Well, Our Pink Lady certainly didn’t deliver the goods yesterday. Is she still running?
| Lingfield - 14:45 |
Calanthe |
8/1 |
Ahead of Friday’s action, I’m heading back to the all-weather (not literally, it’s far too cold for that), where the 14:45 contest at Lingfield catches the eye, chiefly because Calanthe looks a little generously priced at odds of 8/1.
Disappointing in a recent run over hurdles, Archie Watson’s runner looks well placed back at Lingfield today, tackling a trip that should suit, so don’t be surprised to see him go well.
Today’s extra two furlongs are just what the doctor ordered
Prior to this rather underwhelming effort over hurdles at Catterick, where he never got involved, the lightly-raced gelding finished third at Kempton, keeping on well over a mile, hinting that today’s extra emphasis on stamina would suit.
He also finished second over a mile at Kempton back in September, again running as if one mile and two furlongs would be right up his street, which is the impression I got when he appeared to have something left in the tank when winning over a mile at Lingfield before that.
If we look at the Kempton race back in September, we can see that the winner has since won again from a mark of 73, which looks like very positive form in relation to today’s race.
The speed rating that he delivered at Kempton last time out also sees him rank top of the pile in terms of career-best speed ratings. Another positive, for sure.
Watson has been in relatively pleasing form of late, while he’s no stranger to seeing his horses run well at Lingfield, winning or placing with 17 of his last 52 runners at the Surrey venue.
Yet to be fully exposed, this horse could, and perhaps should, have more to offer over the middle-distance trips on the all-weather, and I really wouldn’t be surprised if a mark of 70 turns out to be anything but his ceiling handicap wise. For my money, it won’t be long before he scoops a prize of this nature, and at 8/1, he’s worth betting on to do just that here.
Based on a £10 level-stakes example, the Nap of the Day (after 78 Naps) has a running P/L of +£95.00 (since switching to being published here (10/09/2024) rather than on the ‘Nap of the Day' page).
For those interested, here’s a monthly profit and loss breakdown (again based on a £10 level-stakes example):
September 2024 = +£34.00
October 2024 = +£6.00
November 2024 = +£15.00
December 2024 = +£50.00
2024 Overall = +105.00
