BeGambleAware Privacy Policy  | Terms of use | ©2024 North Star Network.

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Log in with your credentials

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account

This website uses cookies for analytics. By using this site, you agree to our use of cookies. Read our Privacy Policy here